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     Thu. Jun. 4, 2020

Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. May. 17, 2021)

(Merck)

MRK latest price $81.5500 (-0.62%) ($80.8400 - $82.1600) on Thu. Jun. 4, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Narrative  Breakdown
Price Pattern  Downtrend Pop
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.86 (2.37% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.13% (three month average)
Moving Force
(Hourly Trend Force)
  -59.96%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend Force  0.9%
RSI   54
Momentum  0.8
Latest Price   $81.5500(-0.62%)
Forecasted Low Price  -110.35(-235.31%)
Forecasted High Price  -109.07(-233.75%)
Direction of Next Movement  Solid DownMove(-234.53%)
Bullish Probability  10%
Short-term volatility hourly trend  Equity Bullish (-60)
Mid-term volatility hourly trend  Equity Bullish (-60)
Risk Appetite   (0)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  3% (79.16)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  4.5%
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  8
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  MRK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRK advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRK advance at 0.6% a week (56% probability)
  XLV(71%)    SPLV(55%)    DIA(49%)    VYM(49%)    IVE(48%)  
Factors Impacting MRK price  MRK will decline at least -1.565% in a week (26% probabilities).
  VXX(-36%)    VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-20%)    SHY(-13%)    UUP(-10%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Short the breakdown
 
Valuation to SPY   1.4
 
Relative Volatility   -0.3 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.465% (StdDev 3.13%)
Hourly BBV   1 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $81.7(0.18%)
5 Day Moving Average  $80.95(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average  $79.27(2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average  $78.6(3.75%)
To recent high  -2.9%
To recent low  22.8%
Market Cap  $206.254b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Jul. 29, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $93.27 ($84.00 - $107.00)
  15 analysts (last updated on Fri. May. 15, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  14.37%
% to Low Target Price  3%
% to High Target Price  31.21%
 
 


Merck & Co., Inc. engages in the provision of health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances. The Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products, such as pharmaceutical and vaccine products, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in livestock and companion animal species, which it sells to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The Healthcare Services segment offers services and solutions that focus on engagement, health analytics, and clinical services to improve the value of care delivered to patients. The Alliances segment includes results from the Company's relationship with AstraZeneca LP related to sales of Nexium and Prilosec. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, NJ.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRK price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 3.13%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200704

iDateema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Jun_4_202078.679.2780.95 80.78 81.6481.55(-0.62%)8.86    -234.5% -235.3%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%0%0.9%3.13%0.11.654 Breakdown Downtrend Pop1.6
2Jun_3_202078.3778.880.44 80.29 81.0582.06(1.51%)13.04    -234.6% 0%-0% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%0.5%3.19%02.164 Breakdown Overbought1.7
3Jun_2_202078.1578.3279.54 79.66 79.9180.84(1.61%)11.16    -234.7% 0.1%--92% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%-0.06%0.2%3.2%0.81.863 Breakdown Overbought1.3
4Jun_1_202077.9478.1678.83 78.87 79.5279.56(-1.44%)5.98    -234.6% -235.4%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%0.3%3.24%-0.11.256 Breakdown N/A1
5May_29_202077.8378.1578.19 78.38 79.4180.72(2.13%)12.82    -236.3% 0.7%--92% 10% Solid DownMove-91.96%-0.72%0.4%3.26%1.12.166 Breakdown Overbought1.3
 
6May_28_202077.7478.0377.35 77.61 78.2179.04(1.92%)11.33    -234.6% -235.4%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%0.4%3.27%-0.21.165 Breakdown N/A0.9
7May_27_202077.877.9177.35 76.91 77.3677.55(0.38%)12.24    -234.5% -235.4%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%0%0.1%3.27%1-0.253 Breakdown Downtrend Pop1.5
8May_26_202077.9777.8876.92 76.96 7777.26(1.17%)18.24    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.01%0%-0.1%3.28%-0.9-0.548 Breakdown N/A1.3
9May_22_202078.2877.9677.42 77.08 76.4676.37(-0.24%)6.06    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.01%0%-0.4%3.23%0.1-0.950 Breakdown Downtrend Pop1.2
10May_21_202078.5377.9978.1 77.94 76.9276.55(-0.44%)8.59    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.01%0%-0.7%3.26%-0-147 Breakdown N/A1.1
 
11May_20_202078.7477.9478.8 78.67 77.6976.89(-0.85%)10.51    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.02%0%-1%3.26%-0.2-0.942 Breakdown N/A1.5
12May_19_202078.977.9879 79.24 78.9577.55(-2.72%)10.11    -234.6% -235.4%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%-1.2%3.26%-0.3-0.739 Breakdown N/A0.9
13May_18_202078.9678.0378.93 79.21 79.6479.72(-0.08%)11.97    -234.5% -235.3%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%0%-1.2%3.24%-0.20.443 Breakdown N/A1.4
14May_15_202079.1177.7478.56 78.77 79.5379.78(-0.34%)8.95    -234.5% -235.3%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%0%-1.7%3.24%0.40.335 Breakdown Downtrend Pop1
15May_14_202079.2677.577.89 78.3 78.7880.05(2.77%)10.88    -234.6% -235.4%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%-2.2%3.26%0.40.345 Breakdown Downtrend Pop0.8
 
16May_13_202079.3977.3877 77.53 7877.89(0.91%)10.39    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.02%0%-2.5%3.25%-0.2-0.642 Breakdown N/A0.1
17May_12_202079.5977.6376.84 77.07 77.8377.19(-0.92%)9.1    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.02%0%-2.5%3.25%-0.9-0.943 Breakdown N/A1.2
18May_11_202079.877877.01 77 77.0677.91(1.98%)10.13    -234.6% -235.4%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%-2.3%3.26%0.1-0.850 Breakdown Downtrend Pop2.3
19May_8_202080.0278.5576.8 77.15 76.376.4(1.06%)8.39    -234.6% -235.4%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%-1.8%3.23%0-1.435 Breakdown N/A2
20May_7_202080.3379.0577.05 77.21 76.9475.6(-1.97%)12.02    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.03%0%-1.6%3.25%-0.7-232 Breakdown N/A1.4
 
21May_6_202080.6579.6177.8 77.62 7877.12(-1.14%)11.82    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.02%0%-1.3%3.24%-1.1-1.636 Breakdown N/A0.8
22May_5_202080.7679.9278.53 78.11 77.4978.01(1.5%)7.06    -234.5% -235.3%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%0%-1%3.24%-0.4-1.341 Breakdown N/A1.1
23May_4_202080.8980.0279.16 78.69 77.2476.86(-1.04%)8.44    -234.5% -235.3%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%0%-1.1%3.25%0.2-2.136 Breakdown Downtrend Pop0.5
24May_1_202080.8980.6580.59 79.89 78.7377.67(-2.1%)9.08    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.01%0%-0.3%3.24%0.2-1.646 Breakdown Downtrend Pop0.4
25Apr_30_202080.9181.2481.34 81.35 80.1779.34(-1.77%)11.1    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.02%0%0.4%3.23%-0.1-0.844 Breakdown N/A1.3
iDateema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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