Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF)
KWEB latest price $38.2500 (1.54%) ($37.9900 - $38.3100) on Tue. Jan. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $38.2500(1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   KWEB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KWEB advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KWEB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(92%)    FXI(88%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(67%)    IBUY(62%)
Factors Impacting KWEB price   KWEB will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.56(1.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.53(1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.61(4.48%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. KWEB price fluctuates within 3.11% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 46 Average positive next day return: 1.17%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(50%) Sample size 46 Average positive next three day return: 2.18%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.46%(43%) Sample size 46 Average positive next weekly return: 3.19%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.81%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2017	38.73	36.61	37.53	37.56	37.57	37.79	38.25(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	40	26	80	0.34	41%	0	60.1	1.34%	0	1.4	81	INF
2	Jan_23_2017	38.73	36.42	37.4	37.38	37.37	37.4	37.67(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	0	4	87	0.04	39%	-0.08	54.3	1.33%	0	1.1	81	INF
3	Jan_20_2017	38.76	36.29	37.31	37.34	37.34	37.35	37.22(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	0	-0	108	0.03	39%	-0.05	46.6	1.32%	0	0.8	76	INF
4	Jan_19_2017	38.78	36.16	37.29	37.35	37.36	37.33	37.38(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	-0	-2	134	0.03	39%	-0.05	36.8	1.32%	0	1	79	INF
5	Jan_18_2017	38.8	36.04	37.14	37.39	37.34	37.34	37.26(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-0	-7	148	0.04	39%	-0.05	32.7	1.32%	0	1	76	INF

6	Jan_17_2017	38.82	35.94	36.95	37.49	37.41	37.38	37.36(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-10	3	169	0.04	39%	-0.05	27.7	1.33%	0	1.2	80	INF
7	Jan_13_2017	38.84	35.83	36.7	37.42	37.45	37.35	37.5(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	-20	5	175	0.04	37%	-0.03	19.9	1.32%	0	1.4	82	INF
8	Jan_12_2017	38.85	35.76	36.45	37.28	37.34	37.43	37.25(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	43	20	1	168	0.6	37%	-0.03	14.3	1.32%	0	1.4	71	INF
9	Jan_11_2017	38.86	35.72	36.22	37.22	37.2	37.56	37.59(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	70	34	183	0.07	34%	-0.05	14.1	1.32%	0	1.8	77	INF
10	Jan_10_2017	38.88	35.65	35.95	36.84	36.94	37.24	37.73(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	74	60	46	159	0.12	38%	-0.03	2.2	1.37%	0	2.1	73	INF

11	Jan_9_2017	38.89	35.61	35.62	36.33	36.44	36.85	37.02(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	90	35	112	0.08	35%	-0.05	-11.1	1.39%	0	1.6	66	INF
12	Jan_6_2017	38.91	35.61	35.36	35.87	36	36.64	36.8(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	54	140	47	76	0.05	34%	-0.03	-23.6	1.39%	0	1.3	62	INF
13	Jan_5_2017	38.92	35.6	35.16	35.5	35.52	36.03	36.94(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	47	100	50	39	0.16	34%	-0.05	-38.7	1.39%	0	1.4	53	INF
14	Jan_4_2017	38.94	35.57	34.92	35.08	35.15	35.35	35.73(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	50	22	-26	0.07	31%	-0.08	-58.7	1.32%	0	0.2	35	INF
15	Jan_3_2017	38.97	35.63	34.84	34.93	35.02	35.01	35.17(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	10	11	-59	0.15	28%	-0.1	-66.9	1.32%	0	-0.5	34	INF

16	Dec_30_2016	39.01	35.7	34.83	34.8	34.92	34.94	34.73(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-23	10	2	-97	0.08	28%	-0.08	-74.6	1.31%	0	-1	23	INF
17	Dec_29_2016	39.04	35.81	34.89	34.74	34.82	35.02	34.93(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	50	7	-123	0.09	27%	-0.05	-81.2	1.31%	0	-0.9	25	INF
18	Dec_28_2016	39.06	35.96	35.01	34.75	34.71	34.89	34.85(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	30	13	-131	0.11	27%	-0.05	-75.6	1.32%	0	-1	27	INF
19	Dec_27_2016	39.08	36.13	35.19	34.72	34.66	34.62	34.96(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	-10	3	-137	0.88	30%	0.08	-69.8	1.32%	0	-1	33	INF
20	Dec_23_2016	39.05	36.29	35.33	34.74	34.65	34.52	34.55(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-30	-16	-150	0.07	29%	-0.03	-64	1.34%	0	-1.4	26	INF

21	Dec_22_2016	39.06	36.47	35.6	34.87	34.81	34.71	34.42(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-30	-15	-136	0.14	31%	-0.03	-63.5	1.34%	0	-1.7	30	INF
22	Dec_21_2016	39.07	36.65	35.88	35.06	35	34.78	34.96(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-50	-20	-123	0.2	37%	0	-61.4	1.35%	0	-1.5	31	INF
23	Dec_20_2016	39.07	36.8	36.09	35.31	35.21	34.92	34.73(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-58	-70	-37	-122	0.05	37%	0	-56	1.4%	0	-1.9	22	INF
24	Dec_19_2016	39.07	36.97	36.29	35.73	35.64	35.22	35.02(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-52	-90	-31	-113	0.16	37%	0	-43	1.39%	0	-2	22	INF
25	Dec_16_2016	39.07	37.11	36.5	36.02	36.07	35.51	35.23(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-60	-100	-43	-112	0.06	37%		-38.5	1.39%	0	-2.2	26	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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