Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF)
KWEB latest price $42.6100 (1.6%) ($42.1600 - $42.6200) on Thu. Sep. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $42.6100(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   KWEB advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KWEB advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KWEB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(92%)    FXI(88%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(67%)    LIT(56%)
Factors Impacting KWEB price   KWEB will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.46(2.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.83(4.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.27(5.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. KWEB price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 40 Average positive next day return: 1.07%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(50%) Sample size 40 Average positive next three day return: 2.11%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.78%(48%) Sample size 40 Average positive next weekly return: 3.2%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.44%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2016	35.9	40.27	40.83	41.46	41.48	41.96	42.61(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	80	50	88	0.23	70%	0.22	68.2	1.29%	0	2.3	68	0
2	Sep_21_2016	35.82	40.06	40.61	41.12	41.12	41.22	41.94(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	20	27	75	0.57	68%	0.17	62.9	1.29%	0	2	68	0
3	Sep_20_2016	35.76	39.9	40.45	40.75	40.92	41	40.79(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	30	13	60	0.27	68%	0.14	58.7	1.25%	0	1	62	0
4	Sep_19_2016	35.71	39.8	40.47	40.54	40.71	41.02	40.94(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	70	20	72	0.28	68%	0.14	50.2	1.26%	0	1.3	65	0
5	Sep_16_2016	35.66	39.7	40.37	40.39	40.38	40.85	41.01(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	80	38	82	0.14	68%	0.14	50.9	1.27%	0	1.5	66	0

6	Sep_15_2016	35.61	39.58	40.24	40.09	40.02	40.4	40.94(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	60	25	72	0.44	68%	0.14	48.8	1.28%	0	1.7	69	0
7	Sep_14_2016	35.56	39.46	40.06	40.04	39.83	39.92	40.07(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	0	4	73	0.05	66%	0.08	61.5	1.26%	0	0.8	66	0
8	Sep_13_2016	35.53	39.4	40	40.13	39.98	39.64	39.72(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-70	-20	74	0.07	66%	0.08	79.3	1.26%	0	0.4	57	0
9	Sep_12_2016	35.5	39.36	39.94	40.39	40.23	39.74	40.2(1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-100	-29	95	0.14	66%	0.08	108.8	1.25%	0	1.1	62	0
10	Sep_9_2016	35.47	39.27	39.81	40.35	40.55	40.31	39.51(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	-30	-17	97	0.1	60%	0.06	121.4	1.28%	0	0.3	57	0

11	Sep_8_2016	35.45	39.18	39.71	40.38	40.56	40.71	40.71(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	40	16	116	0.06	65%	0.11	127.6	1.22%	0	1.8	70	0
12	Sep_7_2016	35.41	39	39.48	40.08	40.26	40.79	40.49(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	110	34	99	0.57	65%	0.06	121.5	1.24%	0	1.7	68	0
13	Sep_6_2016	35.39	38.8	39.32	39.85	39.84	40.42	41.06(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	64	100	54	95	0.86	69%	0.03	116.3	1.23%	0	2.4	73	0
14	Sep_2_2016	35.38	38.56	39.07	39.43	39.47	39.73	39.96(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	50	36	57	0.79	67%	0.06	94	1.2%	0	1.3	61	0
15	Sep_1_2016	35.36	38.35	38.95	39.21	39.18	39.27	39.66(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	10	18	42	0.1	63%	0.06	82.6	1.19%	0	1.1	67	0

16	Aug_31_2016	35.34	38.14	38.85	38.95	39	39.22	39.21(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	40	17	36	0.05	63%	0.06	70.1	1.22%	0	0.8	71	0
17	Aug_30_2016	35.32	37.94	38.79	38.78	38.79	39.1	39.34(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	60	20	45	0.04	63%	0.09	60.8	1.22%	0	1	77	0
18	Aug_29_2016	35.29	37.73	38.79	38.71	38.62	38.79	38.97(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	20	14	65	0.05	63%	0.09	56.8	1.22%	0	0.8	78	0
19	Aug_26_2016	35.26	37.55	38.74	38.71	38.65	38.49	38.87(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-30	1	90	0.11	65%	0.06	55.2	1.25%	0	0.9	80	0
20	Aug_25_2016	35.24	37.36	38.68	38.66	38.67	38.46	38.36(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-40	-20	114	0.05	64%	0.09	55.5	1.24%	0	0.6	80	0

21	Aug_24_2016	35.21	37.22	38.62	38.72	38.79	38.82	38.34(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	34	10	-6	155	0.08	67%	0.06	57.8	1.25%	0	0.7	83	0
22	Aug_23_2016	35.19	37.08	38.5	38.8	38.8	38.89	38.99(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	20	8	187	0.16	70%	0.11	60.8	1.29%	0	1.2	92	0
23	Aug_22_2016	35.15	36.9	38.28	38.77	38.71	38.77	38.74(-0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	50	10	-2	207	0.07	70%	0.09	64.5	1.29%	0	1.2	92	0
24	Aug_19_2016	35.12	36.71	38.03	38.83	38.78	38.71	38.87(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	62	-20	6	231	0.42	67%	0.09	68.1	1.29%	0	1.4	88	0
25	Aug_18_2016	35.09	36.51	37.73	38.71	38.81	38.65	38.68(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	62	-20	5	232	0.07	64%		70.9	1.32%	0	1.5	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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