Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $47.4600 (0.61%) ($47.2700 - $47.5200) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $47.4600(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.16(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.29(2.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.24(4.91%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(65%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(35%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 3.1%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -0.82%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 2.25%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.23%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2016	42.6	45.24	46.29	47.16	47.24	47.22	47.46(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	0	17	178	1.39	65%	0.12	67.5	1.27%	0	1.7	89	INF
2	Aug_17_2016	42.55	45.07	45.96	46.91	46.97	47.16	47.17(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	30	15	164	3.05	65%	0.12	67.9	1.28%	0	1.8	83	INF
3	Aug_16_2016	42.5	44.9	45.64	46.52	46.73	47.25	47.25(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	70	90	43	151	1.6	67%	0.14	66.4	1.28%	0	2.1	81	INF
4	Aug_15_2016	42.44	44.71	45.29	46.13	46.24	46.79	47.38(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	68	90	49	126	2.05	67%	0.12	65	1.3%	0	2.8	80	INF
5	Aug_12_2016	42.39	44.54	44.94	45.66	45.76	46.21	46.56(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	54	80	40	97	0.96	63%	0.12	74.3	1.31%	0	2.7	80	INF

6	Aug_11_2016	42.34	44.4	44.68	45.3	45.42	45.69	46.18(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	50	38	74	1.49	63%	0.12	88.3	1.31%	0	2.9	71	INF
7	Aug_10_2016	42.29	44.28	44.47	44.87	45.04	45.31	45.23(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	50	22	46	1.41	63%	0.07	104.4	1.3%	0	1.9	67	INF
8	Aug_9_2016	42.26	44.18	44.37	44.61	44.73	45.15	45.3(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	70	33	38	0.18	61%	0.07	113.5	1.32%	0	2.4	66	INF
9	Aug_8_2016	42.23	44.09	44.27	44.31	44.34	44.78	45.02(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	31	70	31	29	0.77	61%	0.07	116.7	1.33%	0	2.1	70	INF
10	Aug_5_2016	42.2	43.98	44.16	44.12	44.04	44.3	44.75(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	40	23	13	0.57	61%	0.07	93.2	1.33%	0	1.5	55	INF

11	Aug_4_2016	42.17	43.87	44.16	43.97	43.92	43.9	44.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10	4	1	0.58	59%	0.07	66.7	1.32%	0	0.3	53	INF
12	Aug_3_2016	42.14	43.76	44.11	44	43.89	43.78	43.91(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-30	-12	-3	0.98	56%	0.07	58.4	1.33%	0	0.2	50	INF
13	Aug_2_2016	42.11	43.66	44.13	44.09	44	43.94	43.83(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-20	-10	11	1.32	56%	0.05	60.3	1.36%	0	0.2	58	INF
14	Aug_1_2016	42.09	43.57	44.11	44.22	44.13	44.01	44.04(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-30	-3	21	0.88	56%	0.07	73.5	1.36%	0	0.5	56	INF
15	Jul_29_2016	42.06	43.51	44.13	44.21	44.19	44.07	44.02(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-20	-9	30	0.76	56%	0.1	84.5	1.37%	0	0.6	63	INF

16	Jul_28_2016	42.02	43.43	44.11	44.26	44.22	44.26	44.22(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	0	-0	50	0.51	56%	0.1	85.2	1.38%	0	0.9	70	INF
17	Jul_27_2016	41.98	43.31	44.08	44.22	44.21	44.31	44.36(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	20	7	72	0.88	56%	0.12	81.1	1.39%	0	1.1	75	INF
18	Jul_26_2016	41.93	43.14	43.98	44.17	44.15	44.19	44.47(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	0	10	86	0.36	56%	0.07	70.5	1.39%	0	1.3	75	INF
19	Jul_25_2016	41.9	42.93	43.89	43.98	44.08	44.19	43.96(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	10	0	90	0.49	56%	0.07	52.3	1.38%	0	0.9	72	INF
20	Jul_22_2016	41.87	42.76	43.79	44.04	43.98	44.12	44.29(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	7	100	0.37	56%	0.1	49.5	1.38%	0	1.2	63	INF

21	Jul_21_2016	41.83	42.66	43.61	43.95	43.92	44.04	44.02(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	9	98	1.07	56%	0.1	55.6	1.38%	0	1.1	64	INF
22	Jul_20_2016	41.79	42.54	43.39	43.93	43.88	43.83	44.1(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	8	98	0.35	56%	0.1	59.3	1.38%	0	1.3	69	INF
23	Jul_19_2016	41.75	42.42	43.16	43.93	43.83	43.8	43.55(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-0	-3	95	0.89	56%	0.12	61.7	1.38%	0	1	71	INF
24	Jul_18_2016	41.7	42.31	43	43.77	43.75	43.92	44.23(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	30	13	123	0.62	58%	0.14	66.4	1.37%	0	1.7	81	INF
25	Jul_15_2016	41.64	42.14	42.83	43.51	43.64	43.86	43.83(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	40	27	138	0.88	58%		59.8	1.37%	0	1.6	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.