Trading Signals: MCK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 4, 2004

Trading Signals: MCK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(McKesson Corporation)
MCK latest price $25.4800 (-2%) ($25.2500 - $26.1200) on Mon. Oct. 4, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $25.4800(-2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCK declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCK declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(53%)    XLP(48%)    IWM(47%)    EWG(44%)    QQQ(44%)
Factors Impacting MCK price   MCK will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.56(-31.08%)
Resistance Level   $27.27
5 Day Moving Average   $26.08(-2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.61(-4.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.27(-6.56%)
To recent high   -21%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $4.133b

McKesson Corp. engages in the provision of supply chain management solutions, retail pharmacy, community oncology and specialty care, and healthcare information technology. It operates through the following segments: U.S. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions; European Pharmaceutical Solutions; Medical-Surgical Solutions and Other. The U.S. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment distributes pharmaceutical and other healthcare-related products and also provides pharmaceutical solutions to pharmaceutical manufacturers in the United States. The European Pharmaceutical Solutions segment provides distribution and services to wholesale, institutional and retail customers and serves patients and consumers in 13 European countries. The Medical-Surgical Solutions segment focuses on medical-surgical supplies and provides logistics and other services to healthcare providers in the United States. The Other segment comprises on McKesson Canada, McKesson Prescription Technology Solutions and in a joint venture. The company was founded by John McKesson and Charles Olcott in 1833 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

$. MCK price fluctuates within 4.62% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2004	31.24	27.27	26.61	26.08			25.48(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-9	-81	2.95	34%	-0.29	-93.1	2.43%	0	-1.4	25	0
2	Oct_1_2004	31.33	27.56	26.82	26.36			26(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-9	-70	3.77	27%	-0.25	-76	2.42%	0	-1.1	36	0
3	Sep_30_2004	31.41	27.82	26.98	26.64			25.65(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-9	-50	5.54	27%	-0.22	-64.4	2.69%	0	-1.3	38	0
4	Sep_29_2004	31.48	28.07	27.21	26.96			26.38(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-3	-31	2.88	32%	-0.22	-61.3	2.67%	0	-1	42	0
5	Sep_28_2004	31.55	28.29	27.33	27.06			26.89(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	-5	-23	0.86	32%	-0.16	-58.4	2.68%	0	-0.8	51	0

6	Sep_27_2004	31.6	28.49	27.47	27.23			26.89(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-40	1.31	32%	-0.22	-54.1	2.69%	0	-0.9	26	0
7	Sep_24_2004	31.67	28.72	27.56	27.34			27.39(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-10000	-1	-62	0.8	32%	-0.22	-49.1	2.68%	0	-0.7	30	0
8	Sep_23_2004	31.74	28.92	27.55	27.38			27.24(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-3	-90	2.21	32%	-0.19	-45.9	2.68%	0	-0.9	29	0
9	Sep_22_2004	31.8	29.13	27.57	27.5			26.9(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-4	-111	2.54	32%	-0.22	-41.8	2.67%	0	-1.2	32	0
10	Sep_21_2004	31.87	29.34	27.59	27.64			27.73(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-3	-134	0.74	34%	-0.19	-39.6	2.66%	0	-0.9	34	0

11	Sep_20_2004	31.93	29.49	27.96	27.76			27.45(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-1	-124	0.72	34%	-0.19	-37.2	2.65%	0	-1.1	32	0
12	Sep_17_2004	31.99	29.66	28.33	27.8			27.6(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-29	-10000	2	-123	1.45	34%	-0.09	-34.4	2.66%	0	-1.1	30	0
13	Sep_16_2004	32.02	29.81	28.69	27.74			27.82(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-30	-10000	2	-125	1.67	34%	-0.06	-36	2.67%	0	-1.1	32	0
14	Sep_15_2004	32.04	29.96	28.98	27.65			27.6(-2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-32	-10000	3	-136	1.78	34%	-0.09	-38.3	2.66%	0	-1.4	30	0
15	Sep_14_2004	32.07	30.1	29.31	27.53			28.31(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-52	-10000	-19	-150	3.53	34%	-0.09	-42.8	2.65%	0	-1.1	39	0

16	Sep_13_2004	32.1	30.2	29.58	28.23			27.68(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-10000	-20	-124	1.7	34%	-0.16	-32.3	2.64%	0	-1.6	36	0
17	Sep_10_2004	32.15	30.29	29.97	28.99			27.29(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-39	-10000	-21	-91	1.64	34%	-0.16	-23.6	2.65%	0	-2.1	33	0
18	Sep_9_2004	32.2	30.45	30.4	29.81			27.38(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-26	-10000	-17	-51	2.95	34%	-0.16	-10.9	2.65%	0	-2.4	36	0
19	Sep_8_2004	32.25	30.62	30.85	30.49			26.98(-15.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.3	-19	-10000	-19	-19	9.51	34%	-0.12	0.6	2.64%	0	-3.5	31	0
20	Sep_7_2004	32.29	30.8	31.29	31.28			31.83(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	6	39	0.78	52%	0	25.7	1.84%	0	1.6	70	0

21	Sep_3_2004	32.29	30.7	31.17	31.11			31.45(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	-10000	-1	34	0.58	52%	0.03	4.4	1.84%	0	1.2	69	0
22	Sep_2_2004	32.28	30.63	31.1	31.13			31.43(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	0	51	1	52%	0	-9.2	1.85%	0	1.3	75	0
23	Sep_1_2004	32.28	30.59	31.1	31.12			30.74(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-6	54	0.93	49%	0	-19.4	1.83%	0	0.2	58	0
24	Aug_31_2004	32.28	30.61	31.01	31.3			30.95(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	0	72	0.57	49%	0	-10.8	1.83%	0	0.5	55	0
25	Aug_30_2004	32.28	30.63	30.94	31.29			31(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-10000	2	74	0.44	49%		-11.1	1.84%	0	0.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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