Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $106.2800 (0.63%) ($105.5100 - $106.2800) on Fri. Feb. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $106.2800(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(44%)    TLT(43%)    JNK(39%)    XLU(25%)    PCY(24%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(3%)    XOP(10%)    OIH(10%)    SHY(13%)    XLY(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $105.18(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.05(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.68(0.57%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080329

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_29_2008	105.8	105.68	105.05	105.18			106.28(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	10	-25	0.21	55%	0.01	-51	0.56%	0	0.6	49	0
2	Feb_28_2008	105.79	105.73	104.91	104.9			105.61(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	3	-52	0.21	51%	0	-51	0.55%	0	-0.1	48	0
3	Feb_27_2008	105.79	105.8	104.86	104.83			104.85(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	-10000	2	-73	0.29	47%	0	-50.9	0.55%	0	-0.8	35	0
4	Feb_26_2008	105.79	105.92	105	104.77			104.95(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	4	-87	0.24	52%	-0.01	-51.4	0.56%	0	-0.9	33	0
5	Feb_25_2008	105.8	106.04	105.13	104.65			104.2(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-7	-102	0.19	50%	-0.01	-52.8	0.59%	0	-1.6	31	0

6	Feb_22_2008	105.81	106.21	105.33	104.88			104.87(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-1	-100	0.28	50%	-0.01	-47.6	0.59%	0	-1.2	32	0
7	Feb_21_2008	105.82	106.28	105.42	104.88			105.28(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-29	-10000	0	-114	0.26	52%	0.01	-51	0.6%	0	-1	33	0
8	Feb_20_2008	105.81	106.38	105.58	104.91			104.56(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-11	-122	0.15	48%	0	-49.5	0.6%	0	-1.8	31	0
9	Feb_19_2008	105.81	106.51	105.88	105.26			104.33(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-10000	-14	-105	0.22	50%	0.01	-40.9	0.6%	0	-2.3	29	0
10	Feb_15_2008	105.8	106.65	106.17	105.69			105.37(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-5	-83	0.18	53%	0	-31.1	0.59%	0	-1.6	32	0

11	Feb_14_2008	105.8	106.73	106.38	105.85			105.03(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-10000	-5	-75	0.17	52%	-0.01	-20.6	0.59%	0	-2.3	28	0
12	Feb_13_2008	105.81	106.82	106.64	106			105.26(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-23	-10000	-11	-60	0.2	51%	0.01	-15.5	0.59%	0	-2.5	45	0
13	Feb_12_2008	105.8	106.9	106.84	106.34			106.33(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-8	-43	0.27	53%	0.01	4.3	0.58%	0	-1.1	44	0
14	Feb_11_2008	105.79	106.89	106.93	106.59			106.48(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-5	-28	0.15	53%	0.02	14.3	0.58%	0	-0.8	46	0
15	Feb_8_2008	105.77	106.9	107.02	106.74			106.16(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10000	-8	-17	0.21	54%	0.02	20.4	0.58%	0	-1.4	46	0

16	Feb_7_2008	105.75	106.89	107.15	107			105.76(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-9	-10000	-12	0	0.21	54%	0.01	32.7	0.58%	0	-2	41	0
17	Feb_6_2008	105.74	106.91	107.23	107.36			106.99(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-1	22	0.22	56%	0.03	54	0.56%	0	0.2	57	0
18	Feb_5_2008	105.71	106.88	107.25	107.39			107.57(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	3	31	0.21	56%	0.03	66.7	0.56%	0	1.3	60	0
19	Feb_4_2008	105.68	106.82	107.2	107.32			107.2(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	35	0.16	56%	0.02	80	0.56%	0	0.7	63	0
20	Feb_1_2008	105.66	106.79	107.16	107.36			107.49(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	1	40	0.19	54%	0.04	104.1	0.57%	0	1.3	60	0

21	Jan_31_2008	105.62	106.7	107.11	107.34			107.53(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	8	55	0.16	53%	0.03	113.7	0.57%	0	1.5	66	0
22	Jan_30_2008	105.59	106.63	107	107.09			107.18(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	0	42	0.15	53%	0.02	125	0.57%	0	1.1	60	0
23	Jan_29_2008	105.57	106.52	106.95	107.08			107.2(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	1	47	0.15	53%	0.02	129.2	0.57%	0	1.3	58	0
24	Jan_28_2008	105.55	106.39	106.84	107.05			107.38(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	4	44	0.27	53%	0.02	105.2	0.57%	0	1.6	57	0
25	Jan_25_2008	105.53	106.25	106.75	106.93			107.41(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	2	37	0.16	53%		83.3	0.57%	0	1.7	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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