Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc)
LGND latest price $116.2900 (-0.84%) ($114.6000 - $118.5400) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $116.2900(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LGND advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LGND advances 6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LGND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(58%)    IWO(56%)    XBI(56%)    IWC(52%)    ARKG(51%)
Factors Impacting LGND price   LGND will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.41(2.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.21(6.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.66(11.11%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   35.6%
Market Cap   $1.869b

Ligand Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and acquisition of technologies that help pharmaceutical companies to discover and develop medicines. Its products include evomela, IV voriconazole, duavee, viviant/conbriza, nexterone, and noxafil-IV. The company was founded by Ronald M. Evans in 1987 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. LGND price fluctuates within 5.77% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(42%) Average negative next day return: -2.99%(58%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 7.94%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -4.63%(54%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 7.16%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.04%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2016	101.15	104.66	109.21	113.41	113.43	115.41	116.29(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	120	82	173	0.4	59%	0.11	62.7	2.77%	0	1.9	83	0
2	Apr_6_2016	101.04	103.77	107.68	111.57	111.46	112.72	117.28(5.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	82	80	59	152	0.46	59%	0.17	61.8	2.8%	0	2.5	85	0
3	Apr_5_2016	100.87	102.81	106.29	109.1	109.54	111.45	110.94(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	130	47	137	0.28	57%	0.12	63.6	2.72%	0	1.8	80	0
4	Apr_4_2016	100.75	102.33	105.24	107.89	108.05	110.21	111.65(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	97	140	83	138	0.31	53%	0.14	73.7	2.73%	0	2.3	69	0
5	Apr_1_2016	100.61	101.7	103.95	106.06	105.92	107.63	110.88(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	69	110	58	100	0.34	53%	0.17	76	2.82%	0	2.6	66	0

6	Mar_31_2016	100.44	101	102.57	104.39	104.45	105.9	107.09(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	100	52	80	0.41	51%	0.1	82.1	2.81%	0	2.2	69	0
7	Mar_30_2016	100.34	100.51	101.6	103.2	103.13	104.21	104.96(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	70	29	55	0.31	51%	0.06	88.5	2.8%	0	1.8	60	0
8	Mar_29_2016	100.28	100.03	100.87	103.07	102.52	103	104.85(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	20	26	50	0.37	53%	0.1	94.1	2.81%	0	1.9	60	0
9	Mar_28_2016	100.18	99.41	100.44	102.19	102.22	102.05	102.52(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10	13	32	0.27	53%	0.14	76.5	2.84%	0	1.1	50	0
10	Mar_24_2016	100.04	99.14	100.33	101.48	101.43	102.04	102.51(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	40	11	27	0.36	53%	0.06	81.2	2.85%	0	1.2	54	0

11	Mar_23_2016	99.98	98.73	99.79	100.42	100.52	102.38	101.17(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	130	48	29	0.37	53%	0.07	74.3	2.85%	0	0.8	57	0
12	Mar_22_2016	99.91	98.31	99.6	99.68	99.01	100.82	104.28(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	53	110	61	29	0.43	55%	0.1	66.2	2.82%	0	1.8	62	0
13	Mar_21_2016	99.81	97.69	99.04	98.37	97.8	98.66	100.46(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	40	27	7	0.25	53%	0.1	62.7	2.78%	0	0.9	62	0
14	Mar_18_2016	99.71	97.31	99.18	98.5	97.68	97.2	98.97(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-60	-10	13	0.5	53%	0.08	68.1	2.78%	0	0.5	65	0
15	Mar_17_2016	99.63	96.88	99.27	99.07	98.65	96.95	97.22(-0.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-20	-130	-32	18	0.47	53%	0.06	73	2.78%	0	0.1	51	0

16	Mar_16_2016	99.57	96.53	99.35	99.04	99.62	98.16	97.47(-0.29%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-30	-90	-46	19	0.35	56%	0.06	71.3	2.78%	0	0.2	57	0
17	Mar_15_2016	99.51	96.2	99.4	99.43	100.01	100.35	97.75(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	40	-14	47	0.42	56%	0.08	71.3	2.85%	0	0.4	60	0
18	Mar_14_2016	99.43	95.79	99.21	99.73	99.91	101.07	101.07(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	90	26	75	0.28	58%	0.12	73.3	2.83%	0	1.2	66	0
19	Mar_11_2016	99.31	95.06	98.37	99.97	99.67	99.66	101.83(4.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10	19	77	0.55	54%	0.15	64.2	2.84%	0	1.5	65	0
20	Mar_10_2016	99.16	94.26	97.89	99.6	99.67	98.74	97.09(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-60	-17	74	0.26	52%	0.09	47.6	2.85%	0	0.6	65	0

21	Mar_9_2016	99.07	93.83	97.64	99.69	99.61	99.67	99.4(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	0	-10	91	0.39	52%	0.13	34.8	2.84%	0	1.2	70	0
22	Mar_8_2016	98.94	93.33	96.97	99.32	99.44	100.48	99.25(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	80	33	110	0.34	54%	0.07	24.7	2.85%	0	1.3	67	0
23	Mar_7_2016	98.87	92.79	96.25	98.53	98.37	99.55	102.29(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	80	51	115	0.35	56%	0.09	8.1	2.87%	0	2.1	75	0
24	Mar_4_2016	98.78	92.25	95.26	96.52	96.74	98.41	99.95(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	130	36	101	0.34	56%	0.05	-13.7	2.86%	0	2	76	0
25	Mar_3_2016	98.73	92.11	94.25	95.99	95.77	97.18	97.56(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	100	45	109	0.3	56%		-17.2	2.85%	0	1.5	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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