Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $41.8700 (-1.16%) ($41.8100 - $42.4600) on Mon. Apr. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $41.8700(-1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.27(-0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.01(-0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.56(0.75%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.82%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.86%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.05%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2016	41.78	41.56	42.01	42.27	42.34	42.06	41.87(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-40	-3	27	0.56	42%	-0.12	73	1.82%	0	0.4	57	0
2	Apr_1_2016	41.83	41.53	42.04	42.21	42.22	42.28	42.36(-0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	10	-1	31	0.69	42%	-0.12	90.7	1.87%	0	1.1	62	0
3	Mar_31_2016	41.88	41.43	41.98	41.99	42.07	42.62	42.51(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	100	24	45	1.04	42%	-0.12	92.6	1.89%	0	1.4	75	0
4	Mar_30_2016	41.93	41.32	41.88	41.77	41.69	42.15	42.57(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	70	23	45	1.03	42%	-0.1	98.4	1.89%	0	1.6	70	0
5	Mar_29_2016	41.97	41.18	41.72	41.67	41.45	41.52	42.06(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-0	4	41	0.47	42%	-0.14	101.1	1.88%	0	1.1	69	0

6	Mar_28_2016	42.03	41	41.65	41.74	41.56	41.24	41.55(0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-70	-11	41	0.5	42%	-0.33	79.1	1.88%	0	0.6	55	0
7	Mar_24_2016	42.17	40.85	41.63	41.86	41.81	41.39	41.24(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-70	-20	43	2.44	42%	-0.17	67.5	1.88%	0	0.3	49	0
8	Mar_23_2016	42.24	40.72	41.52	41.96	42.1	41.89	41.44(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-20	-9	51	0.75	44%	-0.17	66.7	1.88%	0	0.6	59	0
9	Mar_22_2016	42.31	40.58	41.41	41.97	42.07	42.24	42.08(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	40	8	58	0.61	44%	-0.14	64.3	1.88%	0	1.1	64	0
10	Mar_21_2016	42.37	40.41	41.22	41.76	41.81	42.31	42.38(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	90	22	59	0.71	44%	-0.12	64.3	1.88%	0	1.6	70	0

11	Mar_18_2016	42.42	40.26	41.06	41.55	41.44	41.9	42.15(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	70	23	70	1.08	44%	-0.12	73.1	1.88%	0	1.5	75	0
12	Mar_17_2016	42.47	40.07	40.97	41.39	41.22	41.32	41.76(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	0	21	85	0.61	44%	-0.16	82.5	1.88%	0	1.4	74	0
13	Mar_16_2016	42.54	39.9	40.83	41.02	41.08	40.99	41.49(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10	8	79	0.58	45%	-0.16	85.6	1.88%	0	1.4	73	0
14	Mar_15_2016	42.61	39.75	40.71	40.76	40.83	41.11	41.04(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	50	6	82	0.41	46%	-0.19	91.7	1.89%	0	1.1	69	0
15	Mar_14_2016	42.69	39.61	40.58	40.57	40.67	41.17	41.33(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	90	22	90	0.5	46%	-0.21	95.8	1.9%	0	1.5	72	0

16	Mar_11_2016	42.78	39.37	40.29	40.5	40.42	40.55	41.31(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	20	10	75	0.67	45%	-0.19	84.3	1.91%	0	1.6	60	0
17	Mar_10_2016	42.86	39.1	40.01	40.52	40.39	40.17	39.91(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-50	-10	71	1.08	42%	-0.19	70	1.88%	0	0.6	61	0
18	Mar_9_2016	42.94	38.93	39.87	40.61	40.66	40.28	40.23(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-60	-9	77	0.86	42%	-0.21	61.3	1.88%	0	0.9	64	0
19	Mar_8_2016	43.03	38.73	39.71	40.63	40.62	40.62	40.08(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-0	-8	80	0.91	42%	-0.21	54.6	1.88%	0	0.9	60	0
20	Mar_7_2016	43.12	38.55	39.56	40.55	40.59	41.03	40.99(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	80	31	98	0.95	43%	-0.19	47.1	1.87%	0	1.5	70	0

21	Mar_4_2016	43.2	38.36	39.4	40.02	40.2	40.63	41.41(2.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	56	90	40	102	2.24	43%	-0.18	34.3	1.87%	0	2	79	0
22	Mar_3_2016	43.28	38.17	39.09	39.42	39.54	40.14	40.32(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	120	27	94	0.69	41%	-0.16	24.8	1.84%	0	1.6	80	0
23	Mar_2_2016	43.35	38.04	38.88	39.04	39.16	39.77	40.34(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	55	120	41	98	1.63	41%	-0.16	19.4	1.84%	0	1.9	73	0
24	Mar_1_2016	43.42	37.89	38.7	38.68	38.65	38.93	39.68(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	50	22	97	0.91	41%	-0.18	8.8	1.82%	0	1.7	73	0
25	Feb_29_2016	43.5	37.82	38.53	38.44	38.35	38.56	38.35(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	30	-3	92	1.13	37%		5.2	1.76%	0	0.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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