Trading Signals: MCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: MCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Moody's Corporation)
MCO latest price $101.7000 (3.5%) ($99.3800 - $101.7000) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $101.7000(3.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCO declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(79%)    IWF(78%)    IVW(77%)    IWD(74%)    VT(74%)
Factors Impacting MCO price   MCO will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-18%)    TLT(-10%)    IPO(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.75(2.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $98.53(3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.02(2.71%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $19.089b

Moody's Corp. engages in the provision of credit ratings, research, tools and analysis to the global capital markets. It operates through the Moody's Investors Service (MIS) and Moody's Analytics (MA) business segments. The Moody's Investors Service segment is a credit rating agency, which publishes credit ratings on debt obligations and the entities, including various corporate and governmental obligations, structured finance securities and commercial paper programs. The Moody's Analytics segment develops products and services, which support financial analysis and risk management activities of institutional participants in global financial markets. The company was founded by John Moody in 1900 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MCO price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2016	94.35	99.02	98.53	98.75			101.7(3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	4	-10000	14	-28	0.72	68%	0.18	58.5	1.35%	0	2	59	0
2	Jun_22_2016	94.18	98.83	98.41	97.81			98.26(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	-0	-54	0.64	64%	0.13	58.2	1.3%	0	-0.5	45	0
3	Jun_21_2016	94.06	98.82	98.66	97.83			98.47(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	1	-45	0.88	64%	0.12	74	1.3%	0	-0.3	49	0
4	Jun_20_2016	93.95	98.61	98.82	97.78			98.65(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	1	-40	0.85	64%	0.11	51.5	1.31%	0	0	51	0
5	Jun_17_2016	93.85	98.39	99.04	97.71			96.69(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-9	-38	1.58	65%	0.11	43.4	1.29%	0	-0.9	43	0

6	Jun_16_2016	93.75	98.25	99.28	98.26			96.97(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-12	-20	2.69	65%	0.1	41.7	1.34%	0	-0.6	51	0
7	Jun_15_2016	93.66	98.14	99.57	99.08			98.35(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10000	-8	9	1.38	69%	0.11	47.8	1.33%	0	0.1	53	0
8	Jun_14_2016	93.56	97.93	99.64	99.63			98.24(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-6	28	1.14	69%	0.13	46.6	1.33%	0	0.1	54	0
9	Jun_13_2016	93.44	97.76	99.71	100.02			98.32(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-8	58	1.59	69%	0.11	50.2	1.34%	0	0.2	70	0
10	Jun_10_2016	93.34	97.56	99.78	100.55			99.44(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	-10000	2	98	1.21	69%	0.15	52.8	1.34%	0	0.7	74	0

11	Jun_9_2016	93.2	97.32	99.61	100.42			101.07(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	33	-10000	5	118	0.52	74%	0.16	54	1.32%	0	1.3	83	0
12	Jun_8_2016	93.05	97	99.32	100.12			101.07(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	7	131	0.72	74%	0.16	55.8	1.32%	0	1.5	75	0
13	Jun_7_2016	92.9	96.74	98.98	99.68			100.19(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	5	138	0.59	74%	0.08	58.5	1.34%	0	1.4	75	0
14	Jun_6_2016	92.83	96.46	98.37	99.37			101(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	-10000	7	130	1.38	74%	0.17	55.6	1.34%	0	1.9	71	0
15	Jun_3_2016	92.67	96.11	97.66	98.92			98.76(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	4	122	0.9	74%	0.12	53.1	1.32%	0	1.2	70	0

16	Jun_2_2016	92.56	95.84	97.12	98.68			99.59(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	4	109	0.97	74%	0.14	38.8	1.35%	0	1.7	68	0
17	Jun_1_2016	92.43	95.53	96.58	98.38			98.86(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	3	101	0.71	77%	0.09	23.9	1.35%	0	1.7	65	0
18	May_31_2016	92.35	95.3	96.06	98.17			98.64(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	15	90	0.81	74%	0.11	10.4	1.37%	0	1.8	57	0
19	May_27_2016	92.25	95.14	95.65	97.18			98.73(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	15	65	0.49	77%	0.07	-12.7	1.4%	0	2.2	62	0
20	May_26_2016	92.19	94.97	95.14	96.2			97.56(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	13	38	0.5	77%	0.01	-36.5	1.41%	0	1.5	60	0

21	May_25_2016	92.18	95.01	94.83	95.31			98.12(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14	-10000	12	21	0.89	79%	-0.01	-47.2	1.4%	0	1.6	66	0
22	May_24_2016	92.19	95.05	94.47	94.51			97.8(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	12	6	1.27	79%	0.01	-57.5	1.43%	0	1.4	63	0
23	May_23_2016	92.18	95.1	94.26	93.69			93.71(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-3	-14	1.08	75%	0.02	-66.2	1.33%	0	-0.7	47	0
24	May_20_2016	92.16	95.35	94.35	93.91			93.83(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-10000	0	-13	0.83	78%	-0.08	-61.3	1.37%	0	-0.7	41	0
25	May_19_2016	92.23	95.59	94.42	93.9			93.07(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-5	-21	1.07	78%		-57	1.38%	0	-1.1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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