Trading Signals: MCK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: MCK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(McKesson Corporation)
MCK latest price $51.3800 (1.72%) ($50.5100 - $51.5700) on Wed. Aug. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $51.3800(1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCK advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(54%)    XLP(49%)    IWM(48%)    EWG(45%)    QQQ(45%)
Factors Impacting MCK price   MCK will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(-0%)    REMX(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.64(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.21(2.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.54(5.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $8.333b

McKesson Corp. engages in the provision of supply chain management solutions, retail pharmacy, community oncology and specialty care, and healthcare information technology. It operates through the following segments: U.S. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions; European Pharmaceutical Solutions; Medical-Surgical Solutions and Other. The U.S. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment distributes pharmaceutical and other healthcare-related products and also provides pharmaceutical solutions to pharmaceutical manufacturers in the United States. The European Pharmaceutical Solutions segment provides distribution and services to wholesale, institutional and retail customers and serves patients and consumers in 13 European countries. The Medical-Surgical Solutions segment focuses on medical-surgical supplies and provides logistics and other services to healthcare providers in the United States. The Other segment comprises on McKesson Canada, McKesson Prescription Technology Solutions and in a joint venture. The company was founded by John McKesson and Charles Olcott in 1833 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

$. MCK price fluctuates within 3.93% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2006	49.06	48.54	50.21	50.64			51.38(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	-10000	6	172	1.68	66%	-0.04	53.2	1.5%	0	1.5	77	0
2	Aug_1_2006	49.08	48.29	49.89	50.42			50.51(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	44	-10000	1	174	1.56	62%	-0.06	52	1.49%	0	1.2	68	0
3	Jul_31_2006	49.11	48.1	49.47	50.42			50.39(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	-10000	0	167	1.65	62%	-0.06	54.1	1.5%	0	1.3	66	0
4	Jul_28_2006	49.14	47.94	49.05	50.39			51.15(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	9	168	3.39	62%	-0.04	61.5	1.5%	0	1.9	72	0
5	Jul_27_2006	49.16	47.71	48.51	50.04			49.76(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	-10000	10	147	1.57	60%	-0.08	67.1	1.47%	0	1.3	65	0

6	Jul_26_2006	49.2	47.55	48.16	49.69			50.27(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	12	133	1.38	58%	-0.06	65.2	1.46%	0	1.9	72	0
7	Jul_25_2006	49.23	47.36	47.83	49.27			50.38(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	49	-10000	24	124	1.51	58%	-0.08	67.5	1.48%	0	2.3	73	0
8	Jul_24_2006	49.27	47.16	47.49	48.4			50.38(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	41	-10000	25	87	2.07	58%	-0.06	64.3	1.48%	0	2.9	69	0
9	Jul_21_2006	49.3	46.92	47.12	47.51			49.41(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	27	-10000	22	41	2.6	56%	-0.1	52.4	1.47%	0	2.9	61	0
10	Jul_20_2006	49.35	46.71	46.86	46.76			48(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	8	-10000	10	2	1.4	53%	-0.14	27.6	1.42%	0	1.8	57	0

11	Jul_19_2006	49.42	46.62	46.71	46.42			48.2(4.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.7	1	-10000	7	-17	1.86	50%	-0.12	20.9	1.42%	0	2.4	60	0
12	Jul_18_2006	49.48	46.49	46.52	46.19			46.02(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-8	-40	1.9	45%	-0.16	17.6	1.32%	0	-0.8	44	0
13	Jul_17_2006	49.56	46.46	46.61	46.45			45.9(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-7	-25	1.76	45%	-0.16	26.3	1.33%	0	-0.9	42	0
14	Jul_14_2006	49.64	46.47	46.75	46.66			45.67(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-7	-10000	-9	-1	1.57	45%	-0.18	36.8	1.32%	0	-1.3	53	0
15	Jul_13_2006	49.73	46.52	46.89	46.95			46.29(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	6	-10000	-2	31	1.8	46%	-0.14	55.8	1.33%	0	-0.4	62	0

16	Jul_12_2006	49.8	46.49	46.93	47.01			47.08(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	40	1.4	48%	-0.14	39.7	1.32%	0	0.9	57	0
17	Jul_11_2006	49.87	46.39	46.89	46.89			47.3(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	3	44	2.22	46%	-0.04	11.4	1.32%	0	1.3	65	0
18	Jul_10_2006	49.89	46.3	46.84	46.8			46.94(-0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-2	51	0.99	49%	-0.16	-12.4	1.33%	0	1	65	0
19	Jul_7_2006	49.97	46.24	46.72	46.87			47.16(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	1	55	1.38	47%	-0.16	-37.2	1.36%	0	1.4	60	0
20	Jul_6_2006	50.05	46.18	46.56	46.83			46.55(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	-0	44	1.01	47%	-0.16	-71.3	1.35%	0	0.6	49	0

21	Jul_5_2006	50.13	46.24	46.54	46.84			46.48(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-2	50	1.3	47%	-0.24	-71.5	1.36%	0	0.3	57	0
22	Jul_3_2006	50.25	46.31	46.46	46.89			46.87(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	1	61	0.81	47%	-0.12	-56.1	1.34%	0	0.6	63	0
23	Jun_30_2006	50.31	46.38	46.31	46.87			47.28(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	10	63	2.46	47%	-0.12	-45.9	1.34%	0	0.8	60	0
24	Jun_29_2006	50.37	46.48	46.16	46.55			46.96(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	10	49	2.27	49%	-0.14	-40.1	1.33%	0	0.3	58	0
25	Jun_28_2006	50.44	46.64	46.11	46.24			46.62(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	33	1.19	49%		-36.2	1.34%	0	-0	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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