Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc)
LGND latest price $118.1600 (1.03%) ($115.9300 - $118.4400) on Thu. Sep. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $118.1600(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LGND advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LGND advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LGND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(59%)    IWO(56%)    XBI(56%)    IWC(52%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting LGND price   LGND will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $116.68(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.13(2.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.21(6.25%)
To recent high   -14.7%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $1.899b

Ligand Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and acquisition of technologies that help pharmaceutical companies to discover and develop medicines. Its products include evomela, IV voriconazole, duavee, viviant/conbriza, nexterone, and noxafil-IV. The company was founded by Ronald M. Evans in 1987 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. LGND price fluctuates within 4.71% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.44%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(50%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -3.37%(45%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 2.32%(68%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.24%(32%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2016	118.31	111.21	115.13	116.68	116.78	117.16	118.16(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	30	19	84	0.2	50%	-0.02	53.1	2.33%	0	1.3	72	INF
2	Sep_21_2016	118.33	110.43	114.7	116.06	116.25	116.79	116.96(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	40	17	101	0.4	50%	-0.03	44.4	2.32%	0	1.2	76	INF
3	Sep_20_2016	118.36	109.95	114.41	115.75	115.77	116.4	117.14(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	40	33	127	0.28	52%	-0.05	42.5	2.33%	0	1.4	73	INF
4	Sep_19_2016	118.42	109.41	113.53	114.63	115.03	115.7	115.6(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	50	28	123	0.25	52%	-0.04	32	2.34%	0	1.3	73	INF
5	Sep_16_2016	118.47	108.93	112.63	114.26	114.03	115.14	115.54(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	60	34	129	0.41	50%	-0.07	24	2.37%	0	1.4	73	INF

6	Sep_15_2016	118.55	108.5	111.8	113.31	113.22	114.37	115.08(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	70	42	130	0.21	50%	-0.08	12.1	2.37%	0	1.5	72	INF
7	Sep_14_2016	118.64	108.13	110.66	113.15	112.41	112.92	115.4(3.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	10	20	124	0.44	51%	-0.09	6.5	2.37%	0	1.8	74	INF
8	Sep_13_2016	118.75	107.85	109.55	112.92	112.4	112.07	111.54(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	33	-30	7	112	0.39	49%	-0.16	-0.3	2.35%	0	1	55	INF
9	Sep_12_2016	118.94	107.9	108.77	112.22	112.58	111.9	113.73(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-30	8	99	0.27	49%	-0.14	-10.2	2.33%	0	1.5	61	INF
10	Sep_9_2016	119.11	107.84	107.74	110.71	111.46	112.73	110.82(-3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	100	10	75	0.38	45%	-0.17	-31.7	2.32%	0	0.8	58	INF

11	Sep_8_2016	119.31	107.98	107.02	109.96	110.25	113.27	114.25(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	109	200	112	98	0.27	49%	-0.12	-54.2	2.31%	0	1.5	61	INF
12	Sep_7_2016	119.45	107.87	105.79	107.77	108.14	110.18	114.26(5.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	96	140	110	54	0.67	49%	-0.12	-91.1	2.33%	0	1.6	58	INF
13	Sep_6_2016	119.59	107.86	105.04	105.78	105.77	107.23	108.04(1.74%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	34	100	47	-6	0.36	45%	-0.19	-119.1	2.22%	0	0	41	INF
14	Sep_2_2016	119.82	108.29	105.04	104.85	104.8	106.1	106.19(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	35	90	57	-31	0.36	45%	-0.15	-110.5	2.2%	0	-0.4	32	INF
15	Sep_1_2016	120	109.08	105.04	104.32	103.99	104.3	107.04(3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	10	29	-67	0.41	45%	-0.12	-91.7	2.2%	0	-0.3	32	INF

16	Aug_31_2016	120.15	110.24	104.87	103.65	103.64	103.5	103.31(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-29	-10	-2	-108	0.3	40%	-0.12	-81	2.16%	0	-0.8	19	INF
17	Aug_30_2016	120.3	111.65	105.38	103.46	103.57	103.68	104.31(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	10	-15	-127	0.37	40%	-0.09	-76.3	2.18%	0	-0.8	26	INF
18	Aug_29_2016	120.41	113.01	106	104.22	103.99	103.79	103.41(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-20	-10	-126	0.26	40%	-0.11	-67.4	2.19%	0	-0.9	20	INF
19	Aug_26_2016	120.54	114.7	106.97	104.9	104.87	103.45	103.55(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-57	-100	-31	-135	0.26	40%	-0.1	-61.9	2.2%	0	-1	19	INF
20	Aug_25_2016	120.66	116.23	107.98	105.48	105.56	104.19	103.65(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-91	-90	-67	-163	0.47	40%	-0.12	-59	2.2%	0	-1.1	15	INF

21	Aug_24_2016	120.8	117.77	109.08	106.27	106.5	106.28	102.4(-5.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-71	-10	-35	-177	0.56	40%	-0.07	-56.2	2.2%	0	-1.3	8	INF
22	Aug_23_2016	120.89	119.46	110.22	107.51	107.19	106.93	108.07(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-57	-30	-9	-200	0.29	44%	-0.02	-54.8	2.11%	0	-1	9	INF
23	Aug_22_2016	120.92	120.76	110.95	108.08	107.8	106.72	106.82(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-97	-80	-48	-245	0.43	44%	-0.04	-52.3	2.11%	0	-1.2	7	INF
24	Aug_19_2016	120.97	122.12	112	109.41	109.12	107.45	106.48(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-125	-120	-72	-282	0.37	42%	0	-48.6	2.11%	0	-1.4	5	INF
25	Aug_18_2016	120.97	123.47	113.64	110.9	110.89	108.88	107.59(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-131	-130	-78	-288	0.27	42%		-45.3	2.13%	0	-1.5	15	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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