Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $49.0100 (2.34%) ($48.3500 - $49.1200) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.23% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $49.0100(2.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(91%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -1.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.115% (StdDev 2.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.56(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.12(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.69(4.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 4.48% (three month std-dev: 2.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(71%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.82%(86%) Average negative next three day return: -0.07%(14%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.06%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.19%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2015	45.25	46.69	48.12	48.56		48.4	49.01(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10	4	54	0.52	89%	0.2	49.8	2.23%	0	1.1	70	INF
2	Oct_21_2015	45.16	46.43	48	48.52	48.43	48.27	47.89(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-30	-3	71	0.58	88%	0.16	46.4	2.24%	0	0.7	74	INF
3	Oct_20_2015	45.09	46.24	47.97	48.37	48.53	48.46	48.5(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-0	6	90	0.24	88%	0.18	40	2.25%	0	1.1	79	INF
4	Oct_19_2015	45.01	46.05	47.71	48.08	48.23	48.59	48.49(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	60	7	99	0.35	88%	0.2	37.4	2.28%	0	1.2	82	INF
5	Oct_16_2015	44.92	45.89	47.51	47.9	47.93	48.61	48.92(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	100	24	122	0.72	88%	0.25	39.1	2.3%	0	1.6	85	INF

6	Oct_15_2015	44.81	45.67	47.2	47.62	47.7	47.88	48.82(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	30	20	125	0.89	88%	0.25	37.7	2.33%	0	1.8	75	INF
7	Oct_14_2015	44.7	45.49	46.74	47.43	47.49	47.25	47.11(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-8	114	0.49	87%	0.13	41	2.3%	0	1	69	INF
8	Oct_13_2015	44.64	45.44	46.44	47.51	47.54	47.51	47.04(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-0	-1	120	0.21	87%	0.16	49.7	2.33%	0	1	67	INF
9	Oct_12_2015	44.57	45.32	46.03	47.27	47.59	47.72	47.61(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	40	14	110	0.19	87%	0.2	48.5	2.35%	0	1.5	64	INF
10	Oct_9_2015	44.48	45.16	45.55	47.04	47.12	47.56	47.54(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	70	12	87	0.63	87%	0.2	56.4	2.39%	0	1.6	58	INF

11	Oct_8_2015	44.39	45.01	45.15	46.7	46.79	47.47	47.86(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	110	37	82	0.53	87%	0.25	61	2.41%	0	2.1	63	INF
12	Oct_7_2015	44.28	44.83	44.73	45.95	46.2	46.69	47.51(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	90	35	49	0.81	87%	0.25	60.1	2.45%	0	2.3	56	INF
13	Oct_6_2015	44.17	44.67	44.35	45.21	45.35	46.12	45.84(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	130	27	12	0.82	85%	0.11	60.1	2.42%	0	1.1	46	INF
14	Oct_5_2015	44.12	44.59	44.23	44.59	44.79	45.72	46.46(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	37	160	49	1	0.69	85%	0.18	44.9	2.44%	0	1.9	56	INF
15	Oct_2_2015	44.04	44.35	44.09	43.82	43.88	44.58	45.84(3.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	16	120	29	-25	0.99	85%	0.16	9.7	2.48%	0	1.4	56	INF

16	Oct_1_2015	43.97	44.2	43.96	43.39	43.88	43.87	44.11(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	80	15	-46	0.4	83%	0	-13.4	2.43%	0	-0.1	46	INF
17	Sep_30_2015	43.97	44.14	44.1	43.33	43.34	43.19	43.81(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-20	6	-46	0.43	83%	0	-18.4	2.47%	0	-0.3	47	INF
18	Sep_29_2015	43.97	44.06	44.33	43.39	43.33	42.82	42.72(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-90	-26	-49	0.53	81%	-0.11	-18.3	2.48%	0	-1.1	42	INF
19	Sep_28_2015	44.02	44.14	44.57	43.8	43.71	43.5	42.63(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-40	-22	-33	2.56	81%	-0.14	0.7	2.53%	0	-1.3	41	INF
20	Sep_25_2015	44.08	44.25	44.78	44.38	44.15	43.83	43.66(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-70	-10	2	0.3	81%	-0.05	0	2.53%	0	-0.5	64	INF

21	Sep_24_2015	44.1	44.25	44.91	44.6	44.51	43.93	43.85(-0.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-12	-100	-20	14	0.26	81%	-0.02	0	2.58%	0	-0.4	57	INF
22	Sep_23_2015	44.11	44.35	45	44.96	44.85	44.46	44.07(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-70	-24	32	1.21	81%	0	0	2.64%	0	-0.2	59	INF
23	Sep_22_2015	44.11	44.29	45.05	45.41	45.23	45.09	44.8(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-30	-7	64	0.31	81%	0.07	0	2.66%	0	0.4	65	INF
24	Sep_21_2015	44.08	44.13	45.02	45.45	45.58	45.24	45.54(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-40	4	72	0.31	81%	0.18	0	2.69%	0	1	56	INF
25	Sep_18_2015	44	44.13	44.66	45.23	45.39	45.36	44.75(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	10	-9	-4	0.55	81%		0	2.75%	0	32.4	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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