Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 22, 2018

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $73.9100 (0.69%) ($73.1900 - $73.9300) on Mon. Jan. 22, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $73.9100(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(93%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    BLOK(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.73(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.98(2.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.02(5.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.89%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.29%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.5%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.86%(66%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.7%(34%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2018	66.23	70.02	71.98	72.73	72.88	73.41	73.91(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	60	47	149	2.05	63%	0.2	78.4	1.14%	0	1.6	91	0.9
2	Jan_19_2018	66.1	69.58	71.64	72.34	72.44	72.81	73.4(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	40	42	164	2.63	60%	0.18	73.2	1.14%	0	1.7	91	1
3	Jan_18_2018	65.98	69.17	71.3	71.84	72.06	72.35	72.55(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	66	40	32	167	2.81	59%	0.17	67.9	1.16%	0	1.5	90	0
4	Jan_17_2018	65.87	68.85	71.02	71.48	71.63	72.06	72.42(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	50	30	177	1.66	59%	0.17	62.2	1.16%	0	1.5	87	0
5	Jan_16_2018	65.76	68.5	70.69	71.19	71.23	71.76	71.35(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	50	32	188	2.53	57%	0.23	59.1	1.15%	0	1.2	81	0

6	Jan_12_2018	65.61	68.22	70.24	71.11	71.01	71.19	71.99(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	10	34	194	1.44	57%	0.17	62.2	1.14%	0	1.6	87	0
7	Jan_11_2018	65.5	67.93	69.7	70.84	70.8	70.7	70.9(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	47	-10	1	185	1.46	55%	0.14	68.3	1.13%	0	1.3	88	0
8	Jan_10_2018	65.41	67.65	69.24	70.68	70.71	70.82	70.72(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	10	5	193	2.31	55%	0.15	71.9	1.13%	0	1.4	88	0
9	Jan_9_2018	65.31	67.42	68.82	70.47	70.57	70.91	71(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	75	40	33	200	2.26	55%	0.17	75	1.14%	0	1.7	76	0
10	Jan_8_2018	65.2	67.13	68.39	70.1	70.21	70.59	70.96(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	91	40	53	206	1.09	55%	0.18	77.4	1.13%	0	2	78	0

11	Jan_5_2018	65.08	66.79	67.91	69.21	69.68	70.23	70.61(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	93	80	64	178	1.77	57%	0.17	67.2	1.14%	0	2.3	76	0
12	Jan_4_2018	64.97	66.44	67.35	68.37	68.75	69.83	70.11(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	90	130	74	136	3.01	57%	0.15	50	1.15%	0	2.4	67	0
13	Jan_3_2018	64.87	66.16	66.84	67.58	67.86	69.13	69.68(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	106	140	103	113	2.13	60%	0.17	26.5	1.15%	0	2.6	70	0
14	Jan_2_2018	64.76	65.91	66.47	66.94	67.01	67.66	69.13(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	71	70	71	71	2.33	60%	0.25	3.6	1.18%	0	2.9	62	0
15	Dec_29_2017	64.6	65.71	66.09	66.47	66.46	66.59	66.54(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	10	12	31	1.3	57%	0.12	-35	1.08%	0	1.1	56	0

16	Dec_28_2017	64.52	65.68	66.09	66.42	66.45	66.36	66.4(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10	12	40	1.07	57%	0.09	-58	1.09%	0	0.9	62	0
17	Dec_27_2017	64.46	65.7	66.01	66.15	66.32	66.33	66.17(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	10	3	45	1.02	57%	0.09	-82.1	1.09%	0	0.6	63	0
18	Dec_26_2017	64.4	65.81	65.94	65.94	66.08	66.54	66.44(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	60	20	48	0.82	57%	0.17	-69	1.09%	0	0.6	59	0
19	Dec_22_2017	64.29	65.88	65.91	65.91	65.79	66.3	66.78(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	50	39	62	0.75	52%	0.11	-52.7	1.15%	0	0.7	58	0
20	Dec_21_2017	64.22	65.99	65.78	65.67	65.7	65.61	66.29(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10	21	46	1.55	52%	0.11	-50.7	1.15%	0	0.2	55	0

21	Dec_20_2017	64.15	66.14	65.59	65.56	65.55	65.28	65.09(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-25	-30	-35	6	1.32	50%	0.08	-35.8	1.13%	0	-0.7	44	0
22	Dec_19_2017	64.1	66.37	65.49	65.86	65.74	65.78	65.12(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-0	-10	8	1.82	50%	0.09	-19.8	1.13%	0	-0.7	41	0
23	Dec_18_2017	64.04	66.53	65.47	65.91	65.99	65.83	66.25(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10	10	-11	1.56	54%	0.11	-16.2	1.11%	0	-0.2	37	0
24	Dec_15_2017	63.97	66.6	65.34	65.92	65.8	65.71	65.61(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-20	-25	-48	5.33	54%	0.11	-15.8	1.11%	0	-0.5	37	0
25	Dec_14_2017	63.9	66.7	65.31	65.9	65.98	66.16	65.73(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	20	23	-61	1.63	54%		-15.2	1.11%	0	-0.5	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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