Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $48.9100 (-0.45%) ($48.8100 - $49.0500) on Wed. Sep. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $48.9100(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.96(1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.42(3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.14(3.75%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   22.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.22%(52%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 0.98%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -1.99%(52%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 1.85%(34%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(66%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2016	43.22	47.14	47.42	47.96	48.2	48.94	48.91(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	120	45	64	1.83	65%	0.12	99.4	1.27%	0	2.1	66	0
2	Sep_6_2016	43.17	46.96	47.2	47.63	47.66	48.4	49.13(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	60	110	63	50	2.88	66%	0.12	98.9	1.27%	0	2.6	67	0
3	Sep_2_2016	43.12	46.75	46.96	47.17	47.23	47.46	47.92(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	40	38	10	2.02	63%	0.09	87.8	1.23%	0	1.4	55	0
4	Sep_1_2016	43.08	46.6	46.89	46.9	46.97	46.92	47.1(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-0	2	-12	0.76	62%	0.07	73.3	1.22%	0	0.5	58	0
5	Aug_31_2016	43.05	46.45	46.92	46.81	46.88	47	46.76(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	20	1	-6	1.53	63%	0.09	61.7	1.23%	0	0.3	60	0

6	Aug_30_2016	43.01	46.32	46.92	46.78	46.83	47.02	47.23(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	15	30	15	16	0.48	63%	0.12	54.8	1.24%	0	0.8	76	0
7	Aug_29_2016	42.96	46.16	46.96	46.71	46.71	46.77	46.84(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	10	3	25	1.09	63%	0.12	49.1	1.25%	0	0.5	72	0
8	Aug_26_2016	42.91	46.03	47.01	46.73	46.76	46.64	46.58(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-8	44	1.49	63%	0.14	48.1	1.25%	0	0.4	73	0
9	Aug_25_2016	42.85	45.9	47.02	46.89	46.85	46.65	46.63(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-30	-19	68	0.83	63%	0.12	50	1.25%	0	0.5	76	0
10	Aug_24_2016	42.8	45.79	46.99	47.05	47.03	46.89	46.64(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-14	102	1.54	65%	0.12	53.9	1.25%	0	0.6	80	0

11	Aug_23_2016	42.75	45.67	46.87	47.16	47.2	47.05	46.85(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-20	-7	126	1.04	65%	0.12	57.7	1.26%	0	0.9	84	0
12	Aug_22_2016	42.7	45.55	46.73	47.24	47.19	47.17	46.94(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10	-12	146	1.57	65%	0.12	62.5	1.26%	0	1	85	0
13	Aug_19_2016	42.65	45.4	46.55	47.33	47.25	47.35	47.37(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	10	11	174	1.14	65%	0.12	65.8	1.26%	0	1.5	87	0
14	Aug_18_2016	42.6	45.24	46.29	47.16	47.24	47.22	47.46(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	0	17	178	1.39	65%	0.12	67.5	1.27%	0	1.7	89	0
15	Aug_17_2016	42.55	45.07	45.96	46.91	46.97	47.16	47.17(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	30	15	164	3.05	65%	0.12	67.9	1.28%	0	1.8	83	0

16	Aug_16_2016	42.5	44.9	45.64	46.52	46.73	47.25	47.25(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	70	90	43	151	1.6	67%	0.14	66.4	1.28%	0	2.1	81	0
17	Aug_15_2016	42.44	44.71	45.29	46.13	46.24	46.79	47.38(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	68	90	49	126	2.05	67%	0.12	65	1.3%	0	2.8	80	0
18	Aug_12_2016	42.39	44.54	44.94	45.66	45.76	46.21	46.56(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	54	80	40	97	0.96	63%	0.12	74.3	1.31%	0	2.7	80	0
19	Aug_11_2016	42.34	44.4	44.68	45.3	45.42	45.69	46.18(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	50	38	74	1.49	63%	0.12	88.3	1.31%	0	2.9	71	0
20	Aug_10_2016	42.29	44.28	44.47	44.87	45.04	45.31	45.23(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	50	22	46	1.41	63%	0.07	104.4	1.3%	0	1.9	67	0

21	Aug_9_2016	42.26	44.18	44.37	44.61	44.73	45.15	45.3(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	70	33	38	0.18	61%	0.07	113.5	1.32%	0	2.4	66	0
22	Aug_8_2016	42.23	44.09	44.27	44.31	44.34	44.78	45.02(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	31	70	31	29	0.77	61%	0.07	116.7	1.33%	0	2.1	70	0
23	Aug_5_2016	42.2	43.98	44.16	44.12	44.04	44.3	44.75(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	40	23	13	0.57	61%	0.07	93.2	1.33%	0	1.5	55	0
24	Aug_4_2016	42.17	43.87	44.16	43.97	43.92	43.9	44.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10	4	1	0.58	59%	0.07	66.7	1.32%	0	0.3	53	0
25	Aug_3_2016	42.14	43.76	44.11	44	43.89	43.78	43.91(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-30	-12	-3	0.98	56%		58.4	1.33%	0	0.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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