Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ LGND: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc)
LGND latest price $104.2800 (3.8%) ($99.7000 - $104.5300) on Tue. Mar. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.82% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $104.2800(3.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LGND advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LGND advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LGND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(58%)    IWO(56%)    XBI(56%)    IWC(52%)    ARKG(51%)
Factors Impacting LGND price   LGND will decline at least -1.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.41% (StdDev 2.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.68(4.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.6(4.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.31(6.07%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $1.676b

Ligand Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and acquisition of technologies that help pharmaceutical companies to discover and develop medicines. Its products include evomela, IV voriconazole, duavee, viviant/conbriza, nexterone, and noxafil-IV. The company was founded by Ronald M. Evans in 1987 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. LGND price fluctuates within 3.31% (three month std-dev: 2.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.64%(27%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(73%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.89%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -2.13%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.71%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.6%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2016	99.91	98.31	99.6	99.68	99.01	100.82	104.28(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	53	110	61	29	0.43	55%	0.1	66.2	2.82%	0	1.8	62	INF
2	Mar_21_2016	99.81	97.69	99.04	98.37	97.8	98.66	100.46(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	40	27	7	0.25	53%	0.1	62.7	2.78%	0	0.9	62	INF
3	Mar_18_2016	99.71	97.31	99.18	98.5	97.68	97.2	98.97(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-60	-10	13	0.5	53%	0.08	68.1	2.78%	0	0.5	65	INF
4	Mar_17_2016	99.63	96.88	99.27	99.07	98.65	96.95	97.22(-0.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-20	-130	-32	18	0.47	53%	0.06	73	2.78%	0	0.1	51	INF
5	Mar_16_2016	99.57	96.53	99.35	99.04	99.62	98.16	97.47(-0.29%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-30	-90	-46	19	0.35	56%	0.06	71.3	2.78%	0	0.2	57	INF

6	Mar_15_2016	99.51	96.2	99.4	99.43	100.01	100.35	97.75(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	40	-14	47	0.42	56%	0.08	71.3	2.85%	0	0.4	60	INF
7	Mar_14_2016	99.43	95.79	99.21	99.73	99.91	101.07	101.07(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	90	26	75	0.28	58%	0.12	73.3	2.83%	0	1.2	66	INF
8	Mar_11_2016	99.31	95.06	98.37	99.97	99.67	99.66	101.83(4.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10	19	77	0.55	54%	0.15	64.2	2.84%	0	1.5	65	INF
9	Mar_10_2016	99.16	94.26	97.89	99.6	99.67	98.74	97.09(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-60	-17	74	0.26	52%	0.09	47.6	2.85%	0	0.6	65	INF
10	Mar_9_2016	99.07	93.83	97.64	99.69	99.61	99.67	99.4(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	0	-10	91	0.39	52%	0.13	34.8	2.84%	0	1.2	70	INF

11	Mar_8_2016	98.94	93.33	96.97	99.32	99.44	100.48	99.25(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	80	33	110	0.34	54%	0.07	24.7	2.85%	0	1.3	67	INF
12	Mar_7_2016	98.87	92.79	96.25	98.53	98.37	99.55	102.29(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	80	51	115	0.35	56%	0.09	8.1	2.87%	0	2.1	75	INF
13	Mar_4_2016	98.78	92.25	95.26	96.52	96.74	98.41	99.95(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	130	36	101	0.34	56%	0.05	-13.7	2.86%	0	2	76	INF
14	Mar_3_2016	98.73	92.11	94.25	95.99	95.77	97.18	97.56(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	100	45	109	0.3	56%	0.09	-17.2	2.85%	0	1.5	75	INF
15	Mar_2_2016	98.64	92.22	93.44	95.32	95.43	95.08	97.54(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-20	28	98	0.46	56%	0.11	-18.4	2.87%	0	1.3	67	INF

16	Mar_1_2016	98.53	92.2	92.7	94.29	94.7	94.36	95.29(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10	-13	72	0.4	56%	0.05	-31.2	2.85%	0	0.7	61	INF
17	Feb_29_2016	98.48	92.43	92.08	93.61	94.06	95.79	92.28(-5.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	140	19	80	0.56	54%	0.04	-33.5	2.81%	0	-0	58	INF
18	Feb_26_2016	98.44	92.78	91.51	93.72	93.47	95.05	97.28(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	79	110	74	92	0.62	57%	0.11	-33.5	2.74%	0	0.9	57	INF
19	Feb_25_2016	98.33	92.76	90.34	92.23	92.31	92.33	94.23(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	0	28	26	0.35	56%	0.07	-41.6	2.73%	0	0.3	39	INF
20	Feb_24_2016	98.26	92.98	89.71	91.28	91.18	91.89	92.36(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	50	-2	-28	0.2	56%	0.06	-45.5	2.73%	0	-0.1	32	INF

21	Feb_23_2016	98.2	93.52	89.4	90.88	91.02	92.28	91.91(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	25	100	45	-34	0.31	56%	0.03	-36.2	2.73%	0	-0.3	38	INF
22	Feb_22_2016	98.17	93.98	89.06	90.32	90.37	90.47	92.83(3.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	10	34	-73	0.39	56%	0.04	-34.5	2.73%	0	-0.2	36	INF
23	Feb_19_2016	98.13	94.43	88.95	88.94	89.45	89.76	89.84(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	40	5	-120	0.7	51%	0.05	-36.5	2.7%	0	-0.8	33	INF
24	Feb_18_2016	98.08	94.83	89.75	88.13	88.74	90.26	89.47(-0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	140	32	-117	0.45	54%	0.04	-39.5	2.74%	0	-0.9	37	INF
25	Feb_17_2016	98.04	95.34	90.82	87.89	87.85	89.14	90.36(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	100	37	-112	0.5	54%		-40.4	2.83%	0	-0.8	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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