Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $40.2200 (-0.37%) ($40.0700 - $40.5000) on Tue. May. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $40.2200(-0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.64(-16.36%)
Resistance Level   $41.46
5 Day Moving Average   $40.04(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.28(-0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.46(-2.99%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 3.55% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.97%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 2.14%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.23%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.96%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.3%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2016	40.55	41.46	40.28	40.04	40.07	40.25	40.22(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	30	8	-108	0.47	64%	-0.12	-64.8	1.42%	0	-0.8	26	INF
2	May_16_2016	40.6	41.66	40.37	40.13	40.09	39.91	40.37(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-30	2	-123	2.33	68%	-0.02	-58.1	1.43%	0	-0.9	29	INF
3	May_13_2016	40.61	41.83	40.52	40.05	40.16	39.9	39.39(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-54	-40	-24	-143	1.05	66%	-0.15	-54.9	1.48%	0	-1.6	19	INF
4	May_12_2016	40.67	42.04	40.81	40.3	40.31	40.27	40.01(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-43	-10	-12	-135	0.7	71%	-0.15	-47.2	1.48%	0	-1.4	20	INF
5	May_11_2016	40.73	42.24	41.08	40.46	40.4	40.41	40.2(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-35	-0	-4	-129	1	67%	-0.15	-37.5	1.51%	0	-1.5	19	INF

6	May_10_2016	40.79	42.44	41.37	40.56	40.55	40.35	40.68(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-40	-5	-130	1.13	67%	-0.1	-30.7	1.52%	0	-1.3	20	INF
7	May_9_2016	40.83	42.55	41.6	40.65	40.63	40.38	39.99(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-62	-40	-32	-150	1.29	66%	-0.15	-25.2	1.5%	0	-2	8	INF
8	May_6_2016	40.89	42.67	41.9	41.07	40.91	40.75	40.64(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-50	-40	-23	-132	1.08	65%	-0.12	-16.9	1.52%	0	-1.8	19	INF
9	May_5_2016	40.94	42.73	42.16	41.4	41.32	40.87	40.81(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-80	-25	-120	0.82	65%	-0.12	-12.5	1.53%	0	-1.8	25	INF
10	May_4_2016	40.99	42.77	42.43	41.79	41.66	41.07	40.68(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-66	-110	-49	-116	1.56	65%	-0.1	-8.3	1.53%	0	-2	21	INF

11	May_3_2016	41.03	42.85	42.76	42.3	42.19	41.76	41.12(-2.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-50	-80	-36	-90	1.77	65%	-0.07	2.1	1.53%	0	-1.7	22	INF
12	May_2_2016	41.06	42.85	43.07	42.68	42.6	42.25	42.1(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-60	-21	-54	1.09	64%	-0.05	8.6	1.51%	0	-0.8	49	INF
13	Apr_29_2016	41.08	42.86	43.25	42.84	42.79	42.61	42.27(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-30	-20	-30	1.04	64%	-0.07	15.5	1.56%	0	-0.6	56	INF
14	Apr_28_2016	41.11	42.87	43.38	43.04	42.95	42.96	42.8(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-0	-7	-1	0.85	64%	-0.05	26.9	1.58%	0	-0.1	64	INF
15	Apr_27_2016	41.13	42.86	43.5	43.18	43.06	42.98	43.19(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-20	-5	30	0.86	62%	-0.07	36.5	1.58%	0	0.4	70	INF

16	Apr_26_2016	41.16	42.83	43.59	43.3	43.23	42.93	43.02(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-50	-17	49	0.73	62%	-0.07	42.3	1.6%	0	0.2	61	INF
17	Apr_25_2016	41.19	42.78	43.57	43.54	43.4	43.15	42.93(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-50	-22	73	0.73	59%	-0.1	47.2	1.6%	0	0.2	66	INF
18	Apr_22_2016	41.23	42.72	43.5	43.72	43.7	43.52	43.28(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-30	-6	91	0.7	62%	-0.07	49.1	1.62%	0	0.6	60	INF
19	Apr_21_2016	41.26	42.62	43.35	43.75	43.7	43.66	43.47(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-10	85	0.69	62%	-0.07	46.3	1.66%	0	0.8	57	INF
20	Apr_20_2016	41.29	42.52	43.14	43.87	43.76	43.88	43.8(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	10	-3	85	1.78	58%	-0.1	49.4	1.66%	0	1.2	57	INF

21	Apr_19_2016	41.33	42.43	42.96	43.93	43.84	43.86	44.24(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-0	16	91	0.94	60%	-0.05	58.5	1.69%	0	1.8	60	INF
22	Apr_18_2016	41.35	42.32	42.63	43.6	43.81	43.64	43.79(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10	9	66	0.62	60%	-0.07	60.5	1.71%	0	1.6	61	INF
23	Apr_15_2016	41.38	42.23	42.43	43.25	43.51	43.82	43.47(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	70	12	54	1.14	56%	0.05	58.8	1.72%	0	1.5	62	INF
24	Apr_14_2016	41.36	42.14	42.31	42.87	43.16	43.99	44.03(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	49	150	46	58	0.95	56%	-0.07	59.9	1.81%	0	2.4	68	INF
25	Apr_13_2016	41.39	42.01	42.13	42.3	42.59	43.21	44.1(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	46	120	47	41	1.1	54%		56	1.82%	0	3.1	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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