Trading Signals: MCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 4, 2020

Trading Signals: MCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Moody's Corporation)
MCO latest price $266.8600 (2.24%) ($264.7200 - $269.2700) on Tue. Feb. 4, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $266.8600(2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCO advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(81%)    IVW(79%)    IWF(79%)    DIA(77%)    IWD(76%)
Factors Impacting MCO price   MCO will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-52%)    VXX(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $261.83(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $259.62(2.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $255.46(4.46%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.3%
Market Cap   $50.089b

Moody's Corp. engages in the provision of credit ratings, research, tools and analysis to the global capital markets. It operates through the Moody's Investors Service (MIS) and Moody's Analytics (MA) business segments. The Moody's Investors Service segment is a credit rating agency, which publishes credit ratings on debt obligations and the entities, including various corporate and governmental obligations, structured finance securities and commercial paper programs. The Moody's Analytics segment develops products and services, which support financial analysis and risk management activities of institutional participants in global financial markets. The company was founded by John Moody in 1900 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MCO price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 44 Average positive next day return: 1.07%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(45%) Sample size 44 Average positive next three day return: 1.93%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.5%(48%) Sample size 44 Average positive next weekly return: 2.7%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.41%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2020	228.64	255.46	259.62	261.83	262.03	264.12	266.86(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	292	60	315	223	0.74	77%	0.24	89.6	0.9%	1.3	1.9	74	-0.7
2	Feb_3_2020	228.09	254.21	258.51	260.49	260.46	259.59	261.01(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-20	1	93	0.74	74%	0.22	85.6	0.88%	0.5	1.1	65	-1.4
3	Jan_31_2020	227.59	253.24	258.15	259.32	260.12	259.95	256.79(-2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	0	-47	84	0.83	71%	0.2	78.3	0.86%	-2.2	0.5	65	-2.4
4	Jan_30_2020	227.14	252.53	258.11	259.08	259.22	261.33	263.81(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	139	60	125	181	0.56	84%	0.23	76.6	0.79%	1.4	1.6	76	-0.4
5	Jan_29_2020	226.61	251.21	257.01	257.74	258.02	260.29	260.67(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	246	60	251	232	0.44	85%	0.22	76.1	0.79%	0.9	1.5	77	-0.7

6	Jan_28_2020	226.11	250.08	255.92	257.1	256.89	257.11	260.19(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	126	0	106	184	0.75	85%	0.2	70.1	0.82%	1.8	1.5	81	-0.7
7	Jan_27_2020	225.66	249.02	255.04	256.33	256.46	255.75	255.12(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-27	-20	-80	133	0.71	83%	0.16	67.1	0.79%	-0.5	0.9	75	-1.9
8	Jan_24_2020	225.31	248.23	254.39	256.83	256.93	256.66	255.62(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10	-41	181	0.49	83%	0.16	69.8	0.79%	-1.7	1	77	0
9	Jan_23_2020	224.94	247.37	253.75	256.92	257.12	257.17	257.09(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	73	0	21	230	0.8	83%	0.2	72.5	0.8%	-0.3	1.4	78	1.2
10	Jan_22_2020	224.49	246.36	252.64	256.1	256.74	257.19	257.47(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	111	20	62	258	0.6	68%	0.21	72.3	0.81%	0	1.6	83	1.1

11	Jan_21_2020	224.03	245.36	251.04	254.5	255.67	257.08	256.34(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	143	50	109	243	0.91	68%	0.19	71	0.9%	0.2	1.6	81	1.4
12	Jan_17_2020	223.61	244.43	249.62	253.53	254.03	256.25	257.63(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	198	70	174	268	0.82	68%	0.19	72.8	0.89%	0.3	2	79	1.9
13	Jan_16_2020	223.19	243.33	247.95	251.61	252.47	254.39	256.05(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	219	60	205	259	0.6	68%	0.19	75.1	0.9%	1.3	2.2	78	2.2
14	Jan_15_2020	222.76	242.26	246.47	250.17	250.68	252.01	253.03(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	154	40	132	221	0.86	70%	0.18	81.4	0.9%	1	2.1	77	2
15	Jan_14_2020	222.35	241.38	244.91	248.68	249.54	250.56	249.43(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	139	40	120	196	0.52	67%	0.18	86.4	0.91%	-0	1.7	75	2.3

16	Jan_13_2020	221.96	240.65	243.75	247	248.39	249.34	251.49(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	142	40	130	178	0.71	67%	0.19	84.6	0.9%	1.9	2.4	77	2.5
17	Jan_10_2020	221.54	239.76	242.47	245.07	246.39	248.52	248.03(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	144	80	139	157	0.59	64%	0.14	91.4	0.9%	-0.1	2.1	73	1.4
18	Jan_9_2020	221.22	239	241.54	243.69	244.42	247.43	248.85(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	238	100	254	190	0.81	68%	0.14	98	0.9%	1.1	2.8	78	1.4
19	Jan_8_2020	220.91	238.09	240.41	242.27	242.48	244.26	245.62(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	203	50	217	161	0.89	65%	0.14	115.3	0.91%	1.3	2.5	76	0.7
20	Jan_7_2020	220.61	237.33	239.52	240.62	241.11	241.41	241(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	89	10	89	88	0.74	66%	0.11	114.3	0.91%	0.1	1.3	66	0.6

21	Jan_6_2020	220.37	236.88	239.23	239.96	239.79	240.7	241.87(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	20	20	58	0.71	66%	0.13	106.1	0.94%	1.2	1.6	72	0.6
22	Jan_3_2020	220.09	236.26	238.84	239.44	239.13	240.8	241.12(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	110	50	114	97	0.48	70%	0.15	108.5	0.96%	0.9	1.6	72	0.5
23	Jan_2_2020	219.76	235.56	238.37	239.03	238.77	238.89	241.72(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	93	0	94	91	0.87	62%	0.19	100	0.97%	1.8	1.9	77	1.3
24	Dec_31_2019	219.34	234.74	237.72	238.32	238.32	237.45	237.41(-0.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-43	-30	-66	26	0.59	58%	0.11	74.1	1.01%	-1.1	0.7	75	0.9
25	Dec_30_2019	219.09	234.16	237.61	238.25	238.55	238.65	237.66(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	10	-26	54	0.34	58%		70.3	1.03%	-1.2	0.8	78	0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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