Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ LI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 2, 2023

Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jul. 31, 2020 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Li Auto Inc.)
LI latest price $44.4400 (-0.01%) ($44.4400 - $44.4400) on Wed. Aug. 2, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.06% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $44.4400(-0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LI advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LI advances 7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(66%)    MCHI(66%)    KWEB(64%)    IDRV(61%)    GLD(58%)
Factors Impacting LI price   LI will decline at least -1.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-32%)    VIXM(-24%)    VXX(-17%)    URA(-10%)    XLU(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.53% (StdDev 3.06%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.65(4.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.49(9.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.79(14.57%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   95.4%
Market Cap   $29.669b

Li Auto, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures and sells premium smart electric SUVs energy vehicle. It provides safe, convenient, and cost-effective mobility solutions to families. The firm model includes Li ONE & EREV. Its passenger vehicle market categorized into sedan, SUV, and MPV segments. The company was founded by Xiang Li , Yanan Shen, Tie Li , Donghui Ma in April 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. LI price fluctuates within 6.88% (three month std-dev: 3.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(42%) Average negative next day return: -2.08%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.42%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -3.67%(64%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.65%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.16%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2023	29.8	38.79	40.49	42.65	43.58	44.44	44.44(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	72	200	43	160	6.39	87%	0.81	75.3	3.06%	1.1	2.1	78	-0.7
2	Aug_1_2023	29.56	38.34	39.77	41.64	42.27	43.6	44.45(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	68	270	47	130	7.59	87%	0.78	74.4	3.1%	1.9	2.6	71	1.2
3	Jul_31_2023	29.33	37.9	39.01	40.35	41	42.73	42.75(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	67	340	56	99	6.48	87%	0.76	78.6	3.11%	1	2.5	71	1.5
4	Jul_28_2023	29.11	37.51	38.52	39.41	39.81	40.94	42.65(9.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	65	230	57	87	12.52	87%	0.76	81.4	3.1%	1.7	3.1	75	1.3
5	Jul_27_2023	28.89	37.07	37.92	38.29	38.65	39.27	38.99(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	140	21	49	6.46	86%	0.63	78.3	2.91%	0.2	1.5	67	0.5

6	Jul_26_2023	28.71	36.88	37.74	37.99	38.12	38.68	39.36(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	110	23	50	10.44	86%	0.56	75.6	2.92%	1.3	2	70	1.9
7	Jul_25_2023	28.55	36.65	37.6	37.61	37.65	38.04	38(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	80	12	47	5.82	85%	0.49	75.5	2.91%	0.7	1.1	63	1.2
8	Jul_24_2023	28.41	36.45	37.51	37.44	37.54	37.56	38.07(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	10	7	44	6.95	85%	0.46	65	2.94%	1.3	1.3	60	1.6
9	Jul_21_2023	28.28	36.21	37.29	37.49	37.3	37.27	37.05(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-20	-7	45	2.92	85%	0.43	57.4	2.94%	-1.5	0.6	62	1.1
10	Jul_20_2023	28.16	36.08	37.19	37.48	37.62	37.51	37.48(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10	5	59	3.13	78%	0.5	66.2	2.94%	0.3	1	69	1.4

11	Jul_19_2023	28.02	35.94	37.01	37.44	37.5	37.34	37.46(0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-30	-8	54	3.36	74%	0.5	78.5	3.08%	-0	1.1	62	1.5
12	Jul_18_2023	27.88	35.76	36.85	37.59	37.43	37.74	37.15(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	50	-1	67	4.81	74%	0.54	88.8	3.12%	-0	1	62	1.9
13	Jul_17_2023	27.73	35.63	36.76	37.58	37.7	37.65	38.33(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	0	21	90	5.43	76%	0.54	98	3.11%	1.9	1.9	72	1.4
14	Jul_14_2023	27.58	35.42	36.44	37.07	37.35	37.13	36.98(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-20	-3	75	9.96	75%	0.51	107.1	3.17%	-0.6	1.2	71	1.2
15	Jul_13_2023	27.44	35.16	36.18	36.85	37.05	37.75	37.28(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	150	12	75	8.58	75%	0.51	105.6	3.17%	-0.1	1.7	64	1

16	Jul_12_2023	27.3	34.86	35.96	36.49	36.7	37.58	38.23(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	190	34	77	7.23	75%	0.55	107.9	3.14%	1.5	2.8	65	1.1
17	Jul_11_2023	27.15	34.54	35.6	36.01	36.02	36.35	37.09(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	60	14	61	7.04	75%	0.37	103.7	3.13%	1.4	2.1	66	-0.3
18	Jul_10_2023	27.05	34.28	35.27	35.85	35.74	35.83	35.78(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	10	4	51	4.58	74%	0.48	101.5	3.11%	0.4	1.1	57	-0.5
19	Jul_7_2023	26.92	34.09	35.03	35.71	35.86	35.68	35.87(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-20	8	43	3.13	74%	0.41	103.1	3.11%	0.8	1.2	57	-0.3
20	Jul_6_2023	26.81	33.89	34.88	35.39	35.67	35.65	35.49(-0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	20	-2	44	4.02	74%	0.41	104.6	3.14%	-0.7	1.1	69	-0.6

21	Jul_5_2023	26.7	33.63	34.8	35.31	35.37	36.05	35.81(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	140	11	67	5.09	74%	0.45	108.5	3.13%	0.1	1.5	72	0.9
22	Jul_3_2023	26.58	33.32	34.6	35.11	35.19	35.7	36.28(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	110	29	80	9.98	74%	0.49	100.4	3.15%	0	1.8	70	1.2
23	Jun_30_2023	26.45	32.96	34.4	34.63	34.82	34.69	35.12(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10	10	71	4.54	73%	0.42	88.9	3.14%	0.8	1.3	65	1
24	Jun_29_2023	26.34	32.66	34.32	34.25	34.51	34.68	34.25(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	60	-2	70	3.13	73%	0.34	77.7	3.14%	-1.1	0.9	64	1
25	Jun_28_2023	26.25	32.42	34.07	34.28	34.25	34.96	35.11(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	140	13	78	5.44	75%		72.8	3.11%	1.1	1.3	67	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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