Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $48.3200 (1.62%) ($47.7500 - $48.5000) on Thu. Sep. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $48.3200(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.94(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.2(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.6(1.51%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.3%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.17%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.27%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.57%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.56%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2016	43.52	47.6	48.2	47.94	47.74	47.89	48.32(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	10	6	52	2.14	66%	0.12	31	1.28%	0	0.9	63	0
2	Sep_14_2016	43.47	47.54	48.05	48.13	47.83	47.53	47.55(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-60	-21	54	2.74	64%	0.12	48.8	1.27%	0	0	59	0
3	Sep_13_2016	43.42	47.54	48.04	48.4	48.22	47.6	47.43(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-14	-100	-41	67	3.39	61%	0.09	69.4	1.27%	0	-0.1	56	0
4	Sep_12_2016	43.38	47.52	48	48.74	48.6	48.13	48.36(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-80	-32	91	1.45	65%	0.14	95.4	1.27%	0	1	63	0
5	Sep_9_2016	43.32	47.43	47.83	48.65	48.89	48.84	48.03(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	23	10	0	91	1.46	61%	0.09	104	1.31%	0	0.7	55	0

6	Sep_8_2016	43.28	47.34	47.7	48.46	48.74	49.08	49.26(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	70	35	92	1.54	65%	0.14	106.1	1.27%	0	2.3	66	0
7	Sep_7_2016	43.22	47.14	47.42	47.96	48.2	48.94	48.91(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	120	45	64	1.83	65%	0.12	99.4	1.27%	0	2.1	66	0
8	Sep_6_2016	43.17	46.96	47.2	47.63	47.66	48.4	49.13(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	60	110	63	50	2.88	66%	0.12	98.9	1.27%	0	2.6	67	0
9	Sep_2_2016	43.12	46.75	46.96	47.17	47.23	47.46	47.92(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	40	38	10	2.02	63%	0.09	87.8	1.23%	0	1.4	55	0
10	Sep_1_2016	43.08	46.6	46.89	46.9	46.97	46.92	47.1(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-0	2	-12	0.76	62%	0.07	73.3	1.22%	0	0.5	58	0

11	Aug_31_2016	43.05	46.45	46.92	46.81	46.88	47	46.76(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	20	1	-6	1.53	63%	0.09	61.7	1.23%	0	0.3	60	0
12	Aug_30_2016	43.01	46.32	46.92	46.78	46.83	47.02	47.23(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	15	30	15	16	0.48	63%	0.12	54.8	1.24%	0	0.8	76	0
13	Aug_29_2016	42.96	46.16	46.96	46.71	46.71	46.77	46.84(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	10	3	25	1.09	63%	0.12	49.1	1.25%	0	0.5	72	0
14	Aug_26_2016	42.91	46.03	47.01	46.73	46.76	46.64	46.58(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-8	44	1.49	63%	0.14	48.1	1.25%	0	0.4	73	0
15	Aug_25_2016	42.85	45.9	47.02	46.89	46.85	46.65	46.63(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-30	-19	68	0.83	63%	0.12	50	1.25%	0	0.5	76	0

16	Aug_24_2016	42.8	45.79	46.99	47.05	47.03	46.89	46.64(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-14	102	1.54	65%	0.12	53.9	1.25%	0	0.6	80	0
17	Aug_23_2016	42.75	45.67	46.87	47.16	47.2	47.05	46.85(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-20	-7	126	1.04	65%	0.12	57.7	1.26%	0	0.9	84	0
18	Aug_22_2016	42.7	45.55	46.73	47.24	47.19	47.17	46.94(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10	-12	146	1.57	65%	0.12	62.5	1.26%	0	1	85	0
19	Aug_19_2016	42.65	45.4	46.55	47.33	47.25	47.35	47.37(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	10	11	174	1.14	65%	0.12	65.8	1.26%	0	1.5	87	0
20	Aug_18_2016	42.6	45.24	46.29	47.16	47.24	47.22	47.46(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	0	17	178	1.39	65%	0.12	67.5	1.27%	0	1.7	89	0

21	Aug_17_2016	42.55	45.07	45.96	46.91	46.97	47.16	47.17(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	30	15	164	3.05	65%	0.12	67.9	1.28%	0	1.8	83	0
22	Aug_16_2016	42.5	44.9	45.64	46.52	46.73	47.25	47.25(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	70	90	43	151	1.6	67%	0.14	66.4	1.28%	0	2.1	81	0
23	Aug_15_2016	42.44	44.71	45.29	46.13	46.24	46.79	47.38(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	68	90	49	126	2.05	67%	0.12	65	1.3%	0	2.8	80	0
24	Aug_12_2016	42.39	44.54	44.94	45.66	45.76	46.21	46.56(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	54	80	40	97	0.96	63%	0.12	74.3	1.31%	0	2.7	80	0
25	Aug_11_2016	42.34	44.4	44.68	45.3	45.42	45.69	46.18(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	50	38	74	1.49	63%		88.3	1.31%	0	2.9	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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