Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc)
LGND latest price $101.6800 (5.01%) ($96.7900 - $102.4800) on Thu. Sep. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.43% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $101.6800(5.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LGND advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LGND advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LGND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(60%)    XBI(58%)    IWO(57%)    ARKG(52%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting LGND price   LGND will decline at least -1.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.715% (StdDev 3.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.97(4.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.58(7.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.1(10.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $1.634b

Ligand Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and acquisition of technologies that help pharmaceutical companies to discover and develop medicines. Its products include evomela, IV voriconazole, duavee, viviant/conbriza, nexterone, and noxafil-IV. The company was founded by Ronald M. Evans in 1987 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. LGND price fluctuates within 4.86% (three month std-dev: 3.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.12%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2015	92.85	92.1	94.58	96.97	96.72	98.32	101.68(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	56	110	52	68	0.3	55%	0.35	14.4	3.43%	0	2.1	59	INF
2	Sep_16_2015	92.53	91.73	93.58	95.3	95.23	96.34	96.83(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	80	33	47	0.24	50%	0.18	4.4	3.36%	0	1.3	59	INF
3	Sep_15_2015	92.36	91.64	92.75	94.45	94.21	95.12	97.22(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	60	22	38	0.26	50%	0.21	1.4	3.43%	0	1.4	66	INF
4	Sep_14_2015	92.17	91.6	92.18	93.84	93.78	94.12	94.15(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	20	21	47	0.2	50%	0.1	-0.9	3.44%	0	0.6	67	INF
5	Sep_11_2015	92.08	91.55	92.21	92.98	93.31	93.31	94.95(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	10	16	54	0.26	50%	0.13	0	3.51%	0	0.9	65	INF

6	Sep_10_2015	91.96	91.46	92.09	91.78	92.11	93.44	93.36(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	110	7	51	0.23	50%	0.08	0	3.57%	0	0.5	60	INF
7	Sep_9_2015	91.89	91.56	91.84	91.59	91.65	93.31	92.58(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	130	46	56	0.3	50%	0.03	0	3.65%	0	0.3	46	INF
8	Sep_8_2015	91.86	91.59	91.23	90.77	90.84	90.79	94.17(4.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-0	20	21	0.21	50%	0.12	0	3.72%	0	0.6	47	INF
9	Sep_4_2015	91.75	91.64	90.18	90.33	90.02	90	89.85(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10	-29	-26	0.18	43%	-0.11	0	3.64%	0	-0.4	41	INF
10	Sep_3_2015	91.85	91.64	89.71	91.36	91.23	90.9	88.94(-3.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-30	-1	-0	0.24	43%	-0.17	0	3.73%	0	21.2	46	INF

11	Sep_2_2015	92.01	91.64	89.53	92.43	92.05	90.04	92.42(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-170	-24	-10	0.23	48%	0.03	0	3.74%	0	21.7	49	INF
12	Sep_1_2015	91.98	91.64	89.77	92.12	92.69	91.57	88.48(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-70	-30	-12	0.41	40%	-0.24	0	3.67%	0	20.2	41	INF
13	Aug_31_2015	92.2	91.64	90.49	91.64	92.58	94.05	91.94(-3.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	140	28	11	0.24	46%	-0.02	0	3.68%	0	20.8	49	INF
14	Aug_28_2015	92.22	91.64	90.97	89.88	90.8	93.82	95.04(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	67	260	79	32	0.33	46%	0.22	0	3.72%	0	20.8	49	INF
15	Aug_27_2015	92.02	91.64	90.77	87.8	87.14	91.11	94.25(3.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	58	300	68	27	0.41	46%	0.19	0	3.85%	0	20.2	50	INF

16	Aug_26_2015	91.85	91.64	90.65	86.29	85.15	87.79	90.89(5.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	180	50	20	0.36	46%	-0.09	0	3.85%	0	18.9	50	INF
17	Aug_25_2015	91.93	91.64	91.11	87.29	85.68	83.17	86.06(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-260	-23	-9	0.49	31%	-0.57	0	3.55%	0	17.2	50	INF
18	Aug_24_2015	92.46	91.64	91.9	89.32	87.96	82.52	83.18(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-117	-480	-138	-55	0.75	31%	-1	0	3.43%	0	17.1	50	INF
19	Aug_21_2015	93.39	91.64	93.24	92.2	92.19	88.18	84.6(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-88	-300	-103	-41	0.58	31%	-1.03	0	3.62%	0	20.7	50	INF
20	Aug_20_2015	94.36	91.64	93.24	94.05	94.62	93.39	86.73(-9.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-43	-70	-50	-20	0.46	31%	-1.01	0	3.81%	0	29	50	INF

21	Aug_19_2015	95.32	91.64	93.24	95.43	95.29	96.19	95.89(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	60	8	3	0.29	58%	0.08	0	2.26%	0	70.5	50	INF
22	Aug_18_2015	95.24	91.64	93.24	95.45	95.21	95.85	96.2(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	40	43	17	0.32	58%	0.17	0	2.43%	0	67.3	50	INF
23	Aug_17_2015	95.08	91.64	93.24	94.94	94.55	94.39	97.58(3.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	3	-20	3	1	0.25	58%	0.53	0	2.56%	0	65.5	50	INF
24	Aug_14_2015	94.58	91.64	93.24	94.58	94.27	94.57	93.84(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.7	198	10	233	93	0.25	35%	-0.19	0	2.04%	0	86.9	50	INF
25	Aug_13_2015	94.76	91.64	93.24	75.81	94.68	94.72	93.65(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	15.8	241	750	283	113	0.39	35%		0	2.32%	0	82.9	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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