Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 15, 2003

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $110.3500 (-0.23%) ($110.0200 - $110.7000) on Mon. Dec. 15, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.47% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $110.3500(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(48%)    TLT(46%)    XLU(23%)    SHY(22%)    EWJ(18%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-2%)    OIH(8%)    XLY(12%)    IWM(13%)    XLP(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.235% (StdDev 0.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.12(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.02(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.28(0.06%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2003	109.39	110.28	110.02	110.12			110.35(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	3	-5	0.28	48%	0	26.4	0.47%	0	0.1	48	0
2	Dec_12_2003	109.39	110.3	109.92	110.03			110.6(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-9	-10000	-1	-32	0.08	51%	0	35.8	0.47%	0	0.5	43	0
3	Dec_11_2003	109.39	110.27	109.86	110.06			110.3(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	6	-36	0.07	51%	0	49.1	0.48%	0	0.1	45	0
4	Dec_10_2003	109.39	110.21	109.88	109.91			109.8(0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	2	-44	0.03	53%	-0.01	37.3	0.48%	0	-0.6	46	0
5	Dec_9_2003	109.4	110.18	109.97	109.85			109.55(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0.04	53%	-0.01	25	0.49%	0	-0.9	38	0

6	Dec_8_2003	109.41	110.13	110.07	109.88			109.9(-0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-10000	4	-56	0.28	53%	-0.02	16.9	0.49%	0	-0.3	44	0
7	Dec_5_2003	109.43	110.09	110.19	109.78			110.73(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	-10000	5	-58	0.08	58%	0	5.3	0.48%	0	0.8	50	0
8	Dec_4_2003	109.43	109.98	110.2	109.65			109.59(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-8	-64	0.67	55%	-0.02	-7.5	0.47%	0	-0.4	48	0
9	Dec_3_2003	109.45	109.97	110.28	109.85			109.5(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-10	-39	0.18	55%	-0.02	-6.2	0.48%	0	-0.5	56	0
10	Dec_2_2003	109.47	109.99	110.46	110.12			109.69(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-6	3	0.23	52%	-0.04	-3.7	0.48%	0	-0.3	58	0

11	Dec_1_2003	109.51	110	110.58	110.28			109.39(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-13	34	4.18	52%	-0.04	-1.2	0.49%	0	-0.7	60	0
12	Nov_28_2003	109.55	110.04	110.72	110.65			110.06(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-6	81	0.03	56%	-0.06	7.5	0.48%	0	0	61	0
13	Nov_26_2003	109.62	110.05	110.73	110.82			110.61(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	2	112	0.02	58%	-0.02	15.4	0.48%	0	0.7	67	0
14	Nov_25_2003	109.64	110.05	110.59	110.77			110.85(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	-3	108	0.03	58%	-0.01	12.5	0.48%	0	0.9	62	0
15	Nov_24_2003	109.65	110.03	110.41	110.86			110.5(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-2	105	0.03	58%	0.01	21.8	0.49%	0	0.5	53	0

16	Nov_21_2003	109.64	110.01	110.23	110.93			111.25(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	5	103	0.03	61%	-0.02	25.3	0.48%	0	1.4	59	0
17	Nov_20_2003	109.66	109.97	109.98	110.81			110.88(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	6	84	0.04	61%	-0.03	26.7	0.48%	0	1.1	54	0
18	Nov_19_2003	109.69	109.97	109.75	110.64			110.35(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	10	59	0.44	62%	-0.03	24.7	0.48%	0	0.5	50	0
19	Nov_18_2003	109.72	109.91	109.63	110.37			111.33(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	18	35	0.03	66%	-0.03	19.2	0.48%	0	1.8	56	0
20	Nov_17_2003	109.75	109.84	109.47	109.89			110.84(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	12	-10000	18	-7	0.17	66%	-0.04	6	0.48%	0	1.4	44	0

21	Nov_14_2003	109.79	109.79	109.34	109.41			110.63(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-1	-10000	14	-46	0.32	66%	-0.03	-14.1	0.48%	0	1.2	50	0
22	Nov_13_2003	109.82	109.75	109.34	109.05			110.03(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-11	-10000	11	-76	0.06	59%	-0.05	-30.2	0.48%	0	0.4	43	0
23	Nov_12_2003	109.88	109.72	109.27	108.76			109(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-1	-97	0.08	57%	-0.06	-45.2	0.48%	0	-1.1	44	0
24	Nov_11_2003	109.95	109.76	109.39	108.79			108.94(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-8	-101	0.03	57%	-0.06	-48.3	0.48%	0	-1.2	39	0
25	Nov_10_2003	110.02	109.8	109.59	108.99			108.47(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-10	-80	0.08	57%		-41.4	0.48%	0	-2.1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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