Trading Signals: MDLZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: MDLZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Mondelez International Inc)
MDLZ latest price $37.6484 (0.38%) ($37.4976 - $37.9499) on Thu. Feb. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $37.6484(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MDLZ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MDLZ declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MDLZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(73%)    SDY(62%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)    VYM(61%)
Factors Impacting MDLZ price   MDLZ will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.68(2.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.02(4.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.38(0.72%)
To recent high   -12.7%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $53.764b

Mondelez International, Inc. engages in the manufacture and marketing of snack food and beverage products. It operates through the following geographical segments: Latin America; Asia, Middle East, and Africa; Europe; and North America. Its products include beverages, biscuits, meals, chocolate, gum, and candy. Its brands include but not limited to Nabisco, Oreo, and LU biscuits; Cadbury, Cadbury Dairy Milk, and Milka chocolates; and Trident gum. The company was founded by James Lewis Kraft in 1903 is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. MDLZ price fluctuates within 4.82% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2016	40.73	37.38	36.02	36.68			37.65(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	9	-80	7.25	47%	-0.05	-25.1	2.2%	0	0.1	43	0
2	Feb_17_2016	40.75	37.41	35.92	36.32			37.51(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	13	-106	11.1	47%	-0.02	-34.1	2.21%	0	0.1	44	0
3	Feb_16_2016	40.76	37.48	36.07	35.8			36.86(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-21	-10000	14	-125	11.14	48%	-0.02	-41.7	2.19%	0	-0.3	41	0
4	Feb_12_2016	40.77	37.54	36.36	35.27			35.9(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	-10000	2	-139	7.1	45%	-0.1	-51.4	2.16%	0	-0.9	43	0
5	Feb_11_2016	40.81	37.69	36.8	35.2			35.5(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-10000	-2	-135	11.39	45%	-0.1	-54.2	2.17%	0	-1.2	36	0

6	Feb_10_2016	40.85	37.84	37.16	35.26			35.83(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-6	-129	12.75	45%	-0.07	-63.9	2.16%	0	-1.1	44	0
7	Feb_9_2016	40.88	38.04	37.45	35.49			34.91(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-10000	-24	-128	11.31	43%	-0.15	-66.8	2.13%	0	-1.8	39	0
8	Feb_8_2016	40.94	38.27	37.87	36.41			34.24(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-47	-10000	-30	-97	24.56	43%	-0.15	-63.7	2.12%	0	-2.6	33	0
9	Feb_5_2016	41	38.51	38.28	37.62			35.52(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-31	-10000	-25	-49	30.57	44%	-0.12	-67	2.09%	0	-2.4	43	0
10	Feb_4_2016	41.05	38.71	38.68	38.63			35.82(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-13	-10000	-16	-3	18.82	44%	-0.12	-69.7	2.09%	0	-2.7	40	0

11	Feb_3_2016	41.1	38.99	38.94	39.3			36.96(-6.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	0	-10000	-9	27	25.93	46%	-0.07	-65	2.06%	0	-2.1	47	0
12	Feb_2_2016	41.13	39.22	39.1	39.66			39.52(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	3	41	11.03	51%	0	-56.7	1.9%	0	0.3	49	0
13	Feb_1_2016	41.13	39.29	39.05	39.54			40.26(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	13	39	7.96	51%	0	-60.7	1.89%	0	0.9	54	0
14	Jan_29_2016	41.13	39.37	38.82	39.07			40.61(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	8	11	14.25	51%	0.02	-74.2	1.89%	0	1.1	58	0
15	Jan_28_2016	41.12	39.46	38.63	38.78			39.15(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	7	-4	11.62	48%	0	-69.1	1.82%	0	-0.2	50	0

16	Jan_27_2016	41.12	39.64	38.54	38.55			38.74(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-10000	2	-41	7.74	48%	-0.02	-59.8	1.82%	0	-0.6	39	0
17	Jan_26_2016	41.13	39.81	38.62	38.47			38.96(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-1	-62	8.13	48%	-0.07	-50.9	1.82%	0	-0.5	39	0
18	Jan_25_2016	41.16	39.99	38.64	38.49			37.87(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-1	-79	13.47	45%	-0.05	-46.6	1.78%	0	-1.2	36	0
19	Jan_22_2016	41.18	40.23	38.72	38.51			39.19(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	2	-108	9.51	51%	-0.02	-45.7	1.73%	0	-0.6	36	0
20	Jan_21_2016	41.19	40.37	38.71	38.46			38(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-1	-141	9.49	48%	-0.02	-43.5	1.74%	0	-1.3	28	0

21	Jan_20_2016	41.2	40.56	39.04	38.51			38.32(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-8	-155	12.8	48%	0	-40.8	1.74%	0	-1.2	28	0
22	Jan_19_2016	41.2	40.69	39.35	38.79			39.06(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-1	-148	14.06	50%	0	-37	1.73%	0	-0.9	36	0
23	Jan_15_2016	41.2	40.82	39.56	38.83			37.98(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-10000	-4	-162	19.07	49%	-0.05	-37.7	1.7%	0	-1.7	29	0
24	Jan_14_2016	41.22	41.04	39.98	38.96			38.97(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-10000	-1	-163	12.29	51%	0	-35.7	1.68%	0	-1.3	31	0
25	Jan_13_2016	41.22	41.17	40.35	39			38.24(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-10000	-19	-165	14.09	49%		-37	1.66%	0	-2	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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