Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $50.3800 (1.57%) ($50.1000 - $50.4200) on Thu. Apr. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $50.3800(1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(93%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.99(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.11(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.25(0.26%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 0.56% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2017	47.7			49.99	49.96	49.99	50.38(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	15	0	24	-14	1.36	68%	0.08	-44.6	0.73%	0	0.5	51	0
2	Apr_19_2017	47.66	50.25	50.11	49.95	49.93	49.69	49.6(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-30	-26	-42	0.46	65%	0.06	-39.3	0.71%	0	-2.3	35	0
3	Apr_18_2017	47.63	50.29	50.19	50.03	50.04	49.93	49.66(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31	-10	-28	-38	0.93	65%	0.06	-17.4	0.72%	0	-2.7	35	0
4	Apr_17_2017	47.6	50.29	50.27	50.16	50.13	50.18	50.35(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-4	10	0	-17	5.05	70%	0.08	28.3	0.69%	0	0	49	0
5	Apr_13_2017	47.56	50.35	50.23	50.17	50.14	50.16	49.97(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	0	-2	-27	1.33	69%	0.11	63	0.69%	0	-1.7	37	0

6	Apr_12_2017	47.51	50.38	50.26	50.25	50.19	50.09	50.19(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-20	-8	-26	1.35	69%	0.08	110.4	0.68%	0	-0.8	42	0
7	Apr_11_2017	47.47	50.36	50.29	50.3	50.24	50.13	50(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-20	-22	-26	1.52	69%	0.08	91.5	0.69%	0	-1	41	0
8	Apr_10_2017	47.43	50.33	50.35	50.37	50.36	50.3	50.3(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10	-5	-7	0.82	72%	0.13	92.4	0.68%	0	-0.1	52	0
9	Apr_7_2017	47.37	50.29	50.36	50.38	50.38	50.35	50.39(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	-0	1	-13	1.12	72%	0.11	76.6	0.7%	0	0.2	37	0
10	Apr_6_2017	47.32	50.2	50.38	50.29	50.35	50.35	50.39(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	10	5	-17	1.15	72%	0.11	58.6	0.7%	0	0.3	52	0

11	Apr_5_2017	47.27	50.11	50.38	50.27	50.26	50.42	50.4(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	20	10	-15	4.12	74%	0.13	53.5	0.71%	0	0.4	50	0
12	Apr_4_2017	47.21	50.04	50.39	50.3	50.19	50.29	50.37(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	10	9	-4	1.03	76%	0.13	49.3	0.74%	0	0.4	58	0
13	Apr_3_2017	47.15	49.96	50.38	50.34	50.22	50.29	50.35(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-20	-3	12	1.16	76%	0.11	49.4	0.75%	0	0.5	65	0
14	Mar_31_2017	47.1	49.88	50.44	50.35	50.28	50.1	49.93(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-13	-30	-26	26	1.88	75%	0.08	46.4	0.76%	0	0.1	58	0
15	Mar_30_2017	47.06	49.82	50.49	50.48	50.34	50.35	50.28(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10	-13	69	1.17	75%	0.09	46.3	0.75%	0	0.5	69	0

16	Mar_29_2017	47.02	49.73	50.51	50.53	50.34	50.47	50.56(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	0	11	116	0.95	76%	0.06	41.8	0.75%	0	0.9	74	0
17	Mar_28_2017	46.99	49.66	50.44	50.5	50.41	50.33	50.57(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-20	4	126	1.95	76%	0.09	38.9	0.76%	0	1	67	0
18	Mar_27_2017	46.95	49.57	50.3	50.44	50.35	50.35	50.39(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10	-21	119	1.17	76%	0.09	34.5	0.76%	0	1	66	0
19	Mar_24_2017	46.91	49.49	50.21	50.56	50.48	50.49	50.58(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	45	-0	8	156	1.2	76%	0.11	39.3	0.76%	0	1.3	69	0
20	Mar_23_2017	46.86	49.41	50.03	50.5	50.58	50.35	50.54(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	-30	-7	149	1.31	76%	0.09	38.3	0.76%	0	1.4	68	0

21	Mar_22_2017	46.82	49.36	49.81	50.48	50.56	50.48	50.43(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10	-17	144	1.68	76%	0.09	42.9	0.77%	0	1.4	70	0
22	Mar_21_2017	46.78	49.32	49.65	50.36	50.6	50.81	50.25(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	63	40	34	148	2.09	72%	0.06	48.6	0.78%	0	1.3	57	0
23	Mar_20_2017	46.75	49.28	49.51	50.13	50.32	50.63	51(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	69	50	47	136	2.68	77%	0.09	44.4	0.78%	0	2.4	68	0
24	Mar_17_2017	46.71	49.17	49.26	49.81	49.9	50.4	50.3(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	69	80	55	111	1.99	75%	0.06	42.5	0.76%	0	1.9	61	0
25	Mar_16_2017	46.68	49.11	49.08	49.47	49.64	50	50.42(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	82	60	80	86	4.19	75%		37.7	0.76%	0	2.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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