Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $45.0200 (0.6%) ($44.9300 - $45.1000) on Mon. Aug. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $45.0200(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.31(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.27(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.09(2.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.02%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.47%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.26%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.54%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.15%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.27%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2016	42.23	44.09	44.27	44.31	44.34	44.78	45.02(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	31	70	31	29	0.77	61%	0.07	116.7	1.33%	0	2.1	70	0
2	Aug_5_2016	42.2	43.98	44.16	44.12	44.04	44.3	44.75(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	40	23	13	0.57	61%	0.07	93.2	1.33%	0	1.5	55	0
3	Aug_4_2016	42.17	43.87	44.16	43.97	43.92	43.9	44.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10	4	1	0.58	59%	0.07	66.7	1.32%	0	0.3	53	0
4	Aug_3_2016	42.14	43.76	44.11	44	43.89	43.78	43.91(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-30	-12	-3	0.98	56%	0.07	58.4	1.33%	0	0.2	50	0
5	Aug_2_2016	42.11	43.66	44.13	44.09	44	43.94	43.83(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-20	-10	11	1.32	56%	0.05	60.3	1.36%	0	0.2	58	0

6	Aug_1_2016	42.09	43.57	44.11	44.22	44.13	44.01	44.04(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-30	-3	21	0.88	56%	0.07	73.5	1.36%	0	0.5	56	0
7	Jul_29_2016	42.06	43.51	44.13	44.21	44.19	44.07	44.02(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-20	-9	30	0.76	56%	0.1	84.5	1.37%	0	0.6	63	0
8	Jul_28_2016	42.02	43.43	44.11	44.26	44.22	44.26	44.22(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	0	-0	50	0.51	56%	0.1	85.2	1.38%	0	0.9	70	0
9	Jul_27_2016	41.98	43.31	44.08	44.22	44.21	44.31	44.36(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	20	7	72	0.88	56%	0.12	81.1	1.39%	0	1.1	75	0
10	Jul_26_2016	41.93	43.14	43.98	44.17	44.15	44.19	44.47(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	0	10	86	0.36	56%	0.07	70.5	1.39%	0	1.3	75	0

11	Jul_25_2016	41.9	42.93	43.89	43.98	44.08	44.19	43.96(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	10	0	90	0.49	56%	0.07	52.3	1.38%	0	0.9	72	0
12	Jul_22_2016	41.87	42.76	43.79	44.04	43.98	44.12	44.29(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	7	100	0.37	56%	0.1	49.5	1.38%	0	1.2	63	0
13	Jul_21_2016	41.83	42.66	43.61	43.95	43.92	44.04	44.02(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	9	98	1.07	56%	0.1	55.6	1.38%	0	1.1	64	0
14	Jul_20_2016	41.79	42.54	43.39	43.93	43.88	43.83	44.1(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	8	98	0.35	56%	0.1	59.3	1.38%	0	1.3	69	0
15	Jul_19_2016	41.75	42.42	43.16	43.93	43.83	43.8	43.55(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-0	-3	95	0.89	56%	0.12	61.7	1.38%	0	1	71	0

16	Jul_18_2016	41.7	42.31	43	43.77	43.75	43.92	44.23(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	30	13	123	0.62	58%	0.14	66.4	1.37%	0	1.7	81	0
17	Jul_15_2016	41.64	42.14	42.83	43.51	43.64	43.86	43.83(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	40	27	138	0.88	58%	0.14	59.8	1.37%	0	1.6	75	0
18	Jul_14_2016	41.58	42	42.68	43.21	43.35	43.58	43.93(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	50	30	121	1.31	58%	0.12	48.8	1.38%	0	1.9	55	0
19	Jul_13_2016	41.53	41.85	42.46	42.77	42.94	43.42	43.31(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	90	30	99	1.17	60%	0.12	31.4	1.37%	0	1.6	58	0
20	Jul_12_2016	41.48	41.73	42.23	42.46	42.55	43.13	43.56(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	54	100	45	79	1.33	60%	0.1	13	1.43%	0	2.1	58	0

21	Jul_11_2016	41.44	41.58	41.88	42.12	42.05	42.46	42.92(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	60	23	39	0.78	58%	0.12	-8.6	1.43%	0	1.7	58	0
22	Jul_8_2016	41.39	41.58	41.88	42.07	41.84	41.98	42.34(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	10	9	28	1.19	58%	0.1	-14.6	1.43%	0	1.2	59	0
23	Jul_7_2016	41.35	41.51	41.88	42.08	41.95	41.64	41.7(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-60	-5	37	1.24	57%	0.07	-10.8	1.42%	0	0.3	54	0
24	Jul_6_2016	41.32	41.56	41.88	42.1	42.07	41.7	41.78(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-60	-15	39	1.44	59%	0.1	-3.7	1.44%	0	0.3	54	0
25	Jul_5_2016	41.28	41.61	41.63	41.94	42.13	42.26	41.84(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	40	11	49	0.98	56%		-5	1.46%	0	0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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