Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $86.9832 (1.02%) ($85.9500 - $87.4608) on Thu. Sep. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $86.9832(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(67%)    IWF(67%)    SMH(67%)    SPY(67%)    IWO(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.97(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.39(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.23(4.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $21.959b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20171014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2017	79.2	83.23	85.39	85.97			86.98(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	6	108	3.19	51%	0.16	54.8	1.45%	0	1.5	78	0
2	Sep_13_2017	79.07	82.95	85.04	85.61			86.11(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	7	113	1.44	51%	0.15	55.6	1.46%	0	1.3	75	0
3	Sep_12_2017	78.95	82.72	84.62	85.17			86.21(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	-10000	6	108	1.55	51%	0.18	52.9	1.46%	0	1.6	76	0
4	Sep_11_2017	78.81	82.47	84.18	84.79			86.15(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	29	-10000	2	108	1.95	51%	0.18	50.2	1.47%	0	1.8	79	0
5	Sep_8_2017	78.67	82.14	83.63	84.69			84.38(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-1	107	1.62	45%	0.15	49.4	1.53%	0	1.1	75	0

6	Sep_7_2017	78.55	81.87	83.27	84.73			85.18(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-10000	5	119	1.51	46%	0.17	50.6	1.52%	0	1.6	80	0
7	Sep_6_2017	78.42	81.65	82.83	84.4			83.94(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	7	110	2.15	46%	0.15	59.6	1.52%	0	1.2	60	0
8	Sep_5_2017	78.3	81.54	82.5	83.95			84.3(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	8	95	2.14	46%	0.18	65.9	1.52%	0	1.5	60	0
9	Sep_1_2017	78.16	81.43	82.02	83.42			85.63(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	17	78	1.7	49%	0.22	76.4	1.5%	0	2.5	69	0
10	Aug_31_2017	77.99	81.18	81.39	82.4			84.6(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	-10000	13	48	2.11	49%	0.19	75.7	1.5%	0	2.3	72	0

11	Aug_30_2017	77.84	80.86	80.87	81.6			83.51(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	9	29	2.86	49%	0.17	61.6	1.49%	0	1.9	73	0
12	Aug_29_2017	77.71	80.56	80.64	81.06			81.71(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	4	14	1.52	47%	0.14	43.9	1.47%	0	0.8	52	0
13	Aug_28_2017	77.6	80.38	80.63	80.84			81.64(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	7	8	1.16	47%	0.14	35.9	1.48%	0	0.9	47	0
14	Aug_25_2017	77.49	80.18	80.6	80.41			80.54(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	4	-9	0.77	47%	0.12	26.3	1.48%	0	0.2	40	0
15	Aug_24_2017	77.4	80.08	80.53	80.2			80.6(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	3	-22	1.46	47%	0.14	21.6	1.48%	0	0.3	49	0

16	Aug_23_2017	77.29	79.98	80.37	80			80.8(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-3	-28	1.24	47%	0.13	12.1	1.48%	0	0.5	60	0
17	Aug_22_2017	77.19	79.95	80.39	80.17			80.62(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-4	-7	1.33	48%	0.13	16.8	1.48%	0	0.4	62	0
18	Aug_21_2017	77.09	79.85	80.52	80.41			79.47(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-7	18	0.91	48%	0.1	19	1.47%	0	-0.2	58	0
19	Aug_18_2017	77.01	79.79	80.82	80.83			79.52(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-1	54	1.35	50%	0.1	24.7	1.48%	0	-0.2	59	0
20	Aug_17_2017	76.93	79.75	80.98	80.88			79.59(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	20	-10000	3	70	1.8	47%	0.12	26.1	1.49%	0	-0.1	56	0

21	Aug_16_2017	76.84	79.8	80.9	80.73			81.68(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	2	64	1.34	51%	0.14	33.7	1.54%	0	1.2	62	0
22	Aug_15_2017	76.73	79.7	80.5	80.62			81.81(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	12	-10000	-1	49	1.69	52%	0.16	39.4	1.56%	0	1.4	54	0
23	Aug_14_2017	76.61	79.55	80.12	80.69			81.54(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	10	-10000	-3	48	2.07	52%	0.14	50.3	1.57%	0	1.4	59	0
24	Aug_11_2017	76.5	79.4	79.74	80.87			79.79(1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-4	53	1.41	50%	0.12	63.5	1.54%	0	0.3	56	0
25	Aug_10_2017	76.41	79.34	79.61	81.12			78.85(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.5	17	-10000	2	63	2.29	52%		73.8	1.54%	0	-0.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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