Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $45.9500 (1.48%) ($45.7000 - $46.0200) on Wed. Dec. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $45.9500(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.37(1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.05(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.68(0.59%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.21%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.13%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.53%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.97%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.88%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2015	46.01	45.68	45.05	45.37	45.36	45.49	45.95(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	20	17	-17	0.88	74%	0	-55.4	1.43%	0	0.3	47	INF
2	Dec_22_2015	46.01	45.75	44.97	45.32	45.26	45.11	45.28(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-30	-4	-40	0.96	72%	-0.02	-48.9	1.43%	0	-0.5	40	INF
3	Dec_21_2015	46.02	45.86	44.99	45.25	45.36	45.23	45.15(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10	0	-54	2.7	72%	-0.02	-45	1.44%	0	-0.7	37	INF
4	Dec_18_2015	46.03	46	45.09	45.06	45.32	45.41	45.35(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	30	15	-61	2.99	72%	-0.02	-40.2	1.46%	0	-0.6	40	INF
5	Dec_17_2015	46.04	46.1	45.21	44.72	44.98	45.49	45.12(-1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	100	18	-73	1.15	72%	-0.02	-46.9	1.48%	0	-0.8	43	INF

6	Dec_16_2015	46.05	46.2	45.31	44.68	44.57	45.24	45.69(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	100	31	-81	0.62	75%	0	-47.8	1.48%	0	-0.4	38	INF
7	Dec_15_2015	46.05	46.25	45.39	44.59	44.43	44.48	44.94(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-0	13	-100	1.01	74%	-0.04	-51.4	1.51%	0	-1.1	32	INF
8	Dec_14_2015	46.07	46.36	45.58	44.72	44.53	43.91	44.2(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-110	-35	-120	0.57	72%	-0.04	-51.2	1.51%	0	-1.9	25	INF
9	Dec_11_2015	46.09	46.48	45.84	45.14	44.88	44.39	43.66(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-72	-90	-56	-121	1.06	72%	-0.07	-55.7	1.5%	0	-2.8	18	INF
10	Dec_10_2015	46.12	46.66	46.12	45.75	45.51	45.16	44.92(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-70	-24	-91	1.93	80%	-0.04	-60.4	1.46%	0	-2.2	32	INF

11	Dec_9_2015	46.14	46.77	46.38	46.02	45.9	45.38	45.21(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-90	-30	-80	0.69	80%	-0.02	-68.3	1.46%	0	-2.3	35	INF
12	Dec_8_2015	46.15	46.87	46.63	46.29	46.17	45.86	45.62(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-50	-34	-63	0.91	85%	-0.02	-76.2	1.46%	0	-2.2	43	INF
13	Dec_7_2015	46.16	46.95	46.83	46.56	46.51	46.41	46.27(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-20	-7	-31	0.67	85%	0	-78.3	1.66%	0	-1.4	45	INF
14	Dec_4_2015	46.16	47.05	47	46.65	46.51	46.49	46.75(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-20	-2	-13	0.51	85%	0.02	-60	1.66%	0	-0.6	57	INF
15	Dec_3_2015	46.15	47.14	47.06	46.56	46.64	46.62	46.26(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	0	-10	-18	0.66	85%	0	-47.8	1.7%	0	-1.4	46	INF

16	Dec_2_2015	46.15	47.24	47.16	46.8	46.59	46.79	46.56(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	20	-5	-5	2.15	85%	0.02	-34.1	1.7%	0	-1	47	INF
17	Dec_1_2015	46.14	47.3	47.19	47.02	46.76	46.66	46.95(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-30	2	5	2.18	73%	0.02	-30.4	1.7%	0	-0.5	51	INF
18	Nov_30_2015	46.13	47.34	47.2	47.15	46.9	46.38	46.75(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-90	-25	-2	1.92	73%	0.02	-33.3	1.79%	0	-0.9	46	INF
19	Nov_27_2015	46.12	47.38	47.16	47.41	47.2	46.86	46.26(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-22	-60	-27	-6	1.89	77%	0	-41.2	1.82%	0	-1.8	34	INF
20	Nov_25_2015	46.12	47.44	47.24	47.61	47.63	47.42	47.48(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-30	-2	2	0.79	84%	0.04	-48.3	1.9%	0	0.1	38	INF

21	Nov_24_2015	46.1	47.46	47.2	47.56	47.6	47.54	47.64(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10	-2	-7	0.3	84%	0.07	-47.3	1.93%	0	0.3	42	INF
22	Nov_23_2015	46.07	47.5	47.13	47.38	47.49	47.84	47.63(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	60	11	-14	0.25	84%	0.04	-50.4	1.94%	0	0.2	48	INF
23	Nov_20_2015	46.05	47.56	47.13	47.25	47.28	47.67	48.02(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	16	60	26	-16	1.01	84%	0.07	-43.4	1.95%	0	0.6	51	INF
24	Nov_19_2015	46.02	47.64	47.08	46.89	46.94	47.15	47.3(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	30	12	-29	0.56	84%	0.04	-47.6	1.96%	0	-0.4	51	INF
25	Nov_18_2015	46	47.72	47.2	46.83	46.68	46.88	47.21(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	20	3	-29	0.37	84%		-50	1.98%	0	-0.6	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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