Trading Signals: MP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 12, 2023

Trading Signals: MP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 22, 2020 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MP Materials Corp)
MP latest price $25.5100 (0.79%) ($25.3100 - $25.8500) on Wed. Jul. 12, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $25.5100(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MP advances 7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
REMX(71%)    XRT(67%)    ACES(66%)    ICLN(66%)    IWM(66%)
Factors Impacting MP price   MP will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-25%)    UUP(-23%)    TBT(-23%)    VIXM(-20%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.08(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.2(5.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.21(9.91%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   24.4%
Market Cap   $4.133b

$. MP price fluctuates within 5.86% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.85%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.77%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 5.38%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -3.62%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.26%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.43%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2023	25.08	23.21	24.2	25.08	25.18	25.38	25.51(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	70	13	168	3.03	56%	-0.28	57.3	2.77%	0.8	1.7	84	1.1
2	Jul_11_2023	25.15	23.02	23.85	24.88	24.87	25.18	25.31(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	90	16	161	3.41	56%	0.04	58.1	2.78%	0.6	1.8	76	-0.3
3	Jul_10_2023	25.14	22.85	23.47	24.45	24.85	24.98	25.25(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	90	27	133	3.66	56%	-0.32	57.5	2.79%	0.7	2.1	68	-0.5
4	Jul_7_2023	25.22	22.7	23.08	23.98	24.35	24.57	25.01(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	110	15	89	4.71	56%	-0.36	60.1	2.79%	1	2.3	60	-0.3
5	Jul_6_2023	25.31	22.58	22.76	23.55	23.9	24.71	24.3(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	280	26	64	6.37	54%	-0.43	67.2	2.79%	0.5	2	61	-0.6

6	Jul_5_2023	25.42	22.45	22.51	23.19	23.47	24.13	24.55(6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	46	230	43	54	9.19	54%	-0.63	65	2.79%	1.3	2.8	69	0.9
7	Jul_3_2023	25.58	22.32	22.25	22.67	22.75	23.1	23.16(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	120	22	22	1.52	50%	-0.31	59.8	2.7%	0	1.5	62	1.2
8	Jun_30_2023	25.66	22.21	22.2	22.32	22.35	22.8	22.88(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	140	21	7	1.89	50%	-0.35	33.9	2.69%	1	1.3	56	1
9	Jun_29_2023	25.75	22.11	22.23	22.04	22.01	22.39	22.85(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	14	120	19	-2	2.01	53%	-0.39	7.6	2.69%	1.2	1.3	52	1
10	Jun_28_2023	25.85	22.02	22.2	21.85	21.71	21.89	22.52(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	40	10	-17	2.59	53%	-0.39	-5.8	2.74%	1.9	0.8	46	1.2

11	Jun_27_2023	25.95	21.98	22.2	21.73	21.62	21.62	21.93(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-20	-1	-30	1.65	53%	-0.46	-8.2	2.72%	1.4	-0.1	52	1.1
12	Jun_26_2023	26.07	21.99	22.13	21.79	21.7	21.52	21.43(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-70	-12	-33	2.29	53%	-0.5	-4.9	2.72%	-0.4	-0.8	47	1
13	Jun_23_2023	26.2	22.03	22.21	22.06	21.85	21.63	21.45(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-100	-21	-11	4.45	53%	-0.53	6.8	2.72%	-1.3	-0.9	57	1.1
14	Jun_22_2023	26.34	22.03	22.32	22.44	22.24	21.88	21.94(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-140	-11	30	2.73	50%	-0.45	29.1	2.71%	0.4	-0.2	62	1.4
15	Jun_21_2023	26.46	22.06	22.42	22.6	22.47	22.07	21.88(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	7	-140	-10	56	2.15	50%	-0.41	36.5	2.76%	-0.5	-0.3	58	1.3

16	Jun_20_2023	26.57	22.03	22.43	22.57	22.61	22.6	22.25(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	0	-2	60	3.19	50%	-0.56	35.3	2.78%	-0.6	0.3	55	1.2
17	Jun_16_2023	26.72	22.02	22.41	22.5	22.53	22.87	22.77(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	110	11	61	3.89	50%	-0.3	34.5	2.77%	1.1	1.1	53	1.6
18	Jun_15_2023	26.8	21.98	22.24	22.38	22.29	22.61	23.34(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	90	14	46	2.79	47%	-0.41	27.8	2.75%	0	2.1	57	1.2
19	Jun_13_2023	26.91	21.87	21.98	22.21	22.19	22.19	22.75(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-0	2	22	7.9	47%	-0.3	14.2	2.77%	1.7	1.5	55	1.3
20	Jun_12_2023	26.99	21.82	21.98	22.24	22.29	21.96	21.76(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-100	-6	14	2.67	43%	-0.33	19.8	2.7%	-0.8	-0.1	50	1.4

21	Jun_9_2023	27.08	21.8	21.81	22.26	22.37	22.19	21.86(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-40	-9	18	3.06	40%	-0.26	25.8	2.72%	-1.2	0.1	56	1.7
22	Jun_8_2023	27.15	21.79	21.84	22.3	22.35	22.63	22.18(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	90	11	30	4.8	40%	-0.26	38.3	2.79%	-1.2	0.7	50	2
23	Jun_7_2023	27.22	21.81	21.83	22.05	22.24	22.55	22.52(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	120	26	23	3.97	38%	-0.29	41.2	2.78%	0.2	1.3	53	2.2
24	Jun_6_2023	27.3	21.79	21.77	21.69	21.72	22.08	22.89(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	15	120	18	7	3.93	38%	-0.15	38.5	2.83%	1.8	2	63	2.4
25	Jun_5_2023	27.34	21.72	21.65	21.34	21.35	21.93	21.85(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	190	13	-14	2.35	34%		22.6	2.76%	0.5	0.3	51	2.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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