Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 25, 2009

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $106.7500 (0.37%) ($106.2100 - $106.7900) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.49% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $106.7500(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(58%)    TIP(55%)    TLT(55%)    JNK(40%)    GLD(28%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(0%)    XOP(3%)    OIH(4%)    EWP(9%)    FXI(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.29(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.27(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.76(0.94%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.63% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2009	104.24	105.76	106.27	106.29			106.75(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	3	53	0.67	46%	0.07	52.4	0.49%	0	1.5	75	0
2	Nov_24_2009	104.17	105.65	106.17	106.21			106.36(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-3	55	0.77	46%	0.06	50	0.48%	0	1.1	73	0
3	Nov_23_2009	104.11	105.59	106.07	106.27			105.95(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-4	67	1.14	46%	0.02	51.6	0.49%	0	0.6	74	0
4	Nov_20_2009	104.09	105.52	106.02	106.38			105.95(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10000	-0	81	0.63	46%	0.06	55.6	0.49%	0	0.7	63	0
5	Nov_19_2009	104.03	105.47	105.97	106.39			106.45(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	6	82	0.86	46%	0.07	62.9	0.49%	0	1.5	58	0

6	Nov_18_2009	103.96	105.41	105.83	106.24			106.32(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	4	76	0.72	46%	0.06	71.2	0.49%	0	1.5	66	0
7	Nov_17_2009	103.9	105.33	105.69	106.12			106.67(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	11	77	0.59	46%	0.07	76.4	0.49%	0	2.3	72	0
8	Nov_16_2009	103.83	105.25	105.48	105.85			106.51(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	9	51	1.14	46%	0.06	81.3	0.49%	0	2.5	59	0
9	Nov_13_2009	103.77	105.15	105.33	105.62			106.01(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	5	42	0.66	49%	0.06	73.9	0.49%	0	1.8	64	0
10	Nov_12_2009	103.71	105.06	105.28	105.48			105.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	15	-10000	5	43	1.04	46%	0.06	68.1	0.5%	0	1.3	57	0

11	Nov_11_2009	103.65	104.97	105.19	105.35			105.7(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	5	27	0.69	46%	0.06	51	0.51%	0	1.4	51	0
12	Nov_10_2009	103.59	104.89	105.08	105.2			105.31(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	5	16	0.61	46%	0.06	32.6	0.51%	0	0.9	54	0
13	Nov_9_2009	103.53	104.85	105.07	105.05			105.38(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	2	7	0.59	46%	0.07	21.7	0.51%	0	1.1	50	0
14	Nov_6_2009	103.46	104.79	104.98	104.99			105.32(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.69	46%	0.08	10.4	0.51%	0	1.1	55	0
15	Nov_5_2009	103.38	104.73	104.93	105.06			105.04(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	2	14	0.71	46%	0.06	10.9	0.51%	0	0.6	57	0

16	Nov_4_2009	103.32	104.71	104.96	105			104.97(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	3	25	0.76	46%	0.06	4.2	0.51%	0	0.5	58	0
17	Nov_3_2009	103.26	104.73	104.95	104.93			104.56(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-5	26	0.81	42%	0.05	-10.4	0.52%	0	-0.3	55	0
18	Nov_2_2009	103.21	104.73	105.02	105.08			105.04(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	4	45	0.98	42%	0.06	-18.8	0.54%	0	0.6	54	0
19	Oct_30_2009	103.15	104.74	104.98	104.95			105.68(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14	-10000	5	41	1.42	50%	0.08	-45.8	0.56%	0	1.9	60	0
20	Oct_29_2009	103.07	104.67	104.82	104.79			104.74(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-5	30	0.93	49%	0.07	-84.1	0.55%	0	0.2	58	0

21	Oct_28_2009	103	104.69	104.75	104.93			104.61(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-1	32	1.11	49%	0.06	-66.7	0.56%	0	-0.1	48	0
22	Oct_27_2009	102.94	104.78	104.7	104.97			105.32(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	0	22	0.73	51%	0.08	-52.1	0.55%	0	0.7	47	0
23	Oct_26_2009	102.86	104.84	104.61	104.96			104.42(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-1	18	0.95	49%	0.07	-43	0.54%	0	-0.5	47	0
24	Oct_23_2009	102.79	104.97	104.6	104.99			104.86(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	6	17	0.64	49%	0.06	-33.3	0.54%	0	-0.1	48	0
25	Oct_22_2009	102.73	105.06	104.51	104.83			105.44(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	10	5	0.71	50%		-32	0.54%	0	0.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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