Trading Signals: MO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: MO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Altria Group Inc)
MO latest price $41.4705 (1.02%) ($41.1265 - $41.6467) on Tue. Nov. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $41.4705(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MO advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(62%)    SPY(46%)    XLI(46%)    VT(43%)    XLB(43%)
Factors Impacting MO price   MO will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.57(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.2(3.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.51(4.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $77.068b

Altria Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in the United States. It operates through the following segments: Smokeable Products, Smokeless Products, and Wine. The Smokeable Products segment comprised of cigarettes manufactured and sold by PM USA and machine-made large cigars and pipe tobacco manufactured and sold by Middleton. The Smokeless products segment manufactured and sold by or on behalf of USSTC and PM USA. The Wine segment producer of Washington State wines, primarily Chateau Ste. Michelle and Columbia Crest, and owns wineries in or distributes wines from several other wine regions. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Richmond, VA.

$. MO price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2014	36.5	39.51	40.2	40.57			41.47(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	60	-10000	18	186	5.51	74%	0.19	58.7	0.85%	0	2.2	88	0
2	Nov_3_2014	36.43	39.36	39.99	40.26			41.05(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	-10000	13	170	5.34	73%	0.19	58	0.84%	0	2.2	74	0
3	Oct_31_2014	36.36	39.25	39.77	40.04			40.56(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	-10000	8	157	7.82	68%	0.17	61.3	0.83%	0	2	73	0
4	Oct_30_2014	36.3	39.15	39.55	39.9			39.86(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	4	130	7.67	64%	0.14	61.4	0.83%	0	1.1	57	0
5	Oct_29_2014	36.25	39.07	39.37	39.84			39.92(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	5	107	7.25	64%	0.17	62.8	0.85%	0	1.4	61	0

6	Oct_28_2014	36.19	38.99	39.2	39.75			39.88(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	5	83	6.47	64%	0.17	61.6	0.85%	0	1.5	55	0
7	Oct_27_2014	36.13	38.92	39.08	39.66			39.98(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	12	81	4.35	64%	0.17	70.2	0.85%	0	1.9	62	0
8	Oct_24_2014	36.07	38.85	38.94	39.46			39.85(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	18	57	3.67	64%	0.17	71.3	0.86%	0	2	56	0
9	Oct_23_2014	36.01	38.78	38.86	39.15			39.55(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	20	35	4.89	64%	0.17	63.7	0.86%	0	1.6	57	0
10	Oct_22_2014	35.95	38.69	38.79	38.82			39.49(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14	-10000	15	12	6.45	64%	0.14	51.7	0.86%	0	1.8	62	0

11	Oct_21_2014	35.9	38.63	38.76	38.57			39.46(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	6	-10000	8	-2	5.62	64%	0.17	43.4	0.86%	0	1.8	58	0
12	Oct_20_2014	35.84	38.54	38.76	38.43			38.95(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	4	-17	5.28	62%	0.14	42.9	0.85%	0	1	54	0
13	Oct_17_2014	35.79	38.49	38.67	38.36			38.32(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-11	-24	9.31	59%	0.11	46.2	0.83%	0	-0.4	47	0
14	Oct_16_2014	35.75	38.47	38.72	38.54			37.9(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-10	-10000	-13	-1	10.72	57%	0.14	67.7	0.83%	0	-1.2	46	0
15	Oct_15_2014	35.7	38.46	38.76	38.74			38.21(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-10000	-14	26	14.21	49%	0.14	87.4	0.82%	0	-0.5	56	0

16	Oct_14_2014	35.65	38.43	38.79	38.96			38.75(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	2	50	7.13	52%	0.08	98	0.93%	0	0.6	55	0
17	Oct_13_2014	35.62	38.36	38.79	38.93			38.64(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-5	61	8.66	52%	0.14	99.4	0.93%	0	0.5	61	0
18	Oct_10_2014	35.57	38.29	38.77	39.01			39.2(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	5	83	9.35	57%	0.17	92.9	0.92%	0	1.2	60	0
19	Oct_9_2014	35.51	38.14	38.69	38.92			38.91(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	9	90	7.89	57%	0.17	84.2	0.91%	0	0.9	61	0
20	Oct_8_2014	35.45	38.01	38.59	38.77			39.27(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	10	83	6.55	59%	0.2	78.8	0.9%	0	1.5	66	0

21	Oct_7_2014	35.38	37.87	38.49	38.6			38.64(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	1	80	6.15	56%	0.14	75	0.89%	0	0.9	63	0
22	Oct_6_2014	35.33	37.75	38.4	38.58			39.03(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	5	89	6.74	59%	0.17	73.4	0.88%	0	1.4	70	0
23	Oct_3_2014	35.27	37.6	38.3	38.5			38.76(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	4	98	7.19	61%	0.17	72.9	0.88%	0	1.2	69	0
24	Oct_2_2014	35.21	37.47	38.19	38.44			38.16(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	4	120	8.06	58%	0.14	72	0.87%	0	0.7	73	0
25	Oct_1_2014	35.16	37.35	38.14	38.38			38.41(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	1	138	7.52	58%		70.2	0.87%	0	1.1	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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