Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $113.8000 (1.07%) ($113.5200 - $114.3500) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.42% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $113.8000(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(47%)    TLT(46%)    XLU(23%)    SHY(22%)    EWJ(18%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-2%)    OIH(8%)    XLY(12%)    EWP(13%)    XLP(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.21% (StdDev 0.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $112.8(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.8(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.6(1.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.38% (three month std-dev: 0.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2004	111.16	112.6	112.8	112.8			113.8(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	8	-10000	6	14	0.16	59%	0.05	65.8	0.42%	0	2.8	56	0
2	Mar_4_2004	111.11	112.48	112.64	112.67			112.6(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-2	1	0.13	55%	0.03	61.1	0.42%	0	0.3	54	0
3	Mar_3_2004	111.08	112.44	112.64	112.71			112.42(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-3	6	0.06	55%	0.02	57.5	0.42%	0	-0	49	0
4	Mar_2_2004	111.06	112.4	112.66	112.78			112.47(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-2	18	0.05	55%	0.03	48.8	0.42%	0	0.1	58	0
5	Mar_1_2004	111.03	112.36	112.69	112.82			112.69(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	1	28	0.29	52%	0.02	45.7	0.42%	0	0.6	56	0

6	Feb_27_2004	111.01	112.32	112.71	112.79			113.16(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	8	43	0.04	52%	0.04	39.1	0.42%	0	1.6	65	0
7	Feb_26_2004	110.97	112.24	112.63	112.79			112.83(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	0	40	0.04	52%	0.03	13.3	0.42%	0	1.2	66	0
8	Feb_25_2004	110.94	112.18	112.6	112.61			112.75(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	3	51	0.05	52%	0.03	4.5	0.43%	0	1.2	63	0
9	Feb_24_2004	110.91	112.17	112.52	112.54			112.67(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	0	47	0.06	49%	0.03	0	0.43%	0	1	61	0
10	Feb_23_2004	110.88	112.13	112.47	112.53			112.56(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-4	54	0.03	49%	0.03	-9.5	0.44%	0	0.9	62	0

11	Feb_20_2004	110.85	112.12	112.39	112.62			112.25(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-10000	-1	61	0.12	51%	0.01	-11.9	0.44%	0	0.3	54	0
12	Feb_19_2004	110.84	112.17	112.32	112.64			112.8(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	2	62	0.05	50%	0.01	-4.1	0.44%	0	1.1	62	0
13	Feb_18_2004	110.83	112.16	112.2	112.59			112.4(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	4	59	0.05	50%	0	-4.1	0.45%	0	0.4	58	0
14	Feb_17_2004	110.83	112.16	112.13	112.48			112.66(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	4	43	0.06	50%	0	-8.2	0.45%	0	0.9	49	0
15	Feb_13_2004	110.83	112.16	112.01	112.39			112.99(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	10	36	0.09	55%	0.02	-6	0.45%	0	1.5	59	0

16	Feb_12_2004	110.81	112.17	111.89	112.14			112.35(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	7	12	0.11	53%	0.01	-1.9	0.46%	0	0.3	47	0
17	Feb_11_2004	110.8	112.17	111.82	111.95			112.55(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	7	-18	0.04	53%	0.03	3.8	0.46%	0	0.6	41	0
18	Feb_10_2004	110.77	112.19	111.72	111.76			111.87(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	2	-46	0.05	51%	0.01	7.5	0.46%	0	-0.5	42	0
19	Feb_9_2004	110.76	112.21	111.78	111.72			112.2(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	6	-48	0.13	51%	0.02	22.6	0.46%	0	-0	46	0
20	Feb_6_2004	110.74	112.2	111.74	111.57			111.73(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	-2	-73	0.12	49%	0.01	34	0.45%	0	-0.8	41	0

21	Feb_5_2004	110.73	112.18	111.81	111.61			111.4(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-2	-79	0.05	47%	0.01	37.5	0.46%	0	-1.2	34	0
22	Feb_4_2004	110.72	112.17	112	111.66			111.59(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-0	-69	0.06	47%	0.02	40.7	0.47%	0	-0.9	41	0
23	Feb_3_2004	110.7	112.15	112.12	111.67			111.68(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-7	-69	0.15	47%	0.02	36.5	0.47%	0	-0.7	44	0
24	Feb_2_2004	110.68	112.07	112.21	111.85			111.45(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-55	0.23	47%	0.01	28.6	0.47%	0	-0.7	46	0
25	Jan_30_2004	110.67	112.01	112.35	111.94			111.92(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-4	-42	0.08	47%		20.5	0.47%	0	-0.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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