Trading Signals: MGA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: MGA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Magna International Inc.)
MGA latest price $45.2100 (1.19%) ($44.6800 - $45.2900) on Tue. Feb. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $45.2100(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MGA advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MGA advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MGA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    IWN(71%)    IWD(70%)    EWG(69%)    IVE(69%)
Factors Impacting MGA price   MGA will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-18%)    TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.04(2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.69(3.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.33(4.34%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $149.916b

$. MGA price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.22%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.74%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.35%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2017	42.58	43.33	43.69	44.04	44.13	44.78	45.21(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	42	110	39	52	1	72%	0.09	-21.6	1.6%	0	2.5	56	INF
2	Feb_13_2017	42.54	43.24	43.48	43.6	43.59	44.25	44.68(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	39	110	40	34	1.54	72%	0.07	-49	1.6%	0	2.3	61	INF
3	Feb_10_2017	42.51	43.23	43.31	43.31	43.21	43.47	44.41(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	23	40	24	21	1.09	73%	0.07	-62.2	1.6%	0	1.8	66	INF
4	Feb_9_2017	42.48	43.25	43.31	43.14	43.07	42.93	43.2(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-30	-2	4	1.22	65%	0.05	-64	1.58%	0	-0.1	55	INF
5	Feb_8_2017	42.46	43.36	43.13	43.11	43.19	42.95	42.69(-0.81%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-10	-30	-14	2	0.91	65%	0.07	-51.7	1.68%	0	-0.8	52	INF

6	Feb_7_2017	42.43	43.49	43.26	43.27	43.31	43.2	43.04(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-20	-10	22	1.02	66%	0.07	-38.5	1.68%	0	-0.5	54	INF
7	Feb_6_2017	42.4	43.55	43.27	43.32	43.38	43.43	43.2(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	10	2	24	0.76	66%	0.09	-33.2	1.7%	0	-0.4	46	INF
8	Feb_3_2017	42.36	43.64	43.17	43.29	43.33	43.42	43.58(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	20	10	6	1.22	64%	0.09	-26.5	1.7%	0	-0.1	40	INF
9	Feb_2_2017	42.32	43.71	43.08	43.13	43.16	43.33	43.06(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	30	4	-22	0.83	64%	0.07	-22.9	1.71%	0	-0.6	36	INF
10	Feb_1_2017	42.29	43.82	43.04	43.15	43.06	43.23	43.46(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	20	3	-44	1.05	61%	0.12	-17.8	1.71%	0	-0.3	34	INF

11	Jan_31_2017	42.24	43.86	42.96	43.27	43.13	42.99	43.28(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	-30	1	-59	1.11	61%	0.07	-14.6	1.73%	0	-0.5	35	INF
12	Jan_30_2017	42.21	43.87	42.99	43.23	43.29	42.89	43.07(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-60	-5	-68	1.74	61%	0.07	-17.4	1.73%	0	-0.7	43	INF
13	Jan_27_2017	42.18	43.91	43.15	43.03	43.26	43.27	42.76(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	20	-8	-81	0.91	61%	0.05	-26.9	1.73%	0	-1	38	INF
14	Jan_26_2017	42.16	43.96	43.36	43.01	43.09	43.68	43.16(-2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	100	19	-73	1.06	62%	0.02	-33.7	1.73%	0	-0.7	38	INF
15	Jan_25_2017	42.15	43.96	43.59	42.89	42.87	43.25	44.07(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	8	60	34	-72	1.33	65%	0.07	-39.1	1.72%	0	0	41	INF

16	Jan_24_2017	42.12	44.02	43.7	42.61	42.58	42.51	43.08(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10	-5	-94	1.38	64%	0.02	-49	1.71%	0	-0.9	44	INF
17	Jan_23_2017	42.11	44.07	43.83	42.75	42.71	42.48	42.09(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-40	-28	-94	1.21	62%	0.02	-49.8	1.69%	0	-1.9	45	INF
18	Jan_20_2017	42.1	44.21	44.13	43.3	43.13	42.66	42.64(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-90	-31	-62	1.18	62%	0.07	-39.6	1.69%	0	-1.6	46	INF
19	Jan_19_2017	42.07	44.32	44.4	43.78	43.66	42.95	42.57(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-45	-120	-47	-37	1.77	62%	0.05	-34.7	1.69%	0	-2	47	INF
20	Jan_18_2017	42.05	44.44	44.68	44.39	44.3	43.6	42.68(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-35	-120	-46	-2	1.89	58%	0.07	-30.1	1.69%	0	-2.3	42	INF

21	Jan_17_2017	42.02	44.55	44.68	44.94	44.81	44.37	43.76(-2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-12	-80	-26	31	1.84	61%	0.12	-27	1.72%	0	-1.2	49	INF
22	Jan_13_2017	41.97	44.61	44.87	45.04	45.1	45.01	44.84(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10	-8	41	1.1	64%	0.12	-36	1.69%	0	0.4	58	INF
23	Jan_12_2017	41.92	44.59	44.76	45.09	45.05	45.26	45.06(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	30	2	40	1.12	64%	0.12	-44.6	1.7%	0	0.8	53	INF
24	Jan_11_2017	41.87	44.63	44.62	45.11	45.01	45.2	45.62(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	20	13	38	1.67	64%	0.12	-25.5	1.69%	0	1.6	55	INF
25	Jan_10_2017	41.82	44.67	44.48	45.05	44.98	44.83	45.41(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-30	6	30	1.45	64%		1.4	1.69%	0	1.1	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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