Trading Signals: MP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2020

Trading Signals: MP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 22, 2020 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MP Materials Corp)
MP latest price $39.1400 (9.57%) ($37.5500 - $40.7400) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.46% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $39.1400(9.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MP advances 8.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MP advances 20% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(59%)    IWM(58%)    IWC(57%)    REMX(57%)    IDRV(56%)
Factors Impacting MP price   MP will decline at least -2.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-18%)    VXX(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    EDOC(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.73% (StdDev 5.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.64(16.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.06(30.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.59(47.2%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   253.2%
Market Cap   $6.341b

$. MP price fluctuates within 18.92% (three month std-dev: 5.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.5%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.24%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2020	15.99	26.59	30.06	33.64	34.39	36.62	39.14(9.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	122	520	79	251	9.03	79%	1.78	105.5	5.46%	0	2.5	86	-0.7
2	Dec_21_2020	15.71	25.54	28.69	30.95	31.36	33.3	35.72(9.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	86	470	46	205	6.75	78%	1.55	107.2	5.38%	0	2.3	85	-1.6
3	Dec_18_2020	15.47	24.57	27.8	29.07	29.3	32.15	32.51(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	700	50	193	5.96	77%	1.38	104.3	5.32%	0	2	78	1.2
4	Dec_17_2020	15.26	23.73	26.85	27.85	27.86	29.42	32.62(15.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	88	390	58	177	15.98	77%	1.4	98.9	5.31%	0	2.2	77	1.6
5	Dec_16_2020	15.05	22.85	25.77	26.36	26.31	26.45	28.23(9.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	30	10	129	6.74	75%	1.01	93.6	5.03%	0	1.4	69	1.5

6	Dec_15_2020	14.9	22.17	25.05	25.94	25.88	26.3	25.68(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	110	-1	113	1.83	74%	0.88	90	4.91%	0	0.9	65	0.8
7	Dec_14_2020	14.77	21.6	24.58	26.04	26.05	26.16	26.3(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	30	1	132	2.07	75%	0.89	90.8	4.92%	0	1.1	76	-0.6
8	Dec_11_2020	14.64	20.99	24.11	26.32	26.37	25.45	26.43(5.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	48	-240	5	177	3.64	75%	0.83	95	4.93%	0	1.2	81	0.3
9	Dec_10_2020	14.52	20.36	23.63	25.64	26.52	25.93	25.14(-3.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-50	-0	196	2.89	74%	0.69	92.2	4.91%	0	1.1	81	0.9
10	Dec_9_2020	14.42	19.77	23.33	25.04	25.87	27.3	26.13(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	80	490	27	237	3.2	74%	0.98	89.4	4.9%	0	1.4	85	1

11	Dec_8_2020	14.28	19.08	22.92	23.99	24.62	27.11	26.21(-5.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	112	790	59	269	5.78	74%	1.06	83.5	4.94%	0	1.6	86	1.6
12	Dec_7_2020	14.13	18.34	22.18	22.86	22.71	24.45	27.68(20.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	109	520	55	271	6.16	77%	1.22	76.8	4.88%	0	2.1	91	1.1
13	Dec_4_2020	13.96	17.53	21.07	21.63	21.46	22.12	23.06(4.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	86	190	22	277	1.75	73%	0.94	75.2	4.28%	0	1.4	89	1.2
14	Dec_3_2020	13.83	16.96	20.36	21.36	21.09	20.97	22.11(5.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	72	-80	-1	290	2.03	72%	0.8	76.1	4.28%	0	1.3	89	0.9
15	Dec_2_2020	13.72	16.43	19.69	21.4	21.35	20.79	20.91(1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	73	-190	-13	329	2.13	72%	0.81	79.4	4.23%	0	1.1	89	1

16	Dec_1_2020	13.61	15.96	19.07	21.66	21.76	21.2	20.55(-4.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.3	96	-170	-2	389	1.96	72%	0.81	82.8	4.3%	0	1.2	90	1
17	Nov_30_2020	13.5	15.48	18.44	21.31	21.98	21.9	21.52(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	127	70	23	440	3.59	75%	0.82	78.6	4.22%	0	1.6	96	1.1
18	Nov_27_2020	13.39	14.94	17.69	20.36	21.23	22.31	21.71(-2.6%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.4	141	480	43	434	2.19	77%	1.13	70.2	4.26%	0	1.8	93	1.1
19	Nov_25_2020	13.24	14.4	16.87	19.16	19.72	22.05	22.29(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	156	910	71	412	2.83	77%	0.91	61.2	4.25%	0	2.4	94	1.3
20	Nov_24_2020	13.12	13.82	15.93	17.72	18.22	20.14	22.23(18.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	159	820	89	368	7.28	77%	1	51.1	4.25%	0	3	94	1.1

21	Nov_23_2020	12.99	13.28	14.91	16.15	16.72	17.38	18.8(12.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	124	380	58	322	4.47	74%	0.46	42	3.67%	0	2.7	92	1.1
22	Nov_20_2020	12.93	12.95	14.16	15.19	15.71	16.29	16.75(6.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	94	360	32	279	2.97	70%	0.54	31.6	3.39%	0	2.4	91	1.2
23	Nov_19_2020	12.86	12.75	13.65	14.62	15.07	16.06	15.73(4.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	92	550	36	261	3.91	69%	0.39	23.3	3.31%	0	2.2	90	1.3
24	Nov_18_2020	12.81	12.61	13.26	14.21	14.55	15.12	15.09(4.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	90	350	38	246	4.91	67%	0.39	14.2	3.27%	0	2.1	83	1.3
25	Nov_17_2020	12.76	12.52	12.9	13.85	13.92	14.07	14.39(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	90	22	224	1.15	65%		7.3	3.24%	0	1.7	82	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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