Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $98.7300 (-1.49%) ($98.1000 - $100.0700) on Fri. Dec. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.21% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $98.7300(-1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(55%)    TLT(54%)    PCY(50%)    JNK(38%)    GLD(26%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -1.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(-1%)    XOP(4%)    OIH(4%)    FXI(11%)    EWP(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.105% (StdDev 2.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.54(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.76(3.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.6(5.48%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 2.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2008	93.57	93.6	95.76	97.54			98.73(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	8	87	1.67	54%	-0.02	67.9	2.21%	0	1.8	83	0
2	Dec_18_2008	93.59	93.14	95.07	96.7			100.22(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	29	-10000	12	81	2.79	56%	-0.01	63.6	2.23%	0	2.7	94	0
3	Dec_17_2008	93.6	92.64	94.26	95.45			97.85(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	23	-10000	8	67	2.12	48%	-0.02	64.5	2.22%	0	2.5	89	0
4	Dec_16_2008	93.62	92.26	93.69	94.62			96.42(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	19	-10000	6	56	1.58	42%	-0.04	65.3	2.29%	0	2.4	81	0
5	Dec_15_2008	93.66	91.95	93.21	94.03			94.48(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	3	48	0.91	42%	-0.06	67.3	2.41%	0	1.7	79	0

6	Dec_12_2008	93.72	91.71	92.88	93.7			94.51(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	5	46	0.95	41%	-0.06	63.2	2.41%	0	2	74	0
7	Dec_11_2008	93.78	91.47	92.45	93.17			94(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	12	-10000	3	39	0.95	41%	-0.05	55.6	2.41%	0	1.9	76	0
8	Dec_10_2008	93.83	91.29	92.09	92.87			93.68(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	2	33	0.81	41%	-0.07	56.7	2.41%	0	2.1	65	0
9	Dec_9_2008	93.9	91.12	91.8	92.62			93.46(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	3	31	1.44	41%	-0.06	67	2.41%	0	2.3	65	0
10	Dec_8_2008	93.96	90.96	91.49	92.28			92.83(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	3	27	1.7	41%	-0.06	79.4	2.41%	0	2.1	64	0

11	Dec_5_2008	94.02	90.82	91.28	91.94			91.88(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	3	24	1.34	41%	-0.09	94.1	2.4%	0	1.4	63	0
12	Dec_4_2008	94.1	90.76	91.08	91.59			92.51(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	4	19	1.06	41%	-0.07	106.3	2.4%	0	2.4	68	0
13	Dec_3_2008	94.17	90.64	90.89	91.17			92.42(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	6	-10000	3	13	0.74	41%	-0.08	119.4	2.4%	0	2.9	61	0
14	Dec_2_2008	94.25	90.45	90.7	90.86			91.78(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	5	-10000	3	9	0.95	41%	-0.1	114.5	2.4%	0	2.1	58	0
15	Dec_1_2008	94.34	90.26	90.57	90.59			91.09(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2	-10000	1	5	1.64	41%	-0.1	85.7	2.4%	0	1.1	56	0

16	Nov_28_2008	94.43	90.09	90.45	90.54			90.14(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	-10000	1	4	0.83	41%	-0.2	66.7	2.39%	0	0.1	50	0
17	Nov_26_2008	94.62	90	90.43	90.48			90.4(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-1	-0	2.22	41%	-0.12	58.8	2.38%	0	0.4	46	0
18	Nov_25_2008	94.73	89.92	90.45	90.56			90.88(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1	-10000	1	2	1	41%	-0.11	58.5	2.38%	0	0.8	55	0
19	Nov_24_2008	94.83	89.74	90.41	90.51			90.45(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-10000	-0	7	1.09	41%	-0.05	51.9	2.38%	0	0.6	65	0
20	Nov_21_2008	94.88	89.61	90.39	90.53			90.85(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	2	14	0.76	41%	-0.11	52.9	2.38%	0	1	71	0

21	Nov_20_2008	94.98	89.49	90.32	90.34			89.81(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	-0	17	0.76	41%	-0.12	61.8	2.37%	0	0.3	69	0
22	Nov_19_2008	95.09	89.4	90.43	90.37			90.8(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	1	25	0.49	41%	-0.11	67.8	2.37%	0	1.1	73	0
23	Nov_18_2008	95.19	89.23	90.37	90.31			90.66(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	0	29	0.45	41%	-0.12	79.1	2.37%	0	1.2	65	0
24	Nov_17_2008	95.3	89.12	90.18	90.29			90.55(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	1	33	0.36	41%	-0.12	92.8	2.37%	0	1.2	72	0
25	Nov_14_2008	95.41	88.97	89.93	90.24			89.9(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	33	0.41	41%		84	2.37%	0	0.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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