Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $87.6724 (0.7%) ($86.5275 - $87.9171) on Tue. Dec. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $87.6724(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(67%)    IWF(67%)    QQQ(67%)    SMH(67%)    SPY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.56(2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.32(2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.93(2.03%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $22.133b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2017	86.24	85.93	85.32	85.56			87.67(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	13	29	1.76	36%	0.12	-38.7	1.31%	0	1	65	0
2	Dec_18_2017	86.14	85.99	84.97	84.83			87.07(2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	6	-16	2.18	38%	0.1	-45.6	1.31%	0	0.6	41	0
3	Dec_15_2017	86.05	86.06	84.69	84.52			84.89(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-2	-43	3.23	34%	0.07	-48.7	1.29%	0	-0.6	41	0
4	Dec_14_2017	85.99	86.24	84.71	84.65			83.64(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-7	-61	1.98	31%	0.05	-46.7	1.27%	0	-1.3	29	0
5	Dec_13_2017	85.95	86.43	84.86	85.03			84.55(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	0	-65	1.48	31%	0.07	-51.1	1.27%	0	-0.9	34	0

6	Dec_12_2017	85.89	86.64	84.89	85.01			84(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-1	-92	1.9	31%	0.06	-52.8	1.27%	0	-1.3	28	0
7	Dec_11_2017	85.84	86.88	85.32	85.08			85.52(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-10000	4	-95	1.63	37%	0.09	-63.8	1.25%	0	-0.7	34	0
8	Dec_8_2017	85.76	87.06	85.46	84.87			85.54(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-10000	1	-112	1.86	37%	0.06	-71	1.28%	0	-0.8	37	0
9	Dec_7_2017	85.71	87.22	85.77	84.79			85.52(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	-10000	1	-114	1.83	37%	0.06	-79.3	1.28%	0	-0.9	39	0
10	Dec_6_2017	85.66	87.46	86.04	84.71			84.46(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-1	-112	1.51	37%	0.07	-78.3	1.29%	0	-1.5	41	0

11	Dec_5_2017	85.6	87.7	86.57	84.76			84.36(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-16	-113	2.43	35%	0.06	-90.3	1.29%	0	-1.8	37	0
12	Dec_4_2017	85.55	88.12	87.08	85.62			84.45(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-10000	-9	-83	2.51	35%	0.07	-73.3	1.3%	0	-1.8	37	0
13	Dec_1_2017	85.49	88.47	87.55	86.13			85.14(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-14	-72	3.1	35%	0.11	-73.2	1.31%	0	-1.7	37	0
14	Nov_30_2017	85.4	88.77	87.9	86.91			85.13(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-12	-50	3.67	39%	0.08	-65.2	1.32%	0	-2	40	0
15	Nov_29_2017	85.33	89.06	88.16	87.58			84.73(-4.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-10000	-17	-48	4.39	39%	0.09	-60	1.34%	0	-2.6	34	0

16	Nov_28_2017	85.25	89.45	88.6	88.61			88.64(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-3	-17	2.17	44%	0.14	-45.2	1.22%	0	-0.5	49	0
17	Nov_27_2017	85.13	89.65	88.61	88.77			87.03(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-7	-36	2.57	41%	0.13	-32.6	1.21%	0	-1.6	32	0
18	Nov_24_2017	85.02	89.92	88.84	89.16			89.02(0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-10000	2	-32	0.73	44%	0.28	-21.1	1.17%	0	-0.6	43	0
19	Nov_22_2017	84.78	90.01	88.79	89.06			88.47(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-9	-10000	4	-49	1.63	44%	0.05	-24.1	1.16%	0	-1	42	0
20	Nov_21_2017	84.74	90.09	88.98	88.83			89.9(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	5	-58	1.57	46%	0.19	-28.1	1.15%	0	-0.1	47	0

21	Nov_20_2017	84.58	90.14	88.89	88.59			89.43(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	3	-85	1.46	46%	0.18	-28.2	1.15%	0	-0.5	40	0
22	Nov_17_2017	84.43	90.19	89.19	88.45			88.99(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	-1	-92	2.1	42%	0.17	-29.4	1.15%	0	-0.8	38	0
23	Nov_16_2017	84.29	90.26	89.4	88.45			88.48(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10000	0	-93	1.79	42%	0.13	-26.5	1.2%	0	-1.2	38	0
24	Nov_15_2017	84.18	90.38	89.66	88.5			87.32(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-12	-98	1.49	40%	0.13	-23.8	1.19%	0	-2.1	41	0
25	Nov_14_2017	84.07	90.53	90.01	89.13			88.71(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-2	-75	1.51	46%		-12.5	1.17%	0	-1.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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