Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $39.2322 (1.64%) ($38.5076 - $39.2592) on Wed. Nov. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $39.2322(1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SMH(68%)    QQQ(66%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(65%)    IWM(64%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.5(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.91(3.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.87(6.41%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $9.904b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 5.56% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2014	41.63	36.87	37.91	38.5			39.23(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	6	117	1.28	40%	-0.12	-26.4	2.14%	0	1.2	71	0
2	Nov_4_2014	41.68	36.95	37.58	38.26			38.6(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	124	1.56	40%	-0.12	-28.6	2.13%	0	0.8	75	0
3	Nov_3_2014	41.73	37.01	37.37	38.08			38.89(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	9	137	2.21	40%	-0.12	-32.9	2.13%	0	0.8	72	0
4	Oct_31_2014	41.78	37.11	37.01	37.71			38.8(4.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	9	126	7.43	41%	-0.12	-37.7	2.15%	0	0.7	69	0
5	Oct_30_2014	41.83	37.21	36.58	37.34			36.99(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	4	104	3.58	35%	-0.17	-41.9	2.08%	0	-0.1	55	0

6	Oct_29_2014	41.9	37.42	36.42	37.2			38(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	11	61	4.39	37%	-0.14	-43.2	2.06%	0	0.2	38	0
7	Oct_28_2014	41.96	37.57	36.02	36.8			37.7(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	6	-14	1.87	37%	-0.17	-46.6	2.06%	0	0	35	0
8	Oct_27_2014	42.03	37.79	35.68	36.57			37.06(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	10	-68	3.17	37%	-0.14	-46.7	2.04%	0	-0.2	38	0
9	Oct_24_2014	42.09	38.05	35.45	36.2			36.94(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	13	-128	1.75	35%	-0.17	-48.6	2.07%	0	-0.3	35	0
10	Oct_23_2014	42.16	38.33	35.33	35.72			36.31(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	-10000	6	-193	1.94	33%	-0.14	-52.2	2.05%	0	-0.6	32	0

11	Oct_22_2014	42.22	38.64	35.73	35.51			35.98(-1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	-10000	11	-202	2.14	33%	-0.14	-55.3	2.09%	0	-0.8	31	0
12	Oct_21_2014	42.28	38.98	36.23	35.11			36.54(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-45	-10000	12	-217	3.96	33%	-0.14	-59.1	2.09%	0	-0.7	33	0
13	Oct_20_2014	42.34	39.29	36.58	34.68			35.21(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-64	-10000	2	-260	3.66	28%	-0.19	-62.7	2.03%	0	-1.2	24	0
14	Oct_17_2014	42.42	39.7	37.17	34.6			34.56(-2.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-76	-10000	-8	-279	3.65	28%	-0.16	-64.4	2.01%	0	-1.5	20	0
15	Oct_16_2014	42.49	40.16	37.86	34.88			35.28(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-96	-10000	-32	-287	6.21	29%	-0.16	-64.5	2.01%	0	-1.5	21	0

16	Oct_15_2014	42.56	40.62	38.49	36.03			33.96(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-98	-10000	-42	-265	4.78	23%	-0.21	-58.2	1.94%	0	-2.1	14	0
17	Oct_14_2014	42.65	41.12	39.27	37.55			34.39(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-77	-10000	-32	-212	6.77	23%	-0.19	-52.6	1.94%	0	-2.4	14	0
18	Oct_13_2014	42.73	41.6	40.11	38.76			34.83(-3.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-68	-10000	-34	-168	6.26	23%	-0.16	-51.5	1.94%	0	-3	17	0
19	Oct_10_2014	42.8	42.02	40.95	40.07			35.96(-12.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-52	-10000	-29	-120	13.75	24%	-0.14	-53.7	1.9%	0	-3.6	18	0
20	Oct_9_2014	42.86	42.4	41.68	41.19			40.99(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-5	-113	2.62	33%	0	-66.8	1.18%	0	-1.5	29	0

21	Oct_8_2014	42.86	42.53	41.84	41.32			41.59(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-30	-10000	1	-122	2.38	34%	0	-67.6	1.17%	0	-1	27	0
22	Oct_7_2014	42.86	42.62	41.98	41.3			40.44(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-10000	-18	-147	2.11	28%	-0.02	-70.6	1.11%	0	-2.3	25	0
23	Oct_6_2014	42.87	42.8	42.22	41.71			41.39(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-10000	-12	-127	1.68	30%	0.02	-67.7	1.08%	0	-1.7	34	0
24	Oct_3_2014	42.86	42.93	42.4	41.99			41.52(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-11	-101	2.12	30%	0	-61.5	1.09%	0	-1.8	43	0
25	Oct_2_2014	42.86	43.06	42.61	42.25			41.66(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-8	-75	2.68	30%		-53.3	1.09%	0	-2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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