Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $45.6900 (1.67%) ($45.0200 - $45.8800) on Wed. Dec. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $45.6900(1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(91%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $40.36(-11.67%)
Resistance Level   $46.2
5 Day Moving Average   $44.68(2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.31(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.2(-1.1%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.2%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.29%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2015	46.05	46.2	45.31	44.68	44.57	45.24	45.69(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	100	31	-81	0.62	75%	0	-47.8	1.48%	0	-0.4	38	0
2	Dec_15_2015	46.05	46.25	45.39	44.59	44.43	44.48	44.94(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-0	13	-100	1.01	74%	-0.04	-51.4	1.51%	0	-1.1	32	0
3	Dec_14_2015	46.07	46.36	45.58	44.72	44.53	43.91	44.2(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-110	-35	-120	0.57	72%	-0.04	-51.2	1.51%	0	-1.9	25	0
4	Dec_11_2015	46.09	46.48	45.84	45.14	44.88	44.39	43.66(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-72	-90	-56	-121	1.06	72%	-0.07	-55.7	1.5%	0	-2.8	18	0
5	Dec_10_2015	46.12	46.66	46.12	45.75	45.51	45.16	44.92(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-70	-24	-91	1.93	80%	-0.04	-60.4	1.46%	0	-2.2	32	0

6	Dec_9_2015	46.14	46.77	46.38	46.02	45.9	45.38	45.21(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-90	-30	-80	0.69	80%	-0.02	-68.3	1.46%	0	-2.3	35	0
7	Dec_8_2015	46.15	46.87	46.63	46.29	46.17	45.86	45.62(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-50	-34	-63	0.91	85%	-0.02	-76.2	1.46%	0	-2.2	43	0
8	Dec_7_2015	46.16	46.95	46.83	46.56	46.51	46.41	46.27(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-20	-7	-31	0.67	85%	0	-78.3	1.66%	0	-1.4	45	0
9	Dec_4_2015	46.16	47.05	47	46.65	46.51	46.49	46.75(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-20	-2	-13	0.51	85%	0.02	-60	1.66%	0	-0.6	57	0
10	Dec_3_2015	46.15	47.14	47.06	46.56	46.64	46.62	46.26(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	0	-10	-18	0.66	85%	0	-47.8	1.7%	0	-1.4	46	0

11	Dec_2_2015	46.15	47.24	47.16	46.8	46.59	46.79	46.56(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	20	-5	-5	2.15	85%	0.02	-34.1	1.7%	0	-1	47	0
12	Dec_1_2015	46.14	47.3	47.19	47.02	46.76	46.66	46.95(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-30	2	5	2.18	73%	0.02	-30.4	1.7%	0	-0.5	51	0
13	Nov_30_2015	46.13	47.34	47.2	47.15	46.9	46.38	46.75(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-90	-25	-2	1.92	73%	0.02	-33.3	1.79%	0	-0.9	46	0
14	Nov_27_2015	46.12	47.38	47.16	47.41	47.2	46.86	46.26(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-22	-60	-27	-6	1.89	77%	0	-41.2	1.82%	0	-1.8	34	0
15	Nov_25_2015	46.12	47.44	47.24	47.61	47.63	47.42	47.48(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-30	-2	2	0.79	84%	0.04	-48.3	1.9%	0	0.1	38	0

16	Nov_24_2015	46.1	47.46	47.2	47.56	47.6	47.54	47.64(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10	-2	-7	0.3	84%	0.07	-47.3	1.93%	0	0.3	42	0
17	Nov_23_2015	46.07	47.5	47.13	47.38	47.49	47.84	47.63(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	60	11	-14	0.25	84%	0.04	-50.4	1.94%	0	0.2	48	0
18	Nov_20_2015	46.05	47.56	47.13	47.25	47.28	47.67	48.02(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	16	60	26	-16	1.01	84%	0.07	-43.4	1.95%	0	0.6	51	0
19	Nov_19_2015	46.02	47.64	47.08	46.89	46.94	47.15	47.3(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	30	12	-29	0.56	84%	0.04	-47.6	1.96%	0	-0.4	51	0
20	Nov_18_2015	46	47.72	47.2	46.83	46.68	46.88	47.21(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	20	3	-29	0.37	84%	0.04	-50	1.98%	0	-0.6	48	0

21	Nov_17_2015	45.98	47.75	47.3	46.79	46.76	46.74	46.75(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-0	4	-28	2.73	84%	0.02	-47.3	1.99%	0	-1.1	40	0
22	Nov_16_2015	45.97	47.84	47.41	46.84	46.85	46.47	46.99(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-60	-10	-36	0.78	84%	0.04	-40.4	2.01%	0	-1	36	0
23	Nov_13_2015	45.95	47.92	47.49	46.89	46.94	46.78	46.2(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-20	-25	-47	0.49	84%	0.02	-34.5	2.01%	0	-2	26	0
24	Nov_12_2015	45.94	48.06	47.62	47.3	47.26	47.23	46.99(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-16	-10	-7	-41	0.3	84%	0.02	-15.6	2.02%	0	-1.4	24	0
25	Nov_11_2015	45.93	48.15	47.67	47.62	47.47	47.11	47.04(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-60	-15	-42	0.2	84%		1.3	2.03%	0	-1.5	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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