Trading Signals: LIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: LIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 18, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF)
LIT latest price $23.6000 (2.65%) ($23.2500 - $23.6999) on Tue. Apr. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $23.6000(2.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LIT advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LIT advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LIT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
REMX(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(69%)    IWO(69%)    SPY(69%)
Factors Impacting LIT price   LIT will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.73(3.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.08(6.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.74(8.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   36.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LIT price fluctuates within 3.17% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(58%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(42%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 3.22%(26%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(74%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 3.52%(37%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.28%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2016	19.65	21.74	22.08	22.73	22.77	23.14	23.6(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	63	120	40	133	0.12	66%	0.2	60.9	1.7%	0	2.7	71	INF
2	Apr_18_2016	19.61	21.63	21.8	22.36	22.44	22.65	22.99(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	80	26	89	0.13	65%	0.26	66.8	1.68%	0	2.5	69	INF
3	Apr_15_2016	19.56	21.55	21.64	22.1	22.18	22.41	22.53(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	80	24	71	0.09	64%	0.15	73.5	1.68%	0	2.2	70	INF
4	Apr_14_2016	19.53	21.49	21.52	21.84	21.97	22.22	22.29(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	100	27	54	0.11	64%	0.21	86	1.69%	0	2.2	69	INF
5	Apr_13_2016	19.49	21.41	21.43	21.57	21.72	21.95	22.22(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	26	90	25	30	0.13	62%	0.15	79.8	1.69%	0	2.3	61	INF

6	Apr_12_2016	19.46	21.32	21.37	21.33	21.41	21.73	21.77(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	120	20	6	0.06	61%	0.15	64.5	1.7%	0	1.3	48	INF
7	Apr_11_2016	19.43	21.28	21.33	21.16	21.21	21.49	21.68(1.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	9	100	17	-14	0.1	61%	0.15	55	1.7%	0	1.1	48	INF
8	Apr_8_2016	19.4	21.23	21.27	21.12	21.04	21.1	21.26(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	10	3	-30	0.01	60%	0.15	57.6	1.7%	0	0.1	47	INF
9	Apr_7_2016	19.37	21.17	21.26	21.15	21.08	20.92	20.91(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-60	-10	-38	0.01	56%	0.1	50.7	1.69%	0	-0.6	43	INF
10	Apr_6_2016	19.35	21.14	21.31	21.26	21.19	20.97	21.02(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-80	-19	-24	0.05	54%	0.1	56.4	1.75%	0	-0.2	55	INF

11	Apr_5_2016	19.33	21.09	21.38	21.41	21.34	21.25	20.95(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-40	-13	11	0.05	54%	0.1	64.3	1.8%	0	-0.3	61	INF
12	Apr_4_2016	19.31	21.08	21.38	21.52	21.52	21.41	21.44(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-40	4	41	0.11	56%	0.16	83.7	1.77%	0	0.6	59	INF
13	Apr_1_2016	19.28	21.02	21.38	21.45	21.47	21.43	21.42(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10	-2	44	0.02	56%	0.21	90	1.78%	0	0.7	61	INF
14	Mar_31_2016	19.24	20.95	21.46	21.38	21.45	21.63	21.48(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	70	6	62	0.06	54%	0.16	91.4	1.79%	0	0.8	69	INF
15	Mar_30_2016	19.21	20.86	21.41	21.38	21.35	21.52	21.77(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	50	7	73	0.01	54%	0.21	92.9	1.8%	0	1.3	71	INF

16	Mar_29_2016	19.17	20.74	21.28	21.36	21.32	21.28	21.48(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	-20	-2	78	0.08	55%	0.16	97.1	1.79%	0	1	70	INF
17	Mar_28_2016	19.14	20.62	21.21	21.41	21.43	21.19	21.1(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-80	-10	86	0.02	54%	0.16	90.6	1.78%	0	0.6	56	INF
18	Mar_24_2016	19.11	20.5	21.18	21.48	21.55	21.35	21.06(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-60	-14	100	0.02	54%	0.16	82.4	1.78%	0	0.6	60	INF
19	Mar_23_2016	19.08	20.39	21.09	21.55	21.65	21.67	21.37(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	20	4	121	0.02	55%	0.21	81.2	1.77%	0	1	68	INF
20	Mar_22_2016	19.04	20.24	20.97	21.45	21.58	21.75	21.8(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	70	24	130	0.03	58%	0.21	75.7	1.76%	0	1.5	75	INF

21	Mar_21_2016	19	20.07	20.79	21.17	21.27	21.63	21.73(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	130	20	114	0.02	58%	0.21	74.4	1.78%	0	1.6	76	INF
22	Mar_18_2016	18.96	19.92	20.67	20.99	21	21.41	21.45(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	51	140	25	129	0.01	58%	0.21	77.5	1.77%	0	1.5	78	INF
23	Mar_17_2016	18.92	19.76	20.54	20.85	20.79	20.92	21.41(2.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	57	40	28	142	0.02	58%	0.26	80	1.79%	0	1.7	79	INF
24	Mar_16_2016	18.87	19.6	20.37	20.56	20.63	20.59	20.85(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-0	8	131	0.01	56%	0.16	81	1.77%	0	1.4	78	INF
25	Mar_15_2016	18.84	19.48	20.25	20.41	20.49	20.67	20.42(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	70	7	138	0.01	55%		81.3	1.77%	0	1	77	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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