Trading Signals: MELI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: MELI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MercadoLibre Inc)
MELI latest price $146.1187 (-1.03%) ($145.4549 - $148.3479) on Fri. May. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $146.1187(-1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MELI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MELI declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MELI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(63%)    SPY(56%)    XLY(56%)    XLK(55%)    VT(53%)
Factors Impacting MELI price   MELI will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $146.04(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.37(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $144.57(1.07%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   21.9%
Market Cap   $7.264b

MercadoLibre, Inc. engages in the provision of online commerce platform with focus on e-commerce and its related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, Venezuela, and Other Countries. The firm provides users a mechanism for buying, selling and paying as well as collecting, generating leads, and comparing lists through e-commerce transactions. The company was founded by Marcos Eduardo Galperin on October 15, 1999 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

$. MELI price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2015	129.93	144.57	145.37	146.04			146.12(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	2	-8	0.29	48%	0.12	68.8	1.5%	0	0.4	37	0
2	May_21_2015	129.77	144.11	145.28	145.84			147.63(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	4	-8	0.26	48%	0.17	73.3	1.51%	0	0.9	57	0
3	May_20_2015	129.55	143.62	144.87	145.4			145.74(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	5	-7	0.31	48%	0.15	76.7	1.51%	0	0.5	60	0
4	May_19_2015	129.35	143.2	144.98	144.91			144.24(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1	-10000	-0	-4	0.4	46%	0.13	76.1	1.51%	0	0.2	57	0
5	May_18_2015	129.18	142.8	145.32	144.93			146.46(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	3	20	0.22	48%	0.14	74	1.51%	0	0.8	65	0

6	May_15_2015	129	142.13	145.69	144.6			145.11(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	-0	53	0.17	48%	0.13	66.3	1.5%	0	0.5	69	0
7	May_14_2015	128.83	141.36	145.61	144.64			145.44(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	3	75	0.28	48%	0.16	61.2	1.51%	0	0.7	67	0
8	May_13_2015	128.63	140.62	145.22	144.3			143.32(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-7	76	0.26	48%	0.15	59	1.52%	0	0.4	62	0
9	May_12_2015	128.44	140.03	145.11	145.07			144.33(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-6	102	0.42	51%	0.15	63.3	1.53%	0	0.7	65	0
10	May_11_2015	128.25	139.36	144.64	145.76			144.83(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	-10	120	0.33	51%	0.15	68.4	1.57%	0	0.8	67	0

11	May_8_2015	128.06	138.61	143.8	146.97			145.28(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	-10000	2	156	0.48	54%	0.15	77.2	1.57%	0	1	72	0
12	May_7_2015	127.87	137.86	142.95	146.72			143.76(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	48	-10000	5	176	0.98	54%	0.13	80.7	1.58%	0	0.9	75	0
13	May_6_2015	127.7	137.11	142.38	146.17			147.14(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	-10000	10	197	0.77	53%	0.17	81.9	1.56%	0	1.5	78	0
14	May_5_2015	127.48	136.11	141.33	145.07			147.81(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	-10000	16	198	0.58	53%	0.13	83.6	1.6%	0	1.7	76	0
15	May_4_2015	127.32	134.99	140.09	143.3			150.86(4.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	70	-10000	28	196	0.9	55%	0.15	84.1	1.58%	0	2.5	82	0

16	May_1_2015	127.13	133.66	138.17	140.24			144.01(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	52	-10000	15	162	0.29	54%	0.08	87.8	1.5%	0	1.9	79	0
17	Apr_30_2015	127.03	132.65	136.67	138.68			141.02(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	6	132	0.63	48%	0.06	87.1	1.49%	0	1.6	73	0
18	Apr_29_2015	126.96	131.73	135.57	138.02			141.66(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	38	-10000	9	126	0.46	48%	0.02	87	1.54%	0	1.9	77	0
19	Apr_28_2015	126.93	130.71	134.47	137.04			138.95(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10000	6	122	0.73	46%	0.01	84.4	1.53%	0	1.6	77	0
20	Apr_27_2015	126.92	129.79	133.6	136.39			135.59(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	6	129	0.3	42%	-0.01	77.5	1.51%	0	1.1	76	0

21	Apr_24_2015	126.93	129.11	133	135.73			136.21(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	15	137	0.32	42%	-0.02	72.3	1.5%	0	1.4	79	0
22	Apr_23_2015	126.95	128.31	132.4	134.25			137.69(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	44	-10000	15	132	0.28	42%	-0.01	62.9	1.51%	0	1.8	85	0
23	Apr_22_2015	126.96	127.4	131.45	132.7			136.77(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	40	-10000	12	124	0.36	42%	-0.02	52.3	1.51%	0	1.9	85	0
24	Apr_21_2015	126.98	126.59	130.49	131.54			135.69(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	39	-10000	11	122	0.41	42%	-0.02	44.6	1.53%	0	2	86	0
25	Apr_20_2015	127.01	125.98	129.48	130.48			132.3(2.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10000	6	122	0.31	39%		41.4	1.5%	0	1.6	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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