Trading Signals: MELI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: MELI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MercadoLibre Inc)
MELI latest price $111.0181 (0.73%) ($109.9026 - $111.3833) on Fri. Sep. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $111.0181(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MELI declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MELI declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MELI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(62%)    SPY(55%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(55%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting MELI price   MELI will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $113.38
5 Day Moving Average   $111.24(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.86(-1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.38(-2.08%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   29.3%
Market Cap   $5.519b

MercadoLibre, Inc. engages in the provision of online commerce platform with focus on e-commerce and its related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, Venezuela, and Other Countries. The firm provides users a mechanism for buying, selling and paying as well as collecting, generating leads, and comparing lists through e-commerce transactions. The company was founded by Marcos Eduardo Galperin on October 15, 1999 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

$. MELI price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2014	95.15	113.38	112.86	111.24			111.02(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-4	-46	0.36	71%	0.25	-5.6	2.35%	0	-1.3	43	0
2	Sep_18_2014	94.91	113.49	113.35	111.71			110.21(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-4	-35	0.48	71%	0.2	8.5	2.36%	0	-1.9	41	0
3	Sep_17_2014	94.72	113.6	113.92	112.21			112.07(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0.2	71%	0.28	22.4	2.35%	0	-0.9	48	0
4	Sep_16_2014	94.46	113.64	114.3	112.91			111.99(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-6	-12	0.34	71%	0.28	48.9	2.35%	0	-1	47	0
5	Sep_15_2014	94.2	113.57	114.52	113.73			110.92(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-5	-10000	-7	2	0.58	71%	0.27	64.9	2.35%	0	-1.5	49	0

6	Sep_12_2014	93.95	113.49	114.84	114.71			113.36(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-4	18	0.43	71%	0.28	81.1	2.33%	0	-0.1	61	0
7	Sep_11_2014	93.69	113.34	114.85	115.23			112.73(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-5	26	0.77	71%	0.3	125.1	2.34%	0	-0.3	53	0
8	Sep_10_2014	93.41	113.23	114.94	115.85			115.55(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	-0	40	0.8	76%	0.34	168.9	2.32%	0	1	78	0
9	Sep_9_2014	93.09	112.86	114.71	115.9			116.11(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	3	44	0.61	76%	0.36	189.8	2.32%	0	1.3	74	0
10	Sep_8_2014	92.76	112.44	114.31	115.45			115.82(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	4	44	0.19	76%	0.26	208.9	2.32%	0	1.3	81	0

11	Sep_5_2014	92.52	111.9	113.94	114.98			115.94(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	15	-10000	4	46	0.25	79%	0.35	202.7	2.32%	0	1.4	85	0
12	Sep_4_2014	92.2	110.75	113.61	114.43			115.82(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	4	45	0.7	79%	0.36	111.5	2.35%	0	1	72	0
13	Sep_3_2014	91.87	109.61	113.2	113.89			115.81(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	4	43	0.9	79%	0.37	87.6	2.36%	0	1	71	0
14	Sep_2_2014	91.53	108.44	112.85	113.37			113.85(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	3	47	0.6	79%	0.39	76.4	2.35%	0	0.7	74	0
15	Aug_29_2014	91.17	107.4	112.48	113.01			113.48(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	47	0.53	77%	0.31	66	2.38%	0	0.7	73	0

16	Aug_28_2014	90.89	106.29	112.01	112.74			113.21(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	13	-10000	1	50	0.32	77%	0.25	63.6	2.5%	0	0.8	79	0
17	Aug_27_2014	90.66	105.23	111.7	112.65			113.12(-0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10000	2	88	0.37	77%	0.32	63.2	2.53%	0	0.9	90	0
18	Aug_26_2014	90.37	104.23	111.41	112.39			113.21(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	1	126	0.65	77%	0.34	63.6	2.53%	0	1	89	0
19	Aug_25_2014	90.06	103.08	110.87	112.26			112.04(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	43	-10000	3	163	0.26	77%	0.28	64.2	2.55%	0	0.9	89	0
20	Aug_22_2014	89.81	102.01	110.45	111.86			112.09(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	53	-10000	5	198	0.4	79%	0.23	64.4	2.55%	0	1.1	86	0

21	Aug_21_2014	89.6	100.87	109.73	111.13			112.77(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	-10000	4	223	0.48	79%	0.21	64.1	2.58%	0	1.3	88	0
22	Aug_20_2014	89.41	99.74	107.72	110.59			111.82(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	-10000	2	225	0.34	73%	0.19	66.9	2.58%	0	1.3	85	0
23	Aug_19_2014	89.24	98.57	105.82	110.28			112.56(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	61	-10000	7	224	0.51	73%	0.22	67.8	2.64%	0	1.5	81	0
24	Aug_18_2014	89.04	97.33	103.73	109.31			110.05(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	58	-10000	3	222	0.5	73%	0.17	67.9	2.64%	0	1.5	82	0
25	Aug_15_2014	88.89	96.2	101.96	108.85			108.47(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	62	-10000	6	229	0.59	73%		69.2	2.64%	0	1.5	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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