Trading Signals: MPC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: MPC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Marathon Petroleum Corporation)
MPC latest price $34.0447 (1.07%) ($33.7457 - $34.3964) on Thu. Jul. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $34.0447(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MPC advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MPC declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MPC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(69%)    OIH(63%)    XLI(61%)    XOP(60%)    IWM(59%)
Factors Impacting MPC price   MPC will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.49(-10.44%)
Resistance Level   $34.37
5 Day Moving Average   $33.65(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.01(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.37(-0.95%)
To recent high   -19.5%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $22.129b

Marathon Petroleum Corp. is an independent petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters in the United States. The company operates through the following segments: Refining & Marketing; Retail; and Midstream. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast and Midwest regions of the United States, purchases ethanol and refined products for resale and distributes refined products through various means, including barges, terminals and trucks that the company owns or operates. The Retail sells transportation fuels and convenience products in the retail market across the United States through company-owned and operated convenience stores, primarily under the Speedway brand, and long-term fuel supply contracts with direct dealers who operate locations mainly under the ARCO brand. The Midstream transports, stores, distributes and markets crude oil and refined products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats and barges; gathers, processes and transports natural gas; and gathers, transports, fractionates, stores and markets NGLs. Marathon Petroleum was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, OH.

$. MPC price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2014	38.05	34.37		33.65			34.04(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	2	-57	5.54	31%	-0.11	-172.8	1.48%	0	-0.5	34	0
2	Jul_23_2014	38.09	34.44	34.01	33.61			33.68(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-6	-76	4.28	31%	-0.13	-183.6	1.47%	0	-1.1	37	0
3	Jul_22_2014	38.14	34.64	34.07	33.77			33.32(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-11	-71	5.2	31%	-0.13	-120.8	1.47%	0	-1.3	41	0
4	Jul_21_2014	38.19	34.92	34.17	34.05			33.39(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-7	-54	5.12	31%	-0.16	-81.5	1.47%	0	-1.1	44	0
5	Jul_18_2014	38.25	35.2	34.33	34.24			33.82(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	-7	-42	5.39	31%	-0.13	-62.2	1.46%	0	-0.9	42	0

6	Jul_17_2014	38.3	35.47	34.5	34.41			33.82(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-2	-29	5.39	31%	-0.13	-50.3	1.47%	0	-0.9	37	0
7	Jul_16_2014	38.35	35.72	34.63	34.45			34.48(-0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	1	-31	5.11	37%	-0.13	-45	1.47%	0	-0.7	40	0
8	Jul_15_2014	38.4	35.89	34.64	34.42			34.74(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	4	-66	6.5	40%	-0.1	-44.1	1.51%	0	-0.6	29	0
9	Jul_14_2014	38.44	36.04	34.6	34.32			34.33(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-35	-10000	-5	-124	4.89	42%	-0.13	-47.2	1.53%	0	-0.9	22	0
10	Jul_11_2014	38.49	36.23	34.66	34.44			34.67(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-10000	-7	-161	5.68	40%	-0.13	-47.3	1.54%	0	-0.8	22	0

11	Jul_10_2014	38.54	36.4	34.74	34.62			34.04(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-54	-10000	-8	-191	6.56	38%	-0.16	-46.8	1.53%	0	-1.2	17	0
12	Jul_9_2014	38.6	36.59	34.9	34.84			34.33(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-10000	-1	-210	5.03	38%	-0.13	-48.2	1.53%	0	-1.2	22	0
13	Jul_8_2014	38.65	36.76	35.24	34.88			34.22(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-10000	-1	-209	6.53	38%	-0.15	-52.4	1.54%	0	-1.4	30	0
14	Jul_7_2014	38.71	36.98	35.71	34.88			34.94(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-10000	0	-198	5.31	38%	-0.13	-57.2	1.53%	0	-1.2	35	0
15	Jul_3_2014	38.76	37.17	36.13	34.88			35.57(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-47	-10000	0	-188	4.32	39%	-0.1	-61.7	1.53%	0	-1	36	0

16	Jul_2_2014	38.8	37.32	36.49	34.9			35.12(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-10000	-4	-182	6.28	37%	-0.13	-65.4	1.52%	0	-1.3	32	0
17	Jul_1_2014	38.85	37.51	36.87	35			34.56(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-10000	-25	-173	5.79	39%	-0.15	-66.8	1.54%	0	-1.9	32	0
18	Jun_30_2014	38.91	37.73	37.24	35.69			34.33(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-10000	-33	-134	7.78	39%	-0.15	-58.7	1.57%	0	-2.3	30	0
19	Jun_27_2014	38.97	37.99	37.61	36.65			34.91(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-45	-10000	-30	-89	14.65	39%	-0.15	-44.7	1.56%	0	-2.5	29	0
20	Jun_26_2014	39.03	38.22	37.95	37.54			35.58(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-30	-10000	-26	-43	9.66	39%	-0.1	-25.6	1.56%	0	-2.5	31	0

21	Jun_25_2014	39.07	38.43	38.23	38.31			35.6(-6.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-18	-10000	-22	-5	27.58	39%	-0.13	-2.7	1.57%	0	-3.3	30	0
22	Jun_24_2014	39.12	38.59	38.48	38.98			38.01(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.6	10	-10000	-0	39	6.24	43%	-0.05	23.9	1.37%	0	-1	44	0
23	Jun_23_2014	39.14	38.6	38.46	38.99			39.12(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	10	34	3.87	46%	0	18.1	1.34%	0	0.9	53	0
24	Jun_20_2014	39.14	38.56	38.38	38.72			39.4(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	11	6	7.13	45%	0	0.7	1.34%	0	1.4	46	0
25	Jun_19_2014	39.14	38.5	38.28	38.44			39.4(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	3	-10000	10	-20	5.88	42%		-22.1	1.34%	0	1.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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