Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $49.3900 (1.63%) ($49.2500 - $49.5200) on Mon. Mar. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $49.3900(1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(93%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.78(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.76(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.96(0.88%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.39%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.25%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.53%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.15%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.46%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2017	46.63	48.96	48.76	48.78	48.79	48.96	49.39(1.63%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	29	30	46	-24	0.85	67%	0.02	48.8	0.81%	0	1.1	49	0
2	Mar_10_2017	46.62	48.92	48.7	48.62	48.79	48.44	48.6(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-30	-11	-60	0.47	58%	0	53.7	0.83%	0	-0.8	46	0
3	Mar_9_2017	46.62	48.91	48.75	48.63	48.64	48.62	48.34(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-0	-17	-65	0.76	58%	0	67.9	0.84%	0	-1.4	41	0
4	Mar_8_2017	46.62	48.9	48.88	48.65	48.71	48.85	48.81(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	20	9	-48	0.94	61%	0.02	75.6	0.83%	0	-0.2	45	0
5	Mar_7_2017	46.61	48.83	48.97	48.74	48.63	48.67	48.76(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-0	2	-30	1.23	63%	0.02	65	0.83%	0	-0.1	53	0

6	Mar_6_2017	46.6	48.77	49.04	48.73	48.73	48.58	48.6(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-20	-6	-25	0.71	63%	0.02	59.3	0.85%	0	-0.3	50	0
7	Mar_3_2017	46.59	48.7	49.08	48.8	48.78	48.6	48.65(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-30	-24	-21	0.72	63%	0.02	55.2	0.84%	0	-0.1	53	0
8	Mar_2_2017	46.58	48.63	49.15	48.89	48.84	48.89	48.43(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	0	-20	-1	1.4	63%	0	52.7	0.85%	0	-0.2	53	0
9	Mar_1_2017	46.58	48.57	49.24	49.14	48.95	48.96	49.27(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10	-1	45	1.22	68%	0.02	56.3	0.82%	0	0.8	68	0
10	Feb_28_2017	46.57	48.46	49.18	49.25	49.11	48.8	48.71(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-50	-25	66	1.11	67%	-0.02	57.8	0.81%	0	0.3	70	0

11	Feb_27_2017	46.58	48.38	49.2	49.39	49.36	48.94	48.95(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-60	-34	97	1.17	67%	0	61.6	0.81%	0	0.6	73	0
12	Feb_24_2017	46.58	48.29	49.16	49.4	49.47	49.41	49.08(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-0	-24	124	1.15	67%	-0.02	66.2	0.81%	0	0.8	77	0
13	Feb_23_2017	46.59	48.2	49.1	49.43	49.45	49.78	49.68(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	50	25	170	1.66	71%	0.02	71.9	0.8%	0	1.5	87	0
14	Feb_22_2017	46.58	48.08	48.93	49.34	49.32	49.53	49.83(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	80	30	44	187	1.3	71%	0.02	78	0.8%	0	1.8	90	0
15	Feb_21_2017	46.57	47.93	48.68	49.11	49.15	49.53	49.41(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	-0	14	163	1.1	70%	-0.02	81.2	0.8%	0	1.7	89	0

16	Feb_17_2017	46.58	47.78	48.47	48.98	48.97	49.11	49.01(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	1	155	1.42	68%	0	77.9	0.8%	0	1.4	88	0
17	Feb_16_2017	46.58	47.64	48.29	48.89	48.94	49.19	49.24(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	72	40	41	166	2.02	68%	0.02	75.4	0.8%	0	1.8	87	0
18	Feb_15_2017	46.57	47.49	48.07	48.71	48.72	48.82	49.23(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	57	10	28	145	1.52	72%	0	74.3	0.81%	0	2	82	0
19	Feb_14_2017	46.57	47.34	47.85	48.46	48.54	48.69	48.66(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	30	25	118	0.94	64%	0.02	73.9	0.83%	0	1.7	78	0
20	Feb_13_2017	46.56	47.22	47.68	48.18	48.35	48.62	48.77(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	56	50	41	100	2.56	64%	-0.02	73.5	0.86%	0	2.1	84	0

21	Feb_10_2017	46.57	47.09	47.49	47.88	47.99	48.39	48.53(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	51	70	40	82	1.32	60%	-0.02	77.5	0.87%	0	2.2	86	0
22	Feb_9_2017	46.58	46.97	47.34	47.6	47.71	48.09	48.37(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	57	60	50	77	0.74	53%	-0.02	76.2	0.89%	0	2.4	88	0
23	Feb_8_2017	46.59	46.86	47.22	47.35	47.4	47.6	47.96(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	38	30	30	61	0.48	53%	0	91.6	0.94%	0	2.2	84	0
24	Feb_7_2017	46.59	46.77	47.15	47.16	47.19	47.33	47.27(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	20	11	51	0.91	56%	-0.02	113.8	0.92%	0	1.1	70	0
25	Feb_6_2017	46.6	46.69	47.12	47.11	47.14	47.2	47.29(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	10	13	54	0.54	56%		115	1%	0	1.2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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