Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $46.4600 (1.35%) ($46.0800 - $46.5700) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.44% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $46.4600(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(91%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -1.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.22% (StdDev 2.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.59(4.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.23(5.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.59(4.19%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 2.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.05%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.35%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.15%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.35%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2015	44.12	44.59	44.23	44.59	44.79	45.72	46.46(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	37	160	49	1	0.69	85%	0.18	44.9	2.44%	0	1.9	56	INF
2	Oct_2_2015	44.04	44.35	44.09	43.82	43.88	44.58	45.84(3.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	16	120	29	-25	0.99	85%	0.16	9.7	2.48%	0	1.4	56	INF
3	Oct_1_2015	43.97	44.2	43.96	43.39	43.88	43.87	44.11(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	80	15	-46	0.4	83%	0	-13.4	2.43%	0	-0.1	46	INF
4	Sep_30_2015	43.97	44.14	44.1	43.33	43.34	43.19	43.81(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-20	6	-46	0.43	83%	0	-18.4	2.47%	0	-0.3	47	INF
5	Sep_29_2015	43.97	44.06	44.33	43.39	43.33	42.82	42.72(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-90	-26	-49	0.53	81%	-0.11	-18.3	2.48%	0	-1.1	42	INF

6	Sep_28_2015	44.02	44.14	44.57	43.8	43.71	43.5	42.63(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-40	-22	-33	2.56	81%	-0.14	0.7	2.53%	0	-1.3	41	INF
7	Sep_25_2015	44.08	44.25	44.78	44.38	44.15	43.83	43.66(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-70	-10	2	0.3	81%	-0.05	0	2.53%	0	-0.5	64	INF
8	Sep_24_2015	44.1	44.25	44.91	44.6	44.51	43.93	43.85(-0.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-12	-100	-20	14	0.26	81%	-0.02	0	2.58%	0	-0.4	57	INF
9	Sep_23_2015	44.11	44.35	45	44.96	44.85	44.46	44.07(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-70	-24	32	1.21	81%	0	0	2.64%	0	-0.2	59	INF
10	Sep_22_2015	44.11	44.29	45.05	45.41	45.23	45.09	44.8(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-30	-7	64	0.31	81%	0.07	0	2.66%	0	0.4	65	INF

11	Sep_21_2015	44.08	44.13	45.02	45.45	45.58	45.24	45.54(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-40	4	72	0.31	81%	0.18	0	2.69%	0	1	56	INF
12	Sep_18_2015	44	44.13	44.66	45.23	45.39	45.36	44.75(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	10	-9	-4	0.55	81%	0.09	0	2.75%	0	32.4	50	INF
13	Sep_17_2015	43.96	44.13	44.49	45.26	45.23	45.92	45.66(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	100	16	6	2.33	81%	0.23	0	2.76%	0	32.4	48	INF
14	Sep_16_2015	43.86	44.13	44.19	45.04	44.95	45.42	46.31(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	70	26	10	0.48	81%	0.34	0	2.79%	0	33.3	59	INF
15	Sep_15_2015	43.71	44.13	43.76	44.66	44.56	44.54	44.97(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10	2	1	0.23	79%	0.21	0	2.82%	0	35.1	59	INF

16	Sep_14_2015	43.62	44.13	43.76	44.55	44.61	44.48	44.45(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-20	7	3	0.36	79%	0.14	0	2.92%	0	34.7	63	INF
17	Sep_11_2015	43.56	44.13	43.65	43.99	44.6	44.58	44.9(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	40	11	4	0.28	79%	0.23	0	3%	0	34.3	50	INF
18	Sep_10_2015	43.46	44.13	43.71	43.58	43.89	44.74	44.58(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	160	11	4	0.45	79%	0.21	0	3.12%	0	34.3	50	INF
19	Sep_9_2015	43.37	44.13	43.61	43.19	43.52	44.63	44.4(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	200	37	15	1.9	79%	0.23	0	3.26%	0	33.9	50	INF
20	Sep_8_2015	43.27	44.13	43.44	42.72	42.9	43.04	44.41(6.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	40	15	6	0.53	79%	0.25	0	3.41%	0	33.4	50	INF

21	Sep_4_2015	43.16	44.13	43.15	42.66	42.39	42.4	41.67(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-20	-22	-9	1.69	69%	-0.39	0	2.95%	0	31.1	50	INF
22	Sep_3_2015	43.33	44.13	43.15	43.26	43.01	42.75	42.86(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-60	-7	-3	0.37	69%	-0.12	0	2.94%	0	32.7	50	INF
23	Sep_2_2015	43.38	44.13	43.15	43.86	43.44	42.37	42.61(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-200	-25	-10	0.16	69%	-0.25	0	3.14%	0	30.9	50	INF
24	Sep_1_2015	43.49	44.13	43.15	44.09	44.18	43.28	42.07(-4.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-19	-140	-22	-9	0.3	69%	-0.55	0	3.37%	0	29	50	INF
25	Aug_31_2015	43.73	44.13	43.15	44.2	44.43	44.52	44.1(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	30	1	0	0.33	100%		0	2.79%	0	30.8	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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