Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 11, 2021

Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jul. 31, 2020 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Li Auto Inc.)
LI latest price $28.0750 (3.9%) ($28.0750 - $28.0750) on Fri. Jun. 11, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.44% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $28.0750(3.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LI advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LI advances 13% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(69%)    MCHI(69%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(59%)    LIT(56%)
Factors Impacting LI price   LI will decline at least -2.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-14%)    VXX(-9%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.22% (StdDev 4.44%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.53(1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.04(7.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.38(20.08%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   65.1%
Market Cap   $18.743b

Li Auto, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures and sells premium smart electric SUVs energy vehicle. It provides safe, convenient, and cost-effective mobility solutions to families. The firm model includes Li ONE & EREV. Its passenger vehicle market categorized into sedan, SUV, and MPV segments. The company was founded by Xiang Li , Yanan Shen, Tie Li , Donghui Ma in April 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. LI price fluctuates within 13.77% (three month std-dev: 4.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 7.23%(44%) Average negative next day return: -4.64%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 5.5%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -13.73%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 12.41%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.9%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2021	24.43	23.38	26.04	27.53	27.72	27.55	28.08(3.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	-20	14	181	17.78	51%	-0.29	88.2	4.44%	0.8	1.5	81	1.4
2	Jun_10_2021	24.5	22.85	25.57	27.04	27.38	27.2	27.02(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	-10	1	176	11.34	51%	-0.37	82	4.64%	-1.5	1.3	80	1.2
3	Jun_9_2021	24.59	22.4	25.18	26.62	27.04	27.9	27.43(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	63	270	18	196	15.05	54%	-0.32	78.2	4.64%	-0.4	1.6	84	1
4	Jun_8_2021	24.67	21.88	24.45	26	26.41	27.57	28.42(6.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	76	350	37	191	24.26	52%	0.16	69.6	4.71%	1.2	2.1	88	1.2
5	Jun_7_2021	24.63	21.29	23.68	25.07	25.4	26.17	26.72(4.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	64	250	27	175	18.63	50%	-0.24	61.6	4.71%	1.1	1.8	88	1.4

6	Jun_4_2021	24.69	20.85	23.05	24.35	24.66	25.26	25.63(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	210	19	166	10.93	50%	-0.36	56.4	4.69%	1.4	1.8	88	1.5
7	Jun_3_2021	24.78	20.45	22.51	23.89	24.03	24.62	24.9(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	190	15	173	17.41	50%	-0.44	52.2	4.69%	1.6	1.8	89	1.2
8	Jun_2_2021	24.89	20.13	21.97	23.52	23.63	24.07	24.34(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	140	25	179	19.2	46%	-0.52	49.6	4.71%	1.1	1.8	79	1.5
9	Jun_1_2021	25.02	19.86	21.47	22.63	23.31	23.44	23.79(3.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	130	19	161	16.52	46%	-0.75	39.4	4.81%	0.9	1.9	81	1.1
10	May_28_2021	25.21	19.62	20.98	22.05	22.34	23.2	23.1(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	310	14	156	14.43	46%	-0.47	32.7	4.8%	0.3	1.9	80	1.5

11	May_27_2021	25.33	19.43	20.51	21.54	21.79	23.18	23.3(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	63	480	34	150	20.68	46%	-0.31	25	4.84%	1.1	2.4	71	1.9
12	May_26_2021	25.41	19.22	19.91	20.94	21.1	21.48	23.05(15.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	54	150	30	125	34.34	46%	-0.35	15.5	4.87%	1.7	2.8	71	1.5
13	May_25_2021	25.5	19.05	19.39	20.22	20.41	20.41	19.91(-4.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	30	-1	93	14.93	35%	-0.47	3	4.44%	-1.7	0.7	56	1.1
14	May_24_2021	25.62	19.08	19.12	20.13	20.3	20.72	20.9(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	170	14	79	7.35	40%	-0.19	6.3	4.58%	1.6	1.5	56	0.9
15	May_21_2021	25.67	19.05	18.73	19.73	19.94	20.42	20.54(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	200	18	49	7.27	38%	-0.35	2.3	4.67%	0.9	1.3	54	0.6

16	May_20_2021	25.76	19.03	18.48	19.31	19.52	19.89	20.31(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	170	21	25	13.11	38%	-0.35	-2.8	4.7%	1.4	1.1	52	0.3
17	May_19_2021	25.85	19.01	18.23	18.71	19.07	19.45	19.47(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	200	13	-12	7.93	38%	-0.35	-16	4.69%	0.7	0.4	48	-0.8
18	May_18_2021	25.94	19.02	18.14	18.44	18.52	19.16	19.43(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	250	19	-29	10.57	38%	-0.31	-27.8	4.7%	1	0.4	44	0.4
19	May_17_2021	26.02	19	18.11	17.96	18.2	18.68	18.89(2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	220	21	-55	9.36	38%	-0.31	-49.7	4.68%	1	-0.1	38	0.2
20	May_14_2021	26.1	19.02	18.15	17.58	17.72	17.88	18.47(6.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	90	5	-83	7.82	38%	-0.42	-68.3	4.66%	1.2	-0.5	35	0.5

21	May_13_2021	26.21	19.06	18.25	17.54	17.36	17.71	17.28(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	110	-4	-95	11.37	35%	-0.53	-83.5	4.59%	-0.5	-1.6	26	-2
22	May_12_2021	26.35	19.19	18.48	17.68	17.61	17.57	18.14(6.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-30	3	-91	25.92	36%	-0.49	-95.1	4.6%	1.4	-1	34	-3.7
23	May_11_2021	26.48	19.33	18.67	17.81	17.56	17.01	17(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-260	-22	-97	10.2	32%	-0.64	-89.6	4.5%	-0.7	-2	27	-0.5
24	May_10_2021	26.65	19.58	19.05	18.29	18.02	17.65	17.03(-6.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-190	-21	-71	12.27	32%	-0.56	-96.4	4.51%	-1.7	-2.2	35	1
25	May_7_2021	26.8	19.82	19.42	18.78	18.6	18.11	18.27(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-210	-12	-43	6.83	34%		-97.8	4.43%	-0.5	-1.3	43	2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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