Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $38.2339 (-2.69%) ($38.2247 - $39.1638) on Thu. Aug. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $38.2339(-2.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SMH(68%)    QQQ(66%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(65%)    IWM(64%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $39.62
5 Day Moving Average   $39.39(-2.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.82(-3.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.62(-3.5%)
To recent high   -17.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $9.652b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2015	42.96	39.62	39.82	39.39			38.23(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-18	-10000	-14	-29	2.36	38%	-0.14	-21	1.26%	0	-2.2	43	0
2	Aug_19_2015	43.02	39.68	39.99	39.74			39.29(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-9	-1	2.46	40%	-0.14	-19.2	1.23%	0	-0.7	50	0
3	Aug_18_2015	43.08	39.66	39.99	39.95			39.52(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-6	26	2.12	40%	-0.14	-28.6	1.23%	0	-0.2	54	0
4	Aug_17_2015	43.14	39.69	40.11	40.1			40.07(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-7	38	1.73	41%	-0.12	-30.4	1.22%	0	0.6	60	0
5	Aug_14_2015	43.19	39.71	40.05	40.26			39.85(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-2	62	1.81	41%	-0.09	-28.1	1.23%	0	0.2	67	0

6	Aug_13_2015	43.23	39.75	40.01	40.31			39.95(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	1	78	1.66	41%	-0.09	-27.7	1.23%	0	0.3	66	0
7	Aug_12_2015	43.27	39.79	39.97	40.31			40.37(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	0	80	2.38	41%	-0.14	-24.9	1.24%	0	0.7	60	0
8	Aug_11_2015	43.33	39.83	39.88	40.28			40.25(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	7	91	2.71	41%	-0.12	-21.7	1.24%	0	0.5	64	0
9	Aug_10_2015	43.38	39.89	39.78	40.11			40.89(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	12	72	1.85	43%	-0.14	-27.9	1.23%	0	1.1	52	0
10	Aug_7_2015	43.44	39.9	39.53	39.81			40.1(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	6	26	2.13	45%	-0.14	-39.9	1.27%	0	0.2	45	0

11	Aug_6_2015	43.5	39.95	39.38	39.67			39.8(-1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	2	-8	2.59	45%	-0.14	-50.8	1.27%	0	-0.2	40	0
12	Aug_5_2015	43.56	40	39.33	39.62			40.35(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	8	-28	4.91	44%	-0.14	-61.3	1.27%	0	0.4	42	0
13	Aug_4_2015	43.62	40.03	39.16	39.42			39.39(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	-10000	1	-73	7.13	40%	-0.14	-71.9	1.27%	0	-0.6	30	0
14	Aug_3_2015	43.68	40.15	39.24	39.4			39.39(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	-10000	8	-87	2.98	40%	-0.14	-74.6	1.27%	0	-0.7	28	0
15	Jul_31_2015	43.74	40.29	39.33	39.21			39.44(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	7	-110	1.76	43%	-0.14	-88.4	1.28%	0	-0.7	32	0

16	Jul_30_2015	43.8	40.45	39.46	39.03			39.5(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-30	-10000	2	-127	3.69	43%	-0.14	-94.5	1.31%	0	-0.8	34	0
17	Jul_29_2015	43.86	40.61	39.59	38.99			39.38(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-29	-10000	5	-129	2.5	43%	-0.14	-98.8	1.3%	0	-0.9	40	0
18	Jul_28_2015	43.92	40.82	39.78	38.86			39.27(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-10000	-8	-140	2.57	43%	-0.18	-102	1.31%	0	-1.1	36	0
19	Jul_27_2015	44	41.02	40	39.07			38.46(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-10000	-16	-138	2.68	40%	-0.18	-104.4	1.29%	0	-1.7	24	0
20	Jul_24_2015	44.08	41.33	40.3	39.48			38.55(-1.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-44	-10000	-18	-123	3.73	38%	-0.18	-98.4	1.29%	0	-1.8	23	0

21	Jul_23_2015	44.16	41.67	40.59	39.94			39.28(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-13	-110	3.32	39%	-0.18	-85.9	1.3%	0	-1.5	23	0
22	Jul_22_2015	44.24	41.97	40.74	40.27			38.75(-3.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-44	-10000	-20	-116	5.57	37%	-0.18	-73.7	1.3%	0	-1.9	16	0
23	Jul_21_2015	44.32	42.34	41	40.8			40.32(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-37	-10000	-11	-114	2.58	41%	-0.18	-59.1	1.21%	0	-1.1	18	0
24	Jul_20_2015	44.4	42.64	41.17	41.07			40.5(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-33	-10000	-7	-112	2.06	41%	-0.13	-46	1.21%	0	-1.1	22	0
25	Jul_17_2015	44.46	42.9	41.33	41.24			40.82(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-35	-10000	-4	-126	2.26	39%		-38.7	1.22%	0	-1.1	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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