Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $44.5028 (5.85%) ($43.0962 - $44.6208) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $44.5028(5.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SMH(69%)    QQQ(66%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(65%)    IWM(64%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.89(6.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.89(6.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.38(7.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $11.235b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2015	40.09	41.38	41.89	41.89			44.5(5.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	23	-10000	18	37	18.17	87%	0.02	47	1.53%	0	3	75	0
2	Feb_4_2015	40.08	41.11	41.63	41.31			42.04(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	4	14	3.61	83%	-0.02	29.5	1.36%	0	1.1	60	0
3	Feb_3_2015	40.09	40.96	41.61	41.2			41.37(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10000	-1	26	2.72	82%	-0.02	12.8	1.35%	0	0.4	64	0
4	Feb_2_2015	40.1	40.96	41.59	41.24			40.62(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-13	35	2.64	80%	-0.07	5.6	1.33%	0	-0.3	59	0
5	Jan_30_2015	40.13	40.96	41.62	41.61			40.93(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-8	58	3.39	76%	-0.05	12.5	1.46%	0	0	56	0

6	Jan_29_2015	40.15	40.89	41.58	41.86			41.61(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-4	73	1.94	81%	-0.05	16.7	1.49%	0	0.7	61	0
7	Jan_28_2015	40.17	40.86	41.51	41.99			41.48(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-10000	-3	97	2.11	81%	-0.07	19.1	1.49%	0	0.6	69	0
8	Jan_27_2015	40.2	40.84	41.37	42.07			41.55(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	31	-10000	3	114	1.72	81%	-0.05	22.7	1.5%	0	0.7	71	0
9	Jan_26_2015	40.22	40.83	41.22	41.98			42.46(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	12	119	0.99	88%	-0.05	23	1.47%	0	1.7	69	0
10	Jan_23_2015	40.24	40.77	41	41.62			42.22(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	12	97	1.14	88%	-0.02	23.5	1.49%	0	1.7	58	0

11	Jan_22_2015	40.25	40.73	40.82	41.25			42.23(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	9	72	1.79	88%	-0.05	25.9	1.49%	0	1.8	56	0
12	Jan_21_2015	40.27	40.68	40.52	40.97			41.9(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	13	44	1.51	90%	-0.05	31.6	1.5%	0	1.6	54	0
13	Jan_20_2015	40.29	40.63	40.23	40.57			41.07(0.94%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	5	-10000	7	-1	1.33	89%	-0.07	26.7	1.55%	0	0.6	46	0
14	Jan_16_2015	40.32	40.62	40.1	40.35			40.69(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	2	-29	1.69	85%	-0.07	20.3	1.58%	0	0.1	42	0
15	Jan_15_2015	40.35	40.57	40.09	40.29			40.35(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-1	-40	1.71	85%	-0.05	14.3	1.64%	0	-0.3	39	0

16	Jan_14_2015	40.37	40.52	40.09	40.32			40.85(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	9	-40	3.08	85%	-0.05	3.2	1.64%	0	0.4	42	0
17	Jan_13_2015	40.39	40.44	40.14	40.01			39.9(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	6	-61	2.36	75%	-0.1	-18.3	1.63%	0	-0.6	34	0
18	Jan_12_2015	40.43	40.43	40.27	39.83			39.96(-1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	1	-69	1.06	75%	-0.07	-34.9	1.68%	0	-0.5	39	0
19	Jan_9_2015	40.46	40.47	40.42	39.8			40.4(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	-2	-51	1.03	52%	-0.05	-41.4	2.29%	0	-0.1	44	0
20	Jan_8_2015	40.48	40.46	40.53	39.87			40.51(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-11	-10000	-2	-39	1.52	55%	-0.07	-49.5	2.29%	0	0.1	60	0

21	Jan_7_2015	40.51	40.5	40.62	39.95			39.26(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-8	-25	1.04	49%	-0.07	-44.1	2.29%	0	-1.4	57	0
22	Jan_6_2015	40.54	40.59	40.85	40.31			39.04(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-8	-10000	-10	-0	1.41	49%	-0.07	-32.1	2.3%	0	-1.8	55	0
23	Jan_5_2015	40.57	40.74	41.07	40.76			39.81(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-7	26	1	49%	-0.07	-13.9	2.29%	0	-1.2	55	0
24	Jan_2_2015	40.6	40.84	41.21	41.1			40.72(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-4	43	0.99	49%	-0.05	3	2.27%	0	-0.1	52	0
25	Dec_31_2014	40.62	40.91	41.12	41.27			40.94(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-3	47	1.12	47%		19.5	2.27%	0	0	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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