Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 5, 2003

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $108.6600 (0.76%) ($107.9300 - $109.0000) on Fri. Sep. 5, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $108.6600(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(47%)    SHY(23%)    XLU(22%)    EWJ(17%)    SPY(17%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-2%)    OIH(8%)    XLY(12%)    XLP(13%)    IWM(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.86(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.75(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.54(1.04%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.54% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2003	111.85	107.54	107.75	107.86			108.66(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	3	26	0.74	34%	-0.01	20.4	0.56%	0	1.9	64	0
2	Sep_4_2003	111.86	107.5	107.6	107.77			107.84(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	3	30	0.36	35%	-0.03	24	0.54%	0	0.6	63	0
3	Sep_3_2003	111.89	107.48	107.58	107.77			107.47(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	0	35	0.07	35%	-0.02	10.2	0.56%	0	-0	61	0
4	Sep_2_2003	111.91	107.46	107.58	107.69			107.16(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	10	-10000	-0	41	0.14	33%	0.01	0	0.56%	0	-0.6	47	0
5	Aug_29_2003	111.9	107.49	107.64	107.7			108.18(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	3	38	0.04	37%	-0.02	-12.2	0.56%	0	1.3	52	0

6	Aug_28_2003	111.92	107.42	107.5	107.61			108.22(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	7	22	0.11	36%	-0.02	-46.8	0.57%	0	1.6	49	0
7	Aug_27_2003	111.94	107.38	107.32	107.41			107.43(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-2	-7	0.02	34%	-0.02	-80.4	0.56%	0	0.1	43	0
8	Aug_26_2003	111.96	107.43	107.32	107.47			107.45(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	-4	-16	0.05	34%	-0.02	-92.5	0.56%	0	0	50	0
9	Aug_25_2003	111.98	107.46	107.23	107.59			107.24(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	1	-3	0.06	34%	-0.02	-88.7	0.56%	0	-0.3	52	0
10	Aug_22_2003	112	107.55	107.28	107.56			107.72(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10000	7	-0	0.07	36%	-0.02	-75.6	0.56%	0	0.2	51	0

11	Aug_21_2003	112.02	107.66	107.31	107.36			107.2(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	-10000	5	-1	0.09	36%	-0.03	-74.5	0.56%	0	-0.4	53	0
12	Aug_20_2003	112.05	107.82	107.39	107.2			107.72(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	-10000	9	-2	0.03	36%	-0.02	-69.8	0.56%	0	-0.1	53	0
13	Aug_19_2003	112.07	107.96	107.36	106.94			108.05(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	3	-30	0.1	35%	-0.04	-74.8	0.56%	0	0.1	44	0
14	Aug_18_2003	112.11	108.06	107.26	106.85			107.1(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-4	-49	0.04	32%	-0.05	-77.7	0.55%	0	-0.7	42	0
15	Aug_15_2003	112.17	108.22	107.31	106.98			106.75(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-9	-58	0.01	34%	-0.04	-75.9	0.56%	0	-0.9	34	0

16	Aug_14_2003	112.22	108.46	107.34	107.26			106.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-27	-10000	-11	-74	0	36%	-0.05	-74.5	0.56%	0	-1.3	27	0
17	Aug_13_2003	112.28	108.7	107.45	107.6			106.4(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-7	-83	0.09	36%	-0.06	-72.5	0.56%	0	-1.4	26	0
18	Aug_12_2003	112.35	108.96	107.68	107.82			107.61(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-10000	4	-92	0.06	38%	-0.04	-73.2	0.54%	0	-0.8	27	0
19	Aug_11_2003	112.4	109.16	107.73	107.71			107.73(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-29	-10000	1	-117	0.08	38%	-0.04	-71.3	0.55%	0	-0.8	35	0
20	Aug_8_2003	112.45	109.42	107.85	107.68			108.15(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	8	-130	0.04	38%	-0.04	-65.9	0.55%	0	-0.6	36	0

21	Aug_7_2003	112.5	109.67	108.04	107.44			108.09(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-36	-10000	5	-159	0.06	40%	-0.04	-66	0.55%	0	-0.8	30	0
22	Aug_6_2003	112.55	109.92	108.25	107.29			107.5(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-10000	-8	-182	0.1	40%	-0.05	-67.9	0.55%	0	-1.1	30	0
23	Aug_5_2003	112.61	110.19	108.59	107.53			107.09(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10000	-7	-180	0.08	41%	-0.05	-66.8	0.55%	0	-1.5	25	0
24	Aug_4_2003	112.67	110.47	108.91	107.75			107.58(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-10000	-11	-185	0.07	41%	-0.05	-72.8	0.55%	0	-1.5	26	0
25	Aug_1_2003	112.73	110.73	109.18	108.06			106.95(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-67	-10000	-22	-201	0.18	39%		-76.2	0.55%	0	-2	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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