Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $49.2932 (2.92%) ($48.2479 - $49.3502) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $49.2932(2.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SMH(68%)    IVW(66%)    IWF(66%)    QQQ(66%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    IPO(-8%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.9(2.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.59(3.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.44(1.76%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $12.444b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2016	46.26	48.44	47.59	47.9			49.29(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-8	-10000	6	-51	1.56	65%	0.22	-40.9	1.46%	0	0.7	52	0
2	Jul_7_2016	46.16	48.47	47.63	47.69			47.9(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	4	-59	1.96	63%	0.17	-40.7	1.42%	0	-0.5	43	0
3	Jul_6_2016	46.08	48.59	47.73	47.56			47.03(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-17	-10000	1	-71	2.51	61%	0.17	-38.1	1.42%	0	-1.2	40	0
4	Jul_5_2016	46	48.75	47.95	47.53			47.36(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	10	-72	2.15	61%	0.22	-35.4	1.42%	0	-1.1	40	0
5	Jul_1_2016	45.9	48.84	48.14	47.21			47.92(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-24	-10000	-0	-95	1.45	61%	0.24	-42.9	1.4%	0	-0.8	44	0

6	Jun_30_2016	45.79	48.91	48.21	47.22			48.24(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-36	-10000	-12	-109	3.36	61%	0.24	-39.6	1.4%	0	-0.6	43	0
7	Jun_29_2016	45.68	48.96	48.33	47.61			47.23(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-11	-99	2.74	59%	0.18	-25.3	1.37%	0	-1.5	36	0
8	Jun_28_2016	45.6	49.07	48.56	47.97			46.91(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	-10000	-15	-90	1.98	59%	0.2	-11.1	1.38%	0	-2	33	0
9	Jun_27_2016	45.51	49.19	48.84	48.46			45.74(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-35	-10000	-21	-76	3.24	56%	0.13	14.2	1.35%	0	-3.6	26	0
10	Jun_24_2016	45.45	49.35	49.23	49.17			47.96(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-13	-10000	-5	-38	3.16	64%	0.18	74.6	1.23%	0	-2.4	44	0

11	Jun_23_2016	45.37	49.37	49.41	49.31			50.22(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-2	-10000	6	-26	1.51	74%	0.24	109.7	1.08%	0	1.5	59	0
12	Jun_22_2016	45.26	49.25	49.39	49.16			49.03(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-31	1.5	72%	0.2	104.6	1.05%	0	-0.3	50	0
13	Jun_21_2016	45.17	49.18	49.51	49.25			49.33(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-2	-12	1.4	72%	0.18	111.3	1.05%	0	0.2	54	0
14	Jun_20_2016	45.09	49.05	49.6	49.31			49.29(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	1	-10000	-0	3	1.76	72%	0.18	94.8	1.06%	0	0.3	54	0
15	Jun_17_2016	45.01	48.92	49.59	49.32			48.67(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-7	9	3.67	70%	0.18	91.1	1.06%	0	-0.2	56	0

16	Jun_16_2016	44.93	48.77	49.67	49.51			49.46(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-10000	-5	35	1.88	75%	0.2	81.6	1.04%	0	0.5	70	0
17	Jun_15_2016	44.84	48.59	49.64	49.65			49.51(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-7	60	1.57	75%	0.18	77	1.04%	0	0.6	75	0
18	Jun_14_2016	44.76	48.38	49.61	49.82			49.61(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-5	91	1.67	75%	0.22	72.4	1.04%	0	0.7	78	0
19	Jun_13_2016	44.66	48.17	49.57	49.94			49.33(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	1	132	1.43	75%	0.2	71.9	1.05%	0	0.7	82	0
20	Jun_10_2016	44.57	47.94	49.49	49.91			49.65(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	3	148	2.87	78%	0.2	65.2	1.11%	0	0.9	87	0

21	Jun_9_2016	44.48	47.69	49.35	49.82			50.15(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-10000	7	178	1.57	78%	0.23	61.1	1.11%	0	1.3	96	0
22	Jun_8_2016	44.38	47.46	49.11	49.62			50.36(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	9	189	1.66	72%	0.27	60.2	1.13%	0	1.5	93	0
23	Jun_7_2016	44.26	47.21	48.82	49.38			50.19(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	-10000	7	197	2.11	74%	0.14	58.5	1.17%	0	1.6	93	0
24	Jun_6_2016	44.2	46.94	48.45	49.17			49.19(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	54	-10000	5	202	1.85	72%	0.27	54.2	1.16%	0	1.3	89	0
25	Jun_3_2016	44.08	46.74	48.19	49.02			49.24(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	61	-10000	8	218	1.77	72%		52.4	1.17%	0	1.5	91	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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