Trading Signals: MCD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: MCD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(McDonalds)
MCD latest price $83.5240 (0.01%) ($83.4098 - $84.0334) on Mon. Nov. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   96
Latest Price   $83.5240(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCD advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(62%)    VT(59%)    PEJ(57%)    XLI(57%)    XLF(56%)
Factors Impacting MCD price   MCD will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.25(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.6(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.35(2.67%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $62.15b

McDonald's Corp. engages in the operation and franchise of McDonald's restaurants. It operates through the following segments: U.S.; International Lead Markets; High Growth Markets; Foundational Markets and Corporate. The U.S. segment manages to increase customer awareness for its global mobile application, mobile order and pay functionality, and delivery platform. The International Lead Markets segment focuses in expanding the McCafÃ© coffee brand and the ongoing deployment of EOTF restaurants across the segment. The High Growth Markets segment involves in the ideas around design, digital, people, menu innovation, and value from other markets to enhance the customer experience. The Foundational Markets and Corporate segment refers commitment to run great restaurants and increase convenient to customers, including drive-thru and delivery. The company was founded by Raymond Albert Kroc on April 15, 1955 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, IL.

$. MCD price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2014	83.06	81.35	82.6	83.25			83.52(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-10000	9	157	5.12	51%	-0.07	40.4	0.73%	0	1.5	96	0
2	Nov_7_2014	83.12	81.16	82.33	82.98			83.52(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	8	149	4.67	51%	-0.06	28.9	0.73%	0	1.7	83	0
3	Nov_6_2014	83.17	81.02	82.03	82.74			83.13(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	7	143	3.6	51%	-0.06	18.3	0.73%	0	1.7	84	0
4	Nov_5_2014	83.22	80.92	81.72	82.52			83.11(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	11	145	4.12	49%	-0.06	9.5	0.73%	0	1.8	87	0
5	Nov_4_2014	83.27	80.86	81.4	82.18			82.96(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	11	131	5.8	49%	-0.06	0	0.74%	0	1.9	79	0

6	Nov_3_2014	83.32	80.86	81.09	81.86			82.21(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	10	116	4.07	47%	-0.07	-16.2	0.73%	0	1.4	67	0
7	Oct_31_2014	83.38	80.77	80.9	81.57			82.31(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	12	110	6.8	44%	-0.05	-29.8	0.73%	0	1.4	70	0
8	Oct_30_2014	83.42	80.79	80.66	81.21			82(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	14	80	3.97	44%	-0.07	-38.2	0.75%	0	1	54	0
9	Oct_29_2014	83.48	80.81	80.35	80.8			81.43(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	11	35	5.3	44%	-0.07	-47.3	0.75%	0	0.5	47	0
10	Oct_28_2014	83.54	80.86	80.14	80.48			81.32(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	9	-10	5.08	44%	-0.08	-52.8	0.75%	0	0.4	40	0

11	Oct_27_2014	83.61	80.94	80	80.2			80.8(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	2	-43	4.08	44%	-0.1	-48.4	0.74%	0	-0.1	44	0
12	Oct_24_2014	83.69	81.11	79.88	80.13			80.5(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	4	-72	5.26	44%	-0.11	-42.9	0.74%	0	-0.4	38	0
13	Oct_23_2014	83.78	81.24	79.92	80.02			79.93(0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-21	-10000	6	-100	5.97	42%	-0.11	-43.5	0.74%	0	-0.8	30	0
14	Oct_22_2014	83.87	81.38	80.05	79.83			79.86(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-29	-10000	3	-123	6.46	40%	-0.11	-45.1	0.75%	0	-1	35	0
15	Oct_21_2014	83.96	81.55	80.28	79.74			79.92(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-0	-132	11.42	37%	-0.11	-45	0.76%	0	-1.1	35	0

16	Oct_20_2014	84.05	81.67	80.43	79.75			80.43(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-32	-10000	5	-143	5.41	37%	-0.1	-47.3	0.78%	0	-0.8	34	0
17	Oct_17_2014	84.13	81.78	80.61	79.6			79.95(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-49	-10000	-7	-176	7.07	38%	-0.1	-49.5	0.78%	0	-1.2	27	0
18	Oct_16_2014	84.21	81.93	80.93	79.82			78.96(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-10000	-16	-175	7.53	33%	-0.11	-45.7	0.76%	0	-2.1	32	0
19	Oct_15_2014	84.3	82.1	81.31	80.32			79.42(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-10000	-19	-151	10.47	33%	-0.11	-39.5	0.77%	0	-2.1	36	0
20	Oct_14_2014	84.39	82.25	81.65	80.91			80(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-10000	-10	-125	5.54	33%	-0.05	-28.6	0.77%	0	-2.1	35	0

21	Oct_13_2014	84.43	82.38	81.98	81.21			79.68(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-40	-10000	-18	-106	6.18	33%	-0.11	-13.7	0.76%	0	-2.8	42	0
22	Oct_10_2014	84.52	82.52	82.47	81.76			81.06(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10000	-15	-62	5.85	36%	-0.09	7.7	0.74%	0	-1.9	45	0
23	Oct_9_2014	84.6	82.58	82.69	82.21			81.43(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-8	-33	5.07	38%	-0.08	27.9	0.74%	0	-1.6	44	0
24	Oct_8_2014	84.67	82.6	82.83	82.45			82.4(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-2	-13	5.59	40%	-0.06	38.1	0.74%	0	-0.3	53	0
25	Oct_7_2014	84.72	82.57	82.94	82.52			81.5(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-10000	-12	-2	6.1	36%		31.8	0.73%	0	-1.2	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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