Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jul. 31, 2020 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Li Auto Inc.)
LI latest price $31.6800 (3.24%) ($31.6800 - $31.6800) on Fri. Jun. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.31% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $31.6800(3.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LI advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(70%)    MCHI(70%)    FXI(69%)    EEM(60%)    LIT(57%)
Factors Impacting LI price   LI will decline at least -2.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-14%)    VXX(-9%)    TBT(-3%)    USO(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.155% (StdDev 4.31%)
Hourly BBV 1.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.54(3.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.94(5.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.06(12.9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   86.4%
Market Cap   $21.15b

Li Auto, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures and sells premium smart electric SUVs energy vehicle. It provides safe, convenient, and cost-effective mobility solutions to families. The firm model includes Li ONE & EREV. Its passenger vehicle market categorized into sedan, SUV, and MPV segments. The company was founded by Xiang Li , Yanan Shen, Tie Li , Donghui Ma in April 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. LI price fluctuates within 8.84% (three month std-dev: 4.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 2.72%(35%) Average negative next day return: -2.11%(65%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.43%(18%) Average negative next three day return: -4.35%(82%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 3.16%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.11%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2021	24.23	28.06	29.94	30.54	30.63	31.18	31.68(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	130	10	78	11.33	60%	0.04	96.6	4.31%	1.9	1.5	70	2
2	Jun_24_2021	24.22	27.64	29.57	30.2	30.26	30.97	30.69(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	170	11	82	9.29	53%	0	98.2	4.31%	0.6	1.2	71	1.7
3	Jun_23_2021	24.22	27.27	29.22	30.25	30.09	30.08	31.24(8.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-20	14	92	12.92	53%	0.04	105.3	4.63%	1.4	1.5	75	1.7
4	Jun_22_2021	24.21	26.71	28.83	29.73	30	29.55	28.91(-4.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-80	-4	89	13.55	49%	-0.12	91.8	4.53%	-1.6	0.8	73	1.4
5	Jun_21_2021	24.24	26.33	28.78	29.61	29.94	30.1	30.2(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	70	5	114	10.19	49%	-0.08	89.2	4.51%	-0.2	1.3	81	0.6

6	Jun_18_2021	24.26	25.85	28.44	29.22	29.47	30.45	30(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	260	16	128	15.74	49%	-0.08	87.4	4.53%	0.3	1.3	83	-0.2
7	Jun_17_2021	24.28	25.37	28.01	28.83	29.03	29.78	30.9(7.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	200	31	139	23.16	49%	-0.04	88.7	4.52%	1.5	1.8	85	1
8	Jun_16_2021	24.29	24.8	27.4	28.06	28.32	28.49	28.66(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	70	9	123	10.84	45%	-0.16	85.2	4.43%	0.8	1.2	83	0.9
9	Jun_15_2021	24.33	24.34	26.98	27.81	27.91	28.27	28.31(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	100	3	142	13.4	45%	-0.12	86.7	4.43%	0.3	1.3	89	1
10	Jun_14_2021	24.36	23.87	26.55	27.83	27.68	28.15	28.23(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	100	11	168	10.02	45%	-0.29	90.3	4.43%	1	1.4	80	1.4

11	Jun_11_2021	24.43	23.38	26.04	27.53	27.72	27.55	28.08(3.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	-20	14	181	17.78	51%	-0.29	88.2	4.44%	0.8	1.5	81	1.4
12	Jun_10_2021	24.5	22.85	25.57	27.04	27.38	27.2	27.02(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	-10	1	176	11.34	51%	-0.37	82	4.64%	-1.5	1.3	80	1.2
13	Jun_9_2021	24.59	22.4	25.18	26.62	27.04	27.9	27.43(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	63	270	18	196	15.05	54%	-0.32	78.2	4.64%	-0.4	1.6	84	1
14	Jun_8_2021	24.67	21.88	24.45	26	26.41	27.57	28.42(6.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	76	350	37	191	24.26	52%	0.16	69.6	4.71%	1.2	2.1	88	1.2
15	Jun_7_2021	24.63	21.29	23.68	25.07	25.4	26.17	26.72(4.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	64	250	27	175	18.63	50%	-0.24	61.6	4.71%	1.1	1.8	88	1.4

16	Jun_4_2021	24.69	20.85	23.05	24.35	24.66	25.26	25.63(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	210	19	166	10.93	50%	-0.36	56.4	4.69%	1.4	1.8	88	1.5
17	Jun_3_2021	24.78	20.45	22.51	23.89	24.03	24.62	24.9(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	190	15	173	17.41	50%	-0.44	52.2	4.69%	1.6	1.8	89	1.2
18	Jun_2_2021	24.89	20.13	21.97	23.52	23.63	24.07	24.34(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	140	25	179	19.2	46%	-0.52	49.6	4.71%	1.1	1.8	79	1.5
19	Jun_1_2021	25.02	19.86	21.47	22.63	23.31	23.44	23.79(3.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	130	19	161	16.52	46%	-0.75	39.4	4.81%	0.9	1.9	81	1.1
20	May_28_2021	25.21	19.62	20.98	22.05	22.34	23.2	23.1(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	310	14	156	14.43	46%	-0.47	32.7	4.8%	0.3	1.9	80	1.5

21	May_27_2021	25.33	19.43	20.51	21.54	21.79	23.18	23.3(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	63	480	34	150	20.68	46%	-0.31	25	4.84%	1.1	2.4	71	1.9
22	May_26_2021	25.41	19.22	19.91	20.94	21.1	21.48	23.05(15.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	54	150	30	125	34.34	46%	-0.35	15.5	4.87%	1.7	2.8	71	1.5
23	May_25_2021	25.5	19.05	19.39	20.22	20.41	20.41	19.91(-4.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	30	-1	93	14.93	35%	-0.47	3	4.44%	-1.7	0.7	56	1.1
24	May_24_2021	25.62	19.08	19.12	20.13	20.3	20.72	20.9(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	170	14	79	7.35	40%	-0.19	6.3	4.58%	1.6	1.5	56	0.9
25	May_21_2021	25.67	19.05	18.73	19.73	19.94	20.42	20.54(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	200	18	49	7.27	38%		2.3	4.67%	0.9	1.3	54	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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