Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 24, 2003

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $111.3700 (0.6%) ($110.7600 - $111.3700) on Wed. Dec. 24, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $111.3700(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(48%)    TLT(46%)    XLU(23%)    SHY(22%)    EWJ(18%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-2%)    OIH(8%)    XLY(12%)    IWM(13%)    XLP(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $111.3(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.94(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.43(0.85%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.62% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20040124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2003	109.62	110.43	110.94	111.3			111.37(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	4	80	0.03	49%	0.04	24.2	0.48%	0	1.4	64	0
2	Dec_23_2003	109.58	110.4	110.79	111.19			110.71(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10000	1	78	0.04	46%	0.03	18.3	0.48%	0	0.5	62	0
3	Dec_22_2003	109.55	110.39	110.68	111.17			111.35(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	8	81	0.3	48%	0.05	15.3	0.47%	0	1.5	65	0
4	Dec_19_2003	109.5	110.37	110.54	110.97			111.56(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	7	74	0.15	48%	0.04	11.9	0.47%	0	1.8	69	0
5	Dec_18_2003	109.46	110.33	110.44	110.78			111.49(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	9	71	0.05	48%	0.03	9.3	0.47%	0	1.9	60	0

6	Dec_17_2003	109.43	110.26	110.24	110.54			110.85(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	8	47	0.04	48%	0.03	10.4	0.47%	0	1.1	50	0
7	Dec_16_2003	109.4	110.26	110.11	110.33			110.6(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	8	19	0.04	48%	0.01	17.3	0.47%	0	0.6	46	0
8	Dec_15_2003	109.39	110.28	110.02	110.12			110.35(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	3	-5	0.28	48%	0	26.4	0.47%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Dec_12_2003	109.39	110.3	109.92	110.03			110.6(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-9	-10000	-1	-32	0.08	51%	0	35.8	0.47%	0	0.5	43	0
10	Dec_11_2003	109.39	110.27	109.86	110.06			110.3(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	6	-36	0.07	51%	0	49.1	0.48%	0	0.1	45	0

11	Dec_10_2003	109.39	110.21	109.88	109.91			109.8(0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	2	-44	0.03	53%	-0.01	37.3	0.48%	0	-0.6	46	0
12	Dec_9_2003	109.4	110.18	109.97	109.85			109.55(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0.04	53%	-0.01	25	0.49%	0	-0.9	38	0
13	Dec_8_2003	109.41	110.13	110.07	109.88			109.9(-0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-10000	4	-56	0.28	53%	-0.02	16.9	0.49%	0	-0.3	44	0
14	Dec_5_2003	109.43	110.09	110.19	109.78			110.73(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	-10000	5	-58	0.08	58%	0	5.3	0.48%	0	0.8	50	0
15	Dec_4_2003	109.43	109.98	110.2	109.65			109.59(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-8	-64	0.67	55%	-0.02	-7.5	0.47%	0	-0.4	48	0

16	Dec_3_2003	109.45	109.97	110.28	109.85			109.5(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-10	-39	0.18	55%	-0.02	-6.2	0.48%	0	-0.5	56	0
17	Dec_2_2003	109.47	109.99	110.46	110.12			109.69(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-6	3	0.23	52%	-0.04	-3.7	0.48%	0	-0.3	58	0
18	Dec_1_2003	109.51	110	110.58	110.28			109.39(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-13	34	4.18	52%	-0.04	-1.2	0.49%	0	-0.7	60	0
19	Nov_28_2003	109.55	110.04	110.72	110.65			110.06(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-6	81	0.03	56%	-0.06	7.5	0.48%	0	0	61	0
20	Nov_26_2003	109.62	110.05	110.73	110.82			110.61(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	2	112	0.02	58%	-0.02	15.4	0.48%	0	0.7	67	0

21	Nov_25_2003	109.64	110.05	110.59	110.77			110.85(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	-3	108	0.03	58%	-0.01	12.5	0.48%	0	0.9	62	0
22	Nov_24_2003	109.65	110.03	110.41	110.86			110.5(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-2	105	0.03	58%	0.01	21.8	0.49%	0	0.5	53	0
23	Nov_21_2003	109.64	110.01	110.23	110.93			111.25(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	5	103	0.03	61%	-0.02	25.3	0.48%	0	1.4	59	0
24	Nov_20_2003	109.66	109.97	109.98	110.81			110.88(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	6	84	0.04	61%	-0.03	26.7	0.48%	0	1.1	54	0
25	Nov_19_2003	109.69	109.91	109.75	110.64			110.35(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	10	59	0.44	62%		24.7	0.48%	0	0.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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